BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Guarany de Bagé
Match Timeline
Cascavel
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
16'
Guarany de Bagé
Guarany de Bagé
27'
Ze Carlos
Cascavel
🟥
50'
Guarany de Bagé
Guarany de Bagé
65'
Ze Carlos
Cascavel
69'
Ze Carlos
Cascavel
80'
Kauhe Galdino
Cascavel

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 75.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 87.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
75.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
87.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Guarany de Bagé Win 70.8%
Draw 0%
Cascavel Win 29.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Guarany de Bagé0.35
Cascavel1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Guarany de Bagé Guarany de Bagé
WWDLW
2 GF / 11 GA
Cascavel Cascavel
WLDWL
5 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
0.29
Average Goals Scored
0.71
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
0.43
1
BTTS Yes
1
2
Over 2.5
0
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Guarany de Bagé Guarany de Bagé 7 matches
Cascavel Cascavel 7 matches
Guarany de Bagé Statistic Cascavel
1 Wins 3
1 Draws 2
5 Losses 2
2 Goals For 5
11 Goals Against 3
0.29 Avg Goals Scored 0.71
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 0.43
1 BTTS Yes 1
4 Over 1.5 2
2 Over 2.5 0
1 Over 3.5 0
2 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Cascavel's more proactive style and Guarany de Bagé's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Cascavel. Guarany de Bagé have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Cascavel carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 11 points while Guarany de Bagé sit 6 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Cascavel having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Guarany de Bagé Analysis

Guarany de Bagé approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 4 points from 7 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats with a 2:11 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Cascavel Analysis

Placed 3 with 11 points from 7 outings, Cascavel continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, while the 5:3 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Robinho (2 goals), Borech (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Guarany de Bagé won 0 times, Cascavel won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:6 from Guarany de Bagé's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Guarany de Bagé wins 0, draws 0, Cascavel wins 2
Last matches: Guarany de Bagé
07.06.26
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Cianorte
0
1
L
30.05.26
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Joinville
0
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
São Luiz
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Santa Catarina
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Santa Catarina
0
3
L
26.04.26
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
São Luiz
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Cascavel
0
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Joinville
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Cianorte
1
3
L
27.07.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Joinville
2
1
W
20.07.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Marcílio Dias
1
1
D
13.07.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
São Luiz
2
1
W
05.07.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Sao Jose
1
0
W
29.06.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Brasil DE Pelotas
1
0
W
21.06.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Barra
0
3
L
15.06.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Azuriz
0
1
L
01.06.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Barra
0
2
L
25.05.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Azuriz
0
0
D
18.05.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Brasil DE Pelotas
0
0
D
11.05.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Sao Jose
1
0
W
Last matches: Cascavel
28.06.26
Ser
Cascavel
Marcílio Dias
1
2
L
27.06.26
Fri
Cascavel
Gremio
1
2
L
21.06.26
Ser
Cascavel
Marcílio Dias
2
2
D
07.06.26
Ser
Cascavel
Santa Catarina
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ser
Cascavel
São Luiz
0
0
D
17.05.26
Ser
Cascavel
Cianorte
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Cascavel
Joinville
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Cascavel
Joinville
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Cascavel
Cianorte
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Cascavel
Guarany de Bagé
2
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Cascavel
São Luiz
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Cascavel
Santa Catarina
1
0
W
09.08.25
Ser
Cascavel
Barra
0
3
L
02.08.25
Ser
Cascavel
Barra
0
1
L
26.07.25
Ser
Cascavel
Uberlandia
2
1
W
19.07.25
Ser
Cascavel
Goiatuba EC
0
0
D
12.07.25
Ser
Cascavel
Cianorte
2
1
W
05.07.25
Ser
Cascavel
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
28.06.25
Ser
Cascavel
Monte Azul
1
1
D
14.06.25
Ser
Cascavel
Operario Ferroviario
0
0
D
H2H: Guarany de Bagé vs Cascavel
24.05.26
H2H
Guarany de Bagé
Cascavel
0
4
L
19.04.26
H2H
Cascavel
Guarany de Bagé
2
0
L
Last matches: Guarany de Bagé
07.06.26
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Cianorte
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Santa Catarina
1
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
São Luiz
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Joinville
0
0
D
27.07.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Joinville
2
1
W
13.07.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
São Luiz
2
1
W
29.06.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Brasil DE Pelotas
1
0
W
15.06.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Azuriz
0
1
L
01.06.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Barra
0
2
L
11.05.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Sao Jose
1
0
W
27.04.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Marcílio Dias
3
3
D
H2H at home: Guarany de Bagé
24.05.26
H2H
Guarany de Bagé
Cascavel
0
4
L
Last matches: Cascavel
28.06.26
Ser
Cascavel
Marcílio Dias
1
2
L
07.06.26
Ser
Cascavel
Santa Catarina
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Cascavel
Cianorte
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Cascavel
Joinville
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
Cascavel
São Luiz
0
0
D
09.08.25
Ser
Cascavel
Barra
0
3
L
19.07.25
Ser
Cascavel
Goiatuba EC
0
0
D
05.07.25
Ser
Cascavel
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
14.06.25
Ser
Cascavel
Operario Ferroviario
0
0
D
31.05.25
Ser
Cascavel
Itabirito
1
1
D
17.05.25
Ser
Cascavel
Monte Azul
1
0
W
03.05.25
Ser
Cascavel
Cianorte
0
3
L
19.04.25
Ser
Cascavel
Uberlandia
1
1
D
H2H away: Cascavel
24.05.26
H2H
Guarany de Bagé
Cascavel
0
4
W