GERMANY › BUNDESLIGA

25.04.2026 16:30

Hamburger SV

1 - 2

1899 Hoffenheim

Volksparkstadion

Referee: Robert Schröder, Germany

Hamburger SV

Match Timeline

1899 Hoffenheim

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Hamburger SV vs 1899 Hoffenheim Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Away Win

Probability 59.9%

Odds -

BTTS

BTTS Yes

Probability 82.7%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 86.6%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Away Win	59.9%	-	▥
BTTS	BTTS Yes	82.7%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	86.6%	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Hamburger SV Win 29.2%

Draw 11%

1899 Hoffenheim Win 59.9%

Expected Goals (xG)

Hamburger SV1.25

1899 Hoffenheim1.82

Recent Form (Last 5)

Hamburger SV

WWDLW

33 GF / 48 GA

1899 Hoffenheim

WLDWL

59 GF / 44 GA

Key Stats

1.1

Average Goals Scored

1.97

1.6

Average Goals Conceded

1.47

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

4.53

Shots on Goal

5.13

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hamburger SV 30 matches

1899 Hoffenheim 30 matches

Hamburger SV	Statistic	1899 Hoffenheim
7	Wins	16
10	Draws	6
13	Losses	8
33	Goals For	59
48	Goals Against	44
1.1	Avg Goals Scored	1.97
1.6	Avg Goals Conceded	1.47
18	BTTS Yes	20
23	Over 1.5	26
16	Over 2.5	21
10	Over 3.5	15
6	Clean Sheets	6
10	Failed To Score	5
4.53	Shots On Goal	5.13
12.13	Total Shots	13.9
3.73	Corners	5.57
45.9%	Ball Possession	54.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Hamburger SV won 5 times, 1899 Hoffenheim won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:31 from Hamburger SV's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win

BTTS: BTTS Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (89%)

Predicted formations: Hamburger SV 3-4-1-2 / 1899 Hoffenheim 3-4-2-1

Missing players: Hamburger SV 7, 1899 Hoffenheim 4

H2H summary: Hamburger SV wins 5, draws 2, 1899 Hoffenheim wins 8

Standings

Bundesliga

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Bayern München	34	28	5	1	122:36	86	89	W W D W W
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	22	7	5	70:34	36	73	W W L W L
3	RB Leipzig	34	20	5	9	66:47	19	65	L W L W W
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	18	8	8	71:49	22	62	D W D D L
5	1899 Hoffenheim Away	34	18	7	9	65:52	13	61	L W D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen	34	17	8	9	68:47	21	59	D L W W L
7	SC Freiburg	34	13	8	13	51:57	-6	47	W L D L W
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	11	11	12	61:65	-4	44	D L L D L
9	FC Augsburg	34	12	7	15	45:61	-16	43	L W W D W
10	FSV Mainz 05	34	10	10	14	44:53	-9	40	W L W L D
11	Union Berlin	34	10	9	15	44:58	-14	39	W W D L L
12	Borussia Mönchengladbach	34	9	11	14	42:53	-11	38	W L W D D
13	Hamburger SV Home	34	9	11	14	40:54	-14	38	D W W L L
14	1. FC Köln	34	7	11	16	49:63	-14	32	L L D L D
15	Werder Bremen	34	8	8	18	37:60	-23	32	L L L D W
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	7	8	19	45:69	-24	29	L D W L D
17	1. FC Heidenheim	34	6	8	20	41:72	-31	26	L W D W L
18	FC St. Pauli	34	6	8	20	29:60	-31	26	L L L L D

Champions League

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Relegation