BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Guaporé
Match Timeline
Humaitá
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
Daniel Felipe
Guaporé
31'
Gabriel
Guaporé
36'
L. Monteiro
Humaitá
90'
Gabriel
Guaporé

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62%
-
BTTS BTTS No
50.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Probability Distribution
Guaporé Win 62%
Draw 27.2%
Humaitá Win 10.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Guaporé2.2
Humaitá0.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Guaporé Guaporé
WWDLW
2 GF / 1 GA
Humaitá Humaitá
WLDWL
1 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.5
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
4
1
BTTS Yes
1
0
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Guaporé Guaporé 2 matches
Humaitá Humaitá 2 matches
Guaporé Statistic Humaitá
1 Wins 0
1 Draws 0
0 Losses 2
2 Goals For 1
1 Goals Against 8
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Avg Goals Conceded 4
1 BTTS Yes 1
1 Over 1.5 2
0 Over 2.5 2
0 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Guaporé's more proactive style and Humaitá's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Guaporé arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 4 points compared to Humaitá in 6 on 0, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Humaitá having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Humaitá.

Guaporé Analysis

Placed 3 with 4 points from 2 outings, Guaporé continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, while the 2:1 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Gabriel (2 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Humaitá Analysis

Humaitá sit 6 with 0 points after 2 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, while the 1:8 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Erick Silva (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Guaporé won 2 times, Humaitá won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:1 from Guaporé's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (89.1%)
H2H summary: Guaporé wins 2, draws 0, Humaitá wins 0
Last matches: Guaporé
14.06.26
Ser
Guaporé
Independência
2
2
D
30.05.26
Ser
Guaporé
Araguaína
3
2
W
23.05.26
Ser
Guaporé
Humaitá
4
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Guaporé
Porto Velho
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ser
Guaporé
Galvez
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Guaporé
Galvez
3
3
D
25.04.26
Ser
Guaporé
Porto Velho
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Guaporé
Araguaína
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
Guaporé
Independência
1
0
W
Last matches: Humaitá
14.06.26
Ser
Humaitá
Porto Velho
0
13
L
31.05.26
Ser
Humaitá
Independência
0
4
L
23.05.26
Ser
Humaitá
Guaporé
0
4
L
16.05.26
Ser
Humaitá
Galvez
2
4
L
10.05.26
Ser
Humaitá
Araguaína
0
7
L
03.05.26
Ser
Humaitá
Araguaína
0
6
L
26.04.26
Ser
Humaitá
Galvez
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Humaitá
Independência
0
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
Humaitá
Porto Velho
1
5
L
27.07.25
Ser
Humaitá
Tuna Luso
0
2
L
20.07.25
Ser
Humaitá
Manaus FC
1
2
L
12.07.25
Ser
Humaitá
Independência
1
0
W
06.07.25
Ser
Humaitá
Trem
2
4
L
28.06.25
Ser
Humaitá
GAS
1
2
L
15.06.25
Ser
Humaitá
Manauara
2
2
D
07.06.25
Ser
Humaitá
Águia de Marabá
0
6
L
01.06.25
Ser
Humaitá
Águia de Marabá
1
3
L
24.05.25
Ser
Humaitá
Manauara
0
5
L
18.05.25
Ser
Humaitá
GAS
2
4
L
14.05.25
Ser
Humaitá
Trem
1
5
L
H2H: Guaporé vs Humaitá
23.05.26
H2H
Humaitá
Guaporé
0
4
W
18.04.26
H2H
Guaporé
Humaitá
3
1
W
Last matches: Guaporé
30.05.26
Ser
Guaporé
Araguaína
3
2
W
09.05.26
Ser
Guaporé
Galvez
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Guaporé
Porto Velho
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Guaporé
Independência
1
0
W
H2H at home: Guaporé
18.04.26
H2H
Guaporé
Humaitá
3
1
W
Last matches: Humaitá
14.06.26
Ser
Humaitá
Porto Velho
0
13
L
16.05.26
Ser
Humaitá
Galvez
2
4
L
03.05.26
Ser
Humaitá
Araguaína
0
6
L
12.04.26
Ser
Humaitá
Independência
0
3
L
27.07.25
Ser
Humaitá
Tuna Luso
0
2
L
12.07.25
Ser
Humaitá
Independência
1
0
W
28.06.25
Ser
Humaitá
GAS
1
2
L
07.06.25
Ser
Humaitá
Águia de Marabá
0
6
L
24.05.25
Ser
Humaitá
Manauara
0
5
L
14.05.25
Ser
Humaitá
Trem
1
5
L
26.04.25
Ser
Humaitá
Manaus FC
0
4
L
H2H away: Humaitá
18.04.26
H2H
Guaporé
Humaitá
3
1
L

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)