BRAZIL SERIE C
17.05.2026 21:30
Referee: A. de Morais
Guarani Campinas
Match Timeline
Ituano
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
16'
Gabriel William
Ituano
🟨
28'
Gabriel Razera
Ituano
🟨
30'
Neto Berola
Ituano
43'
Neto Berola
Ituano
🟨
45+1'
Yan Henrique
Guarani Campinas
🟨
45+4'
Gabriel William
Ituano
45'
Nathan Melo
Guarani Campinas
🔄
46'
Yan Henrique ↔ Ynaia
Guarani Campinas
🟨
54'
Ituano
Ituano
🔄
65'
Neto Berola ↔ Alason Carioca
Ituano
🔄
68'
Diego Torres ↔ Lucca
Guarani Campinas
🔄
71'
Guilherme Xavier ↔ Martha
Ituano
🔄
71'
Gabriel Razera ↔ Bruno Mezenga
Ituano
74'
Alason Carioca
Ituano
🟨
75'
Alason Carioca
Ituano
🔄
75'
Guilherme Cachoeira ↔ Guilherme Parede
Guarani Campinas
🔄
75'
Herbert ↔ Mirandinha
Guarani Campinas
🔄
75'
Maranhao ↔ Kewen
Guarani Campinas
🟨
76'
Carlos Eduardo
Guarani Campinas
🔄
80'
Thassio ↔ Victor Reis
Ituano
🔄
80'
Tiaguinho ↔ Guilherme Dal Pian
Ituano
🟨
87'
Victor Reis
Ituano
🟨
90+3'
Ynaia
Guarani Campinas
🟨
90+5'
Mauricio Antonio
Guarani Campinas

Guarani Campinas vs Ituano Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 89.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 36.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
89.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
36.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Guarani Campinas Win 89.1%
Draw 0%
Ituano Win 11%
Expected Goals (xG)
Guarani Campinas1.67
Ituano1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Guarani Campinas Guarani Campinas
WWDLW
12 GF / 4 GA
Ituano Ituano
WLDWL
8 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.33
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
3
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Guarani Campinas Guarani Campinas 6 matches
Ituano Ituano 6 matches
Guarani Campinas Statistic Ituano
3 Wins 3
3 Draws 1
0 Losses 2
12 Goals For 8
4 Goals Against 7
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
0.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
3 BTTS Yes 2
5 Over 1.5 5
2 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Ituano. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ituano having the stronger overall control.

Guarani Campinas Analysis

Guarani Campinas are currently 9 in the standings with 9 points from 5 matches. The record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 defeats, together with a 7:4 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Hebert (3 goals), Guilherme Cachoeira (2 goals), Maranhao (2 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Ituano Analysis

Ituano arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 10 points after 6 matches. The record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 8:7 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Gabriel Razera (2 goals), Fernando Canesin (1 goals), Leo Coltro (1 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Guarani Campinas won 3 times, Ituano won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:19 from Guarani Campinas's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Guarani Campinas wins 3, draws 5, Ituano wins 6

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
L L L W W
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D W D D W
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W D W L W
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
W L W W W
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
L W L W W
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D D D L
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
L L L W L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
W W W D W
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation