CHINA SUPER LEAGUE
26.07.2026 12:00
Huanglong Stadium
Referee: Yige Dai, China
Hangzhou Greentown
Match Timeline
Dalian Zhixing
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
37'
Y. Wang · Assist: Cheng Jin
Hangzhou Greentown
🟨
41'
Lü Zhuoyi
Dalian Zhixing
🟨
42'
Nicolae Stanciu
Dalian Zhixing
🔄
46'
Lu Zhuoyi ↔ Feng Boxuan
Dalian Zhixing
54'
M. Tolic · Assist: A. Mitrita
Hangzhou Greentown
🔄
56'
F. Acheampong ↔ Yang Mingrui
Dalian Zhixing
56'
I. Alimi · Assist: C. Malele
Dalian Zhixing
🔄
57'
Luo Jing ↔ P. Delgado
Dalian Zhixing
🟨
64'
Mamadou Traoré
Dalian Zhixing
🟨
66'
Liu Haofan
Hangzhou Greentown
🔄
66'
M. Tolic ↔ Tao Qianglong
Hangzhou Greentown
🔄
66'
Sun Guowen ↔ Felippe Cardoso
Hangzhou Greentown
🔄
66'
Tong Lei ↔ Xu Junchi
Hangzhou Greentown
🔄
72'
Song Yue ↔ Bi Jinhao
Dalian Zhixing
75'
W. Mao · Assist: Yang Mingrui
Dalian Zhixing
77'
Felippe Cardoso · Assist: Tao Qianglong
Hangzhou Greentown
🔄
79'
Liao Jintao ↔ Zhang Huachen
Dalian Zhixing
🟨
86'
Cheng Jin
Hangzhou Greentown
🔄
89'
Y. Wang ↔ A. N'Doumbou
Hangzhou Greentown
🟨
90+2'
Weijie Mao
Dalian Zhixing
VAR
90+9'
Weijie Mao
Dalian Zhixing
🔄
90+3'
A. Mitrita ↔ Zhang Jiaqi
Hangzhou Greentown

Hangzhou Greentown vs Dalian Zhixing Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.6%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Hangzhou Greentown Win 60.6%
Draw 5.7%
Dalian Zhixing Win 33.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hangzhou Greentown1.56
Dalian Zhixing1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hangzhou Greentown Hangzhou Greentown
WWDLW
30 GF / 37 GA
Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing
WLDWL
29 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.76
Average Goals Conceded
1.75
13
BTTS Yes
12
13
Over 2.5
13
4.84
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hangzhou Greentown Hangzhou Greentown 21 matches
Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing 20 matches
Hangzhou Greentown Statistic Dalian Zhixing
7 Wins 9
6 Draws 1
8 Losses 10
30 Goals For 29
37 Goals Against 35
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
1.76 Avg Goals Conceded 1.75
13 BTTS Yes 12
19 Over 1.5 15
13 Over 2.5 13
10 Over 3.5 8
3 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 3
4.84 Shots On Goal 5
13.42 Total Shots 14.44
5.32 Corners 6.28
53.3% Ball Possession 47.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Hangzhou Greentown expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Dalian Zhixing in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Dalian Zhixing having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Dalian Zhixing. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Hangzhou Greentown Analysis

So far, Hangzhou Greentown have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 21 points from 19 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 27:32 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Alexandru Mitriță (1 goals), Marko Tolić (1 goals), Qianglong Tao (1 goals), with creative support from Alexandru Mitriță (1 assists), Wang Yudong (1 assists), Wang Chang (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Dalian Zhixing Analysis

Dalian Zhixing come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 28 points after 18 matches. With 9 wins, 1 draws, and 8 defeats plus a goal balance of 28:32, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Hangzhou Greentown won 1 times, Dalian Zhixing won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:7 from Hangzhou Greentown's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.3%)
Predicted formations: Hangzhou Greentown 5-3-2 / Dalian Zhixing 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Hangzhou Greentown wins 1, draws 1, Dalian Zhixing wins 2

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 7 4 51:30 21 52
D W L W L
2 26 12 4 10 38:42 -4 40
W D W D L
3 26 11 10 5 49:33 16 38
D D D W W
4 26 11 5 10 54:51 3 38
W L D W W
5 26 8 14 4 31:32 -1 38
D D W D D
6 26 13 4 9 46:43 3 37
D W L W W
7 26 10 8 8 40:33 7 33
D W W D W
8 26 12 5 9 52:46 6 31
W L W L W
9 26 7 10 9 27:32 -5 31
L D L D L
10 25 9 6 10 41:42 -1 28
L W D L L
11 26 8 4 14 34:45 -11 28
D L D W L
12 26 8 9 9 33:35 -2 27
D D D D L
13 26 7 4 15 34:47 -13 25
L L L D L
14 26 9 8 9 36:32 4 25
W W D D L
15 25 5 11 9 38:42 -4 21
D D W D L
16 26 6 3 17 34:53 -19 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation