SENEGAL LIGUE 1
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 67.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
67.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Guédiawaye Win 28.3%
Draw 4.2%
Wally Daan Win 67.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Guédiawaye0.85
Wally Daan0.98
Recent Form (Last 5)
Guédiawaye Guédiawaye
WWDLW
25 GF / 30 GA
Wally Daan Wally Daan
WLDWL
24 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
0.93
Average Goals Scored
0.89
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
0.74
12
BTTS Yes
13
11
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Guédiawaye Guédiawaye 27 matches
Wally Daan Wally Daan 27 matches
Guédiawaye Statistic Wally Daan
6 Wins 9
8 Draws 12
13 Losses 6
25 Goals For 24
30 Goals Against 20
0.93 Avg Goals Scored 0.89
1.11 Avg Goals Conceded 0.74
12 BTTS Yes 13
18 Over 1.5 14
11 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 1
8 Clean Sheets 10
11 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Wally Daan's more proactive style and Guédiawaye's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Wally Daan. Wally Daan carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 39 points while Guédiawaye sit 13 on 25, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Wally Daan having the stronger overall control.

Guédiawaye Analysis

Guédiawaye are currently 13 in the standings with 25 points from 26 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 8 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 25:29 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Wally Daan Analysis

Wally Daan arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 39 points after 26 matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 12 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 24:19 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Guédiawaye won 0 times, Wally Daan won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:5 from Guédiawaye's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.75 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
H2H summary: Guédiawaye wins 0, draws 1, Wally Daan wins 3
Last matches: Guédiawaye
04.06.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Teungueth
0
1
L
22.05.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Stade de Mbour
2
0
W
13.05.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
AJEL
0
1
L
10.05.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Ouakam
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
HLM
1
2
L
25.04.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
AS Camberene
0
0
D
19.04.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Casa Sport
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Jaraaf
1
2
L
29.03.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Pikine
1
3
L
26.03.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Sonacos
3
0
W
17.03.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Génération Foot
2
1
W
08.03.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
La Linguère
3
1
W
01.03.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Gorée
1
1
D
22.02.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
DSC
3
0
W
14.02.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Teungueth
0
0
D
08.02.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Stade de Mbour
0
0
D
02.02.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Wally Daan
0
1
L
25.01.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
AJEL
0
1
L
11.01.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Ouakam
1
1
D
07.01.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
HLM
0
1
L
Last matches: Wally Daan
04.06.26
Lig
Wally Daan
La Linguère
1
1
D
22.05.26
Lig
Wally Daan
Gorée
1
1
D
13.05.26
Lig
Wally Daan
Teungueth
0
1
L
10.05.26
Lig
Wally Daan
Stade de Mbour
1
1
D
02.05.26
Lig
Wally Daan
DSC
2
1
W
25.04.26
Lig
Wally Daan
AJEL
0
0
D
19.04.26
Lig
Wally Daan
Ouakam
0
1
L
11.04.26
Lig
Wally Daan
HLM
2
1
W
30.03.26
Lig
Wally Daan
AS Camberene
2
1
W
25.03.26
Lig
Wally Daan
Casa Sport
1
1
D
15.03.26
Lig
Wally Daan
Jaraaf
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lig
Wally Daan
Pikine
2
0
W
01.03.26
Lig
Wally Daan
Sonacos
2
1
W
22.02.26
Lig
Wally Daan
Génération Foot
1
2
L
15.02.26
Lig
Wally Daan
La Linguère
1
1
D
07.02.26
Lig
Wally Daan
Gorée
1
1
D
02.02.26
Lig
Wally Daan
Guédiawaye
1
0
W
25.01.26
Lig
Wally Daan
Teungueth
0
0
D
11.01.26
Lig
Wally Daan
Stade de Mbour
1
0
W
07.01.26
Lig
Wally Daan
DSC
1
1
D
H2H: Guédiawaye vs Wally Daan
17.05.26
H2H
Guédiawaye
Wally Daan
2
3
L
02.02.26
H2H
Wally Daan
Guédiawaye
1
0
L
22.05.25
H2H
Guédiawaye
Wally Daan
0
0
D
21.12.24
H2H
Wally Daan
Guédiawaye
1
0
L
Last matches: Guédiawaye
04.06.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Teungueth
0
1
L
10.05.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Ouakam
1
1
D
25.04.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
AS Camberene
0
0
D
29.03.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Pikine
1
3
L
17.03.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Génération Foot
2
1
W
01.03.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Gorée
1
1
D
22.02.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
DSC
3
0
W
08.02.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Stade de Mbour
0
0
D
25.01.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
AJEL
0
1
L
07.01.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
HLM
0
1
L
21.12.25
Lig
Guédiawaye
Casa Sport
2
0
W
14.12.25
Lig
Guédiawaye
Jaraaf
1
2
L
30.11.25
Lig
Guédiawaye
Sonacos
1
2
L
16.11.25
Lig
Guédiawaye
La Linguère
0
0
D
H2H at home: Guédiawaye
17.05.26
H2H
Guédiawaye
Wally Daan
2
3
L
22.05.25
H2H
Guédiawaye
Wally Daan
0
0
D
Last matches: Wally Daan
04.06.26
Lig
Wally Daan
La Linguère
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Wally Daan
Stade de Mbour
1
1
D
02.05.26
Lig
Wally Daan
DSC
2
1
W
19.04.26
Lig
Wally Daan
Ouakam
0
1
L
30.03.26
Lig
Wally Daan
AS Camberene
2
1
W
15.03.26
Lig
Wally Daan
Jaraaf
1
0
W
22.02.26
Lig
Wally Daan
Génération Foot
1
2
L
07.02.26
Lig
Wally Daan
Gorée
1
1
D
25.01.26
Lig
Wally Daan
Teungueth
0
0
D
28.12.25
Lig
Wally Daan
AJEL
0
0
D
14.12.25
Lig
Wally Daan
HLM
2
2
D
30.11.25
Lig
Wally Daan
Casa Sport
0
1
L
16.11.25
Lig
Wally Daan
Pikine
0
1
L
09.11.25
Lig
Wally Daan
Sonacos
1
2
L
H2H away: Wally Daan
17.05.26
H2H
Guédiawaye
Wally Daan
2
3
W
22.05.25
H2H
Guédiawaye
Wally Daan
0
0
D

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 13 15 2 21:6 15 54
?
2 30 15 9 6 27:19 8 54
?
3 30 13 9 8 37:22 15 48
?
4 30 11 15 4 29:14 15 48
?
5 30 10 14 6 29:24 5 44
?
6 30 8 18 4 23:16 7 42
?
7 30 9 14 7 21:16 5 41
?
8 30 7 19 4 29:20 9 40
?
9 30 7 13 10 20:19 1 34
?
10 30 5 18 7 18:21 -3 33
?
11 30 5 18 7 18:24 -6 33
?
12 30 5 16 9 24:37 -13 31
?
13 30 7 8 15 29:34 -5 28
?
14 30 3 16 11 22:36 -14 25
?
15 30 4 13 13 18:39 -21 25
?
16 30 3 15 12 16:34 -18 24
?
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation