SENEGAL LIGUE 1
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 87%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 68.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
87%
-
BTTS BTTS No
50%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
68.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Guédiawaye Win 42.4%
Draw 13%
Ouakam Win 44.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Guédiawaye0.74
Ouakam0.81
Recent Form (Last 5)
Guédiawaye Guédiawaye
WWDLW
24 GF / 28 GA
Ouakam Ouakam
WLDWL
15 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
0.96
Average Goals Scored
0.6
1.12
Average Goals Conceded
0.4
11
BTTS Yes
7
11
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Guédiawaye Guédiawaye 25 matches
Ouakam Ouakam 25 matches
Guédiawaye Statistic Ouakam
6 Wins 6
7 Draws 16
12 Losses 3
24 Goals For 15
28 Goals Against 10
0.96 Avg Goals Scored 0.6
1.12 Avg Goals Conceded 0.4
11 BTTS Yes 7
17 Over 1.5 8
11 Over 2.5 3
3 Over 3.5 0
8 Clean Sheets 16
10 Failed To Score 13
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Ouakam's more proactive style and Guédiawaye's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ouakam having the stronger overall control. Guédiawaye have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Ouakam. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Guédiawaye Analysis

Guédiawaye approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 24 points from 25 matches. The overall return of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 12 defeats with a 24:28 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Ouakam Analysis

So far, Ouakam have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 34 points from 25 matches. The record of 6 wins, 16 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 15:10 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 10 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Guédiawaye won 4 times, Ouakam won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:12 from Guédiawaye's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87%)
H2H summary: Guédiawaye wins 4, draws 4, Ouakam wins 2
Last matches: Guédiawaye
04.06.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Teungueth
0
1
L
22.05.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Stade de Mbour
2
0
W
17.05.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Wally Daan
2
3
L
13.05.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
AJEL
0
1
L
03.05.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
HLM
1
2
L
25.04.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
AS Camberene
0
0
D
19.04.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Casa Sport
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Jaraaf
1
2
L
29.03.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Pikine
1
3
L
26.03.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Sonacos
3
0
W
17.03.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Génération Foot
2
1
W
08.03.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
La Linguère
3
1
W
01.03.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Gorée
1
1
D
22.02.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
DSC
3
0
W
14.02.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Teungueth
0
0
D
08.02.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Stade de Mbour
0
0
D
02.02.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Wally Daan
0
1
L
25.01.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
AJEL
0
1
L
11.01.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Ouakam
1
1
D
07.01.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
HLM
0
1
L
Last matches: Ouakam
04.06.26
Lig
Ouakam
Sonacos
2
1
W
22.05.26
Lig
Ouakam
Génération Foot
2
3
L
17.05.26
Lig
Ouakam
La Linguère
1
1
D
13.05.26
Lig
Ouakam
Gorée
2
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Ouakam
Teungueth
0
0
D
26.04.26
Lig
Ouakam
Stade de Mbour
0
0
D
19.04.26
Lig
Ouakam
Wally Daan
1
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
Ouakam
AJEL
0
1
L
29.03.26
Lig
Ouakam
DSC
1
1
D
25.03.26
Lig
Ouakam
HLM
1
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Ouakam
AS Camberene
1
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
Ouakam
Casa Sport
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
Ouakam
Jaraaf
0
0
D
22.02.26
Lig
Ouakam
Pikine
2
1
W
16.02.26
Lig
Ouakam
Sonacos
0
0
D
07.02.26
Lig
Ouakam
Génération Foot
0
0
D
01.02.26
Lig
Ouakam
La Linguère
3
0
W
24.01.26
Lig
Ouakam
Gorée
0
0
D
11.01.26
Lig
Ouakam
Guédiawaye
1
1
D
07.01.26
Lig
Ouakam
Teungueth
0
0
D
H2H: Guédiawaye vs Ouakam
10.05.26
H2H
Guédiawaye
Ouakam
1
1
D
11.01.26
H2H
Ouakam
Guédiawaye
1
1
D
02.03.25
H2H
Ouakam
Guédiawaye
3
1
L
20.10.24
H2H
Guédiawaye
Ouakam
1
1
D
14.04.24
H2H
Guédiawaye
Ouakam
4
2
W
10.12.23
H2H
Ouakam
Guédiawaye
2
0
L
15.04.18
H2H
Guédiawaye
Ouakam
2
1
W
23.02.18
H2H
Ouakam
Guédiawaye
0
1
W
04.06.17
H2H
Guédiawaye
Ouakam
0
0
D
08.01.17
H2H
Ouakam
Guédiawaye
1
3
W
Last matches: Guédiawaye
04.06.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Teungueth
0
1
L
17.05.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Wally Daan
2
3
L
25.04.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
AS Camberene
0
0
D
29.03.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Pikine
1
3
L
17.03.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Génération Foot
2
1
W
01.03.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Gorée
1
1
D
22.02.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
DSC
3
0
W
08.02.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Stade de Mbour
0
0
D
25.01.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
AJEL
0
1
L
07.01.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
HLM
0
1
L
21.12.25
Lig
Guédiawaye
Casa Sport
2
0
W
14.12.25
Lig
Guédiawaye
Jaraaf
1
2
L
30.11.25
Lig
Guédiawaye
Sonacos
1
2
L
16.11.25
Lig
Guédiawaye
La Linguère
0
0
D
H2H at home: Guédiawaye
10.05.26
H2H
Guédiawaye
Ouakam
1
1
D
20.10.24
H2H
Guédiawaye
Ouakam
1
1
D
14.04.24
H2H
Guédiawaye
Ouakam
4
2
W
15.04.18
H2H
Guédiawaye
Ouakam
2
1
W
04.06.17
H2H
Guédiawaye
Ouakam
0
0
D
Last matches: Ouakam
17.05.26
Lig
Ouakam
La Linguère
1
1
D
26.04.26
Lig
Ouakam
Stade de Mbour
0
0
D
11.04.26
Lig
Ouakam
AJEL
0
1
L
29.03.26
Lig
Ouakam
DSC
1
1
D
15.03.26
Lig
Ouakam
AS Camberene
1
0
W
01.03.26
Lig
Ouakam
Jaraaf
0
0
D
16.02.26
Lig
Ouakam
Sonacos
0
0
D
07.02.26
Lig
Ouakam
Génération Foot
0
0
D
24.01.26
Lig
Ouakam
Gorée
0
0
D
07.01.26
Lig
Ouakam
Teungueth
0
0
D
20.12.25
Lig
Ouakam
Wally Daan
0
0
D
30.11.25
Lig
Ouakam
HLM
0
0
D
16.11.25
Lig
Ouakam
Casa Sport
0
1
L
02.11.25
Lig
Ouakam
Pikine
0
0
D
H2H away: Ouakam
10.05.26
H2H
Guédiawaye
Ouakam
1
1
D
20.10.24
H2H
Guédiawaye
Ouakam
1
1
D
14.04.24
H2H
Guédiawaye
Ouakam
4
2
L
15.04.18
H2H
Guédiawaye
Ouakam
2
1
L
04.06.17
H2H
Guédiawaye
Ouakam
0
0
D