NORWAY ELITESERIEN
09.08.2026 15:00
Briskeby Arena
Referee: O. Nilsen
Ham-Kam
Match Timeline
Aalesund
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
20'
David Benjamin
Ham-Kam
🔄
24'
P. Aukland ↔ E. Engqvist
Aalesund
🟨
28'
Simen Haram
Aalesund
45'
E. Osenbroch · Assist: M. Christensen
Aalesund
🔄
54'
M. Reed ↔ H. Hammer
Aalesund
55'
M. Gjone · Assist: P. Metcalfe
Ham-Kam
🔄
56'
F. Sjolstad ↔ A. Trondsen
Ham-Kam
🔄
56'
D. Benjamin ↔ H. Udahl
Ham-Kam
🔄
78'
B. Isufi ↔ W. Osnes-Ringen
Ham-Kam
🔄
78'
K. Lonebu ↔ I. Djantou
Aalesund
🔄
78'
E. Osenbroch ↔ E. Myrlid
Aalesund
🟨
89'
Anders Trondsen
Ham-Kam
🔄
90'
P. Metcalfe ↔ S. Nilsen
Ham-Kam
🔄
90'
V. Jonsson ↔ D. Al Saed
Ham-Kam

Ham-Kam vs Aalesund Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.6%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
86.8%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ham-Kam Win 64.6%
Draw 4.1%
Aalesund Win 31.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ham-Kam1.81
Aalesund1.59
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ham-Kam Ham-Kam
WWDLW
39 GF / 36 GA
Aalesund Aalesund
WLDWL
38 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
1.63
Average Goals Scored
1.65
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
2.09
14
BTTS Yes
17
16
Over 2.5
15
4.27
Shots on Goal
4.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ham-Kam Ham-Kam 24 matches
Aalesund Aalesund 23 matches
Ham-Kam Statistic Aalesund
10 Wins 6
5 Draws 7
9 Losses 10
39 Goals For 38
36 Goals Against 48
1.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.65
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 2.09
14 BTTS Yes 17
21 Over 1.5 21
16 Over 2.5 15
9 Over 3.5 12
7 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 3
4.27 Shots On Goal 4.8
11.07 Total Shots 15.27
3.87 Corners 4.8
47.1% Ball Possession 44.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Ham-Kam have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Aalesund. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Ham-Kam Analysis

Ham-Kam sit 7 with 21 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 23:26 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Mame Alassane Niang (5 goals), Aksel Baran Potur (4 goals), Henrik Udahl (4 goals), with creative support from Martin Gjone (3 assists), Patrick Metcalfe (3 assists), Viðar Ari Jónsson (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Aalesund Analysis

Aalesund are currently 13 in the standings with 13 points from 14 matches. The record of 2 wins, 7 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 19:29 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Mathias Christensen (4 goals), Endre Hjertager Osenbroch (3 goals), Kristian Lonebu (3 goals), with creative support from Endre Hjertager Osenbroch (2 assists), Uba Charles (2 assists), Mathias Christensen (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Ham-Kam won 3 times, Aalesund won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:24 from Ham-Kam's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.9%)
Predicted formations: Ham-Kam 5-3-2 / Aalesund 5-3-2
Missing players: Ham-Kam 1, Aalesund 4
H2H summary: Ham-Kam wins 3, draws 6, Aalesund wins 5

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 15 2 2 49:15 34 47
W W W W W
2 20 15 2 3 51:20 31 47
W D W L W
3 20 11 3 6 43:30 13 36
W W W W L
4 20 10 5 5 37:27 10 35
L L D L W
5 20 10 2 8 28:26 2 32
W W L D L
6 20 9 3 8 36:29 7 30
W W L W W
7 20 8 3 9 24:31 -7 27
D L W W W
8 20 8 2 10 37:31 6 26
L L D W W
9 20 6 7 7 23:26 -3 25
D D D L L
10 20 6 5 9 27:41 -14 23
L L D L D
11 20 6 4 10 33:42 -9 22
L D L D L
12 20 6 4 10 22:34 -12 22
W L L D W
13 19 5 5 9 16:24 -8 20
D D W L L
14 20 5 4 11 20:37 -17 19
L W D L W
15 20 3 9 8 31:45 -14 18
L W L D D
16 20 4 4 12 22:41 -19 16
W L W L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen