MALTA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: V. Rizoski
Gzira United
Match Timeline
Floriana
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
M. Jah
Floriana
🔄
37'
M. Jah ↔ K. Dervisagic
Floriana
🔄
46'
D. Xuereb ↔ Kante
Gzira United
🔄
46'
Z. Scerri ↔ A. Kurtalic
Floriana
🔄
46'
Antonio Lara ↔ O. Spiteri
Floriana
🔄
57'
J. Grech ↔ D. Vella
Floriana
🟨
60'
G. Gamarra
Floriana
🔄
68'
B. Borg ↔ S. Martinez
Gzira United
🔄
78'
C. M'Mombwa ↔ Chico Teixeira
Floriana
🔄
80'
C. Failla ↔ M. Van de Bovenkamp
Gzira United
🔄
85'
Andre Carlos ↔ D. Farrugia
Gzira United
🔄
85'
L. Riascos ↔ N. Cassar
Gzira United

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 67.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 25.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
67.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
25.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Gzira United Win 27.8%
Draw 4.9%
Floriana Win 67.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gzira United1.14
Floriana1.54
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gzira United Gzira United
WWDLW
38 GF / 42 GA
Floriana Floriana
WLDWL
58 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
1.66
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
1
16
BTTS Yes
20
14
Over 2.5
18
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gzira United Gzira United 31 matches
Floriana Floriana 35 matches
Gzira United Statistic Floriana
12 Wins 22
7 Draws 8
12 Losses 5
38 Goals For 58
42 Goals Against 35
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 1.66
1.35 Avg Goals Conceded 1
16 BTTS Yes 20
23 Over 1.5 27
14 Over 2.5 18
6 Over 3.5 11
10 Clean Sheets 13
9 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Floriana having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Floriana carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 34 points while Gzira United sit 5 on 21, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Gzira United have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Floriana.

Gzira United Analysis

Gzira United sit 5 with 21 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 17:16 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Maxuell Samurai (9 goals), Andre Carlos (8 goals), J. Bonilla (5 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Floriana Analysis

Floriana come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 34 points after 15 matches. With 10 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 27:12, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by J. Grech (11 goals), F. Varela (7 goals), M. Jah (7 goals), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Gzira United won 5 times, Floriana won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:20 from Gzira United's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
H2H summary: Gzira United wins 5, draws 3, Floriana wins 7

Lineups

Gzira United
Formation
Floriana
E. Colombo
E. Colombo
G. Mentz
G. Mentz
D. Abela
D. Abela
A. Borg
A. Borg
B. Borg
B. Borg
Andre Carlos
Andre Carlos
Maxuell Samurai
Maxuell Samurai
C. Failla
C. Failla
L. Riascos
L. Riascos
C. N’sa
C. N’sa
D. Xuereb
D. Xuereb
P. Picon
P. Picon
Antonio Lara
Antonio Lara
J. Grech
J. Grech
F. Varela
F. Varela
Z. Scerri
Z. Scerri
M. Jah
M. Jah
C. Zammit Lonardelli
C. Zammit Lonardelli
C. M'Mombwa
C. M'Mombwa
G. Gamarra
G. Gamarra
I. Mendonca
I. Mendonca
P. Mbong
P. Mbong
Gzira United 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
33
E. Colombo
3
G. Mentz
5
D. Abela
6
A. Borg
8
B. Borg
↓ 68'
9
Andre Carlos
↓ 85'
10
Maxuell Samurai
13
C. Failla
↓ 80'
14
L. Riascos
↓ 85'
23
C. N’sa
30
D. Xuereb
↓ 46'
Substitutes
1
K. Sargent
20
K. Galea
7
S. Martinez
↑ 68'
11
D. Farrugia
↑ 85'
19
S. Bastic
22
M. Van de Bovenkamp
↑ 80'
25
A. Previ
28
N. Cassar
↑ 85'
57
J. Bonilla
96
M. Stojanovic
98
Kante
↑ 46'
Floriana 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
P. Picon
4
Antonio Lara
↓ 46'
8
J. Grech
↓ 57'
10
F. Varela
11
Z. Scerri
↓ 46'
19
M. Jah
⚽ 5' ↓ 37'
21
C. Zammit Lonardelli
24
C. M'Mombwa
↓ 78'
25
G. Gamarra
🟨 60'
34
I. Mendonca
88
P. Mbong
Substitutes
23
G. Cioletti
5
G. Rodgers
9
K. Dervisagic
↑ 37'
12
D. Vella
↑ 57'
14
A. Kurtalic
↑ 46'
17
O. Spiteri
↑ 46'
20
E. Piscopo
22
Chico Teixeira
↑ 78'
27
Z. Vella Newell
99
D. Attard
37
A. Micallef
Last matches: Gzira United
26.04.26
Pre
Gzira United
Naxxar Lions
0
0
D
19.04.26
Pre
Gzira United
Marsaxlokk
1
2
L
15.04.26
Pre
Gzira United
Hamrun Spartans
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pre
Gzira United
Valletta FC
1
2
L
14.03.26
Pre
Gzira United
Sliema Wanderers
1
2
L
07.03.26
Pre
Gzira United
Hibernians
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pre
Gzira United
Zabbar St. Patrick
1
1
D
22.02.26
Pre
Gzira United
Mosta
1
0
W
17.02.26
Pre
Gzira United
Naxxar Lions
2
4
L
13.02.26
Pre
Gzira United
Valletta FC
0
2
L
08.02.26
Pre
Gzira United
Floriana
1
2
L
03.02.26
Pre
Gzira United
Hamrun Spartans
0
0
D
31.01.26
Pre
Gzira United
Tarxien Rainbows
2
1
W
25.01.26
Pre
Gzira United
Birkirkara
2
0
W
18.01.26
Pre
Gzira United
Marsaxlokk
3
0
W
11.01.26
Pre
Gzira United
Zabbar St. Patrick
0
2
L
06.01.26
Pre
Gzira United
Hibernians
1
4
L
19.12.25
Pre
Gzira United
Tarxien Rainbows
2
1
W
11.12.25
Pre
Gzira United
Naxxar Lions
3
1
W
24.11.25
Pre
Gzira United
Mosta
1
0
W
Last matches: Floriana
16.05.26
Pre
Floriana
Marsaxlokk
2
1
W
09.05.26
Pre
Floriana
Valletta FC
0
0
D
25.04.26
Pre
Floriana
Hamrun Spartans
1
4
L
18.04.26
Pre
Floriana
Valletta FC
2
0
W
15.04.26
Pre
Floriana
Marsaxlokk
3
1
W
11.04.26
Pre
Floriana
Naxxar Lions
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Floriana
Birkirkara
2
2
D
07.03.26
Pre
Floriana
Sliema Wanderers
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pre
Floriana
Hamrun Spartans
1
1
D
22.02.26
Pre
Floriana
Hibernians
4
1
W
18.02.26
Pre
Floriana
Marsaxlokk
0
0
D
15.02.26
Pre
Floriana
Tarxien Rainbows
2
0
W
08.02.26
Pre
Floriana
Gzira United
2
1
W
04.02.26
Pre
Floriana
Valletta FC
0
0
D
01.02.26
Pre
Floriana
Zabbar St. Patrick
3
0
W
25.01.26
Pre
Floriana
Mosta
2
1
W
17.01.26
Pre
Floriana
Naxxar Lions
3
1
W
10.01.26
Pre
Floriana
Valletta FC
0
0
D
07.01.26
Pre
Floriana
Hamrun Spartans
0
2
L
20.12.25
Pre
Floriana
Sliema Wanderers
2
1
W
H2H: Gzira United vs Floriana
30.04.26
H2H
Gzira United
Floriana
0
1
L
08.02.26
H2H
Gzira United
Floriana
1
2
L
12.09.25
H2H
Floriana
Gzira United
1
1
D
08.03.25
H2H
Gzira United
Floriana
0
3
L
27.09.24
H2H
Floriana
Gzira United
2
1
L
07.05.24
H2H
Floriana
Gzira United
2
2
D
03.05.24
H2H
Gzira United
Floriana
3
1
W
21.01.24
H2H
Floriana
Gzira United
0
1
W
18.02.23
H2H
Floriana
Gzira United
1
1
D
16.10.22
H2H
Gzira United
Floriana
1
0
W
03.04.22
H2H
Floriana
Gzira United
0
1
W
20.02.22
H2H
Gzira United
Floriana
1
2
L
31.10.21
H2H
Floriana
Gzira United
2
1
L
16.01.21
H2H
Gzira United
Floriana
4
1
W
20.09.20
H2H
Floriana
Gzira United
2
1
L
Last matches: Gzira United
26.04.26
Pre
Gzira United
Naxxar Lions
0
0
D
07.03.26
Pre
Gzira United
Hibernians
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pre
Gzira United
Zabbar St. Patrick
1
1
D
22.02.26
Pre
Gzira United
Mosta
1
0
W
13.02.26
Pre
Gzira United
Valletta FC
0
2
L
08.02.26
Pre
Gzira United
Floriana
1
2
L
03.02.26
Pre
Gzira United
Hamrun Spartans
0
0
D
25.01.26
Pre
Gzira United
Birkirkara
2
0
W
18.01.26
Pre
Gzira United
Marsaxlokk
3
0
W
11.01.26
Pre
Gzira United
Zabbar St. Patrick
0
2
L
19.12.25
Pre
Gzira United
Tarxien Rainbows
2
1
W
11.12.25
Pre
Gzira United
Naxxar Lions
3
1
W
24.11.25
Pre
Gzira United
Mosta
1
0
W
03.11.25
Pre
Gzira United
Naxxar Lions
2
1
W
24.10.25
Pre
Gzira United
Tarxien Rainbows
3
1
W
H2H at home: Gzira United
30.04.26
H2H
Gzira United
Floriana
0
1
L
08.02.26
H2H
Gzira United
Floriana
1
2
L
08.03.25
H2H
Gzira United
Floriana
0
3
L
03.05.24
H2H
Gzira United
Floriana
3
1
W
16.10.22
H2H
Gzira United
Floriana
1
0
W
20.02.22
H2H
Gzira United
Floriana
1
2
L
16.01.21
H2H
Gzira United
Floriana
4
1
W
Last matches: Floriana
09.05.26
Pre
Floriana
Valletta FC
0
0
D
15.04.26
Pre
Floriana
Marsaxlokk
3
1
W
11.04.26
Pre
Floriana
Naxxar Lions
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Floriana
Birkirkara
2
2
D
07.03.26
Pre
Floriana
Sliema Wanderers
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pre
Floriana
Hamrun Spartans
1
1
D
08.02.26
Pre
Floriana
Gzira United
2
1
W
04.02.26
Pre
Floriana
Valletta FC
0
0
D
01.02.26
Pre
Floriana
Zabbar St. Patrick
3
0
W
03.10.25
Pre
Floriana
Hibernians
1
0
W
27.09.25
Pre
Floriana
Mosta
1
0
W
20.09.25
Pre
Floriana
Marsaxlokk
2
1
W
23.08.25
Pre
Floriana
Tarxien Rainbows
1
0
W
17.08.25
Pre
Floriana
Naxxar Lions
3
1
W
22.07.25
UEF
Floriana
Ballkani
2
4
L
17.07.25
UEF
Floriana
Haverfordwest County AFC
3
2
W
H2H away: Floriana
30.04.26
H2H
Gzira United
Floriana
0
1
W
08.02.26
H2H
Gzira United
Floriana
1
2
W
08.03.25
H2H
Gzira United
Floriana
0
3
W
03.05.24
H2H
Gzira United
Floriana
3
1
L
16.10.22
H2H
Gzira United
Floriana
1
0
L
20.02.22
H2H
Gzira United
Floriana
1
2
W
16.01.21
H2H
Gzira United
Floriana
4
1
L

Standings

Premier League , Closing Top 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 11 4 1 28:12 16 37
W W W L W
2 16 9 4 3 22:20 2 31
L W W W W
3 16 8 4 4 26:11 15 28
W L L W W
4 16 6 6 4 21:13 8 24
L L W L L
5 16 6 3 7 17:17 0 21
L D L W L
6 16 5 5 6 23:26 -3 20
L L D L D