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MEXICO › LIGA MX
--.--.---- --:--
Guadalajara Chivas
FT
0 - 2
Toluca
Estadio Akron
Referee: D. Quintero
Guadalajara Chivas
Match Timeline
Toluca
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
19'
Franco Romero
Toluca
VAR
39'
Alexis Vega
Toluca
⚽
42'
A. Vega
Toluca
🔄
46'
K. Castaneda ↔ B. Gutierrez
Guadalajara Chivas
VAR
48'
Ángel Sepúlveda
Guadalajara Chivas
🟥
50'
Ángel Sepúlveda
Guadalajara Chivas
🟨
54'
Roberto Alvarado
Guadalajara Chivas
🔄
56'
R. Ledezma ↔ A. Gonzalez
Guadalajara Chivas
🔄
59'
E. Gutierrez ↔ Helinho
Toluca
🟨
61'
Jesús Gallardo
Toluca
🔄
68'
O. Govea ↔ J. Carrillo
Guadalajara Chivas
🔄
70'
A. Vega ↔ V. Guzman
Toluca
⚽
74'
J. Gallardo · Assist: Helinho
Toluca
🔄
86'
D. Aguirre ↔ M. Gomez
Guadalajara Chivas
🔄
86'
D. Campillo Del Campo ↔ R. Marin
Guadalajara Chivas
🔄
87'
J. Angulo ↔ F. Arce
Toluca
🔄
87'
N. Castro ↔ Bruno Mendez
Toluca
🟨
90+6'
Jordan Carrillo
Guadalajara Chivas

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Guadalajara Chivas Win 76.2%
Draw 7.7%
Toluca Win 16.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Guadalajara Chivas0.73
Toluca1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas
WWDLW
1 GF / 0 GA
Toluca Toluca
WLDWL
22 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
0.33
Average Goals Scored
2.44
0
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
0
BTTS Yes
5
0
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
7.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas 3 matches
Toluca Toluca 9 matches
Guadalajara Chivas Statistic Toluca
1 Wins 4
2 Draws 2
0 Losses 3
1 Goals For 22
0 Goals Against 12
0.33 Avg Goals Scored 2.44
0 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
0 BTTS Yes 5
0 Over 1.5 8
0 Over 2.5 7
0 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 7.14
0 Total Shots 18.71
0 Corners 4.14
0% Ball Possession 58.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Guadalajara Chivas won 3 times, Toluca won 5 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:18 from Guadalajara Chivas's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.4%)
Predicted formations: Guadalajara Chivas 3-1-4-2 / Toluca 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Guadalajara Chivas wins 3, draws 7, Toluca wins 5
Stats
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca Toluca
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
9
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
1
9 Corner Kicks 2
14 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 2
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Goal 9
6 Shots off Goal 4
3 Blocked Shots 1
10 Shots insidebox 10
3 Shots outsidebox 4
7 Goalkeeper Saves 4
354 Total passes 563
285 Passes accurate 499
1.09 expected_goals 1.77
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Guadalajara Chivas
Formation
Toluca
R. Rangel
R. Rangel
D. Aguirre
↓
D. Aguirre
L. Romo
L. Romo
D. Campillo Del Campo
↓
D. Campillo Del Campo
F. Gonzalez
F. Gonzalez
R. Ledezma
↓
R. Ledezma
O. Govea
↓
O. Govea
K. Castaneda
↓
K. Castaneda
B. Gonzalez
B. Gonzalez
R. Alvarado
R. Alvarado
A. Sepulveda
A. Sepulveda
L. Garcia
L. Garcia
S. Simon
S. Simon
F. Pereira
F. Pereira
E. del Villar
E. del Villar
J. Gallardo
⚽
J. Gallardo
F. Romero
F. Romero
E. Gutierrez
↓
E. Gutierrez
J. Angulo
↓
J. Angulo
N. Castro
↓
N. Castro
A. Vega
⚽ ↓
A. Vega
J. Diaz Price
J. Diaz Price
Guadalajara Chivas 3-1-4-2
Starting XI
1
R. Rangel
G
23
D. Aguirre
↓ 86'
D
7
L. Romo
D
3
D. Campillo Del Campo
↓ 86'
D
28
F. Gonzalez
M
37
R. Ledezma
↓ 56'
M
6
O. Govea
↓ 68'
M
19
K. Castaneda
↓ 46'
M
5
B. Gonzalez
M
25
R. Alvarado
🟨 54'
F
9
A. Sepulveda
🟥 50'
F
Substitutes
13
O. Whalley
G
4
M. Tapias
D
2
J. Castillo
D
24
M. Gomez
↑ 86'
D
17
R. Marin
↑ 86'
F
33
J. Carrillo
↑ 68' 🟨 90+6'
M
11
B. Gutierrez
↑ 46'
M
18
J. Perez
M
16
L. Rey
D
34
A. Gonzalez
↑ 56'
F
Toluca 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
22
L. Garcia
G
19
S. Simon
D
6
F. Pereira
D
25
E. del Villar
D
20
J. Gallardo
⚽ 74' 🟨 61'
D
5
F. Romero
🟨 19'
M
35
E. Gutierrez
↓ 59'
M
10
J. Angulo
↓ 87'
M
8
N. Castro
↓ 87'
M
9
A. Vega
⚽ 42' ↓ 70'
M
29
J. Diaz Price
F
Substitutes
1
H. Gonzalez
G
13
Luan
D
24
F. Arce
↑ 87'
M
2
D. Barbosa
D
11
Helinho
🎯 74' ↑ 59'
F
3
A. Briseno
D
7
V. Guzman
↑ 70'
M
4
Bruno Mendez
↑ 87'
D
17
B. A. Garcia Caprizo
D
191
C. Carrillo
F
Last matches: Guadalajara Chivas
17.08.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Santos Laguna
1
0
W
01.08.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Puebla
1
1
D
25.07.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
FC Juarez
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Guadalajara Chivas
Correcaminos Uat
0
0
D
17.05.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Cruz Azul
1
2
L
14.05.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Cruz Azul
2
2
D
10.05.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Tigres UANL
2
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Tigres UANL
1
3
L
26.04.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Club Tijuana
0
0
D
23.04.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Necaxa
0
0
D
19.04.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Puebla
5
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Tigres UANL
1
4
L
06.04.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2
2
D
30.03.26
Fri
Guadalajara Chivas
Atlas
1
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Monterrey
3
2
W
19.03.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Leon
5
0
W
14.03.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Santos Laguna
3
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Atlas
2
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
0
2
L
22.02.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Cruz Azul
1
2
L
Last matches: Toluca
15.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlante FC
0
0
D
03.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
1
W
22.07.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
2
L
10.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Atlante FC
3
3
D
04.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Cancún
0
1
L
31.05.26
CON
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
07.05.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
4
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
30.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Leon
4
1
W
23.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
4
L
19.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club America
1
2
L
16.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
0
W
13.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
2
W
04.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
19.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
4
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlas
1
1
D
H2H: Guadalajara Chivas vs Toluca
19.07.26
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
0
2
L
28.02.26
H2H
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
L
21.09.25
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
0
3
L
16.02.25
H2H
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
1
L
07.07.24
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
0
0
D
12.05.24
H2H
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
0
0
D
09.05.24
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
1
0
W
31.01.24
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
3
2
W
02.10.23
H2H
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
1
1
D
26.03.23
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
2
2
D
22.01.23
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
1
2
L
04.09.22
H2H
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
0
0
D
10.04.22
H2H
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
1
1
D
17.10.21
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
2
0
W
16.01.21
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
1
1
D
Last matches: Guadalajara Chivas
25.07.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
FC Juarez
1
0
W
17.05.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Cruz Azul
1
2
L
10.05.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Tigres UANL
2
0
W
26.04.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Club Tijuana
0
0
D
19.04.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Puebla
5
0
W
06.04.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2
2
D
19.03.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Leon
5
0
W
14.03.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Santos Laguna
3
0
W
15.02.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Club America
1
0
W
17.01.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Club Queretaro
2
1
W
10.01.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
CF Pachuca
2
0
W
28.11.25
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Cruz Azul
0
0
D
08.11.25
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Monterrey
4
2
W
26.10.25
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Atlas
4
1
W
19.10.25
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Mazatlán
2
0
W
24.09.25
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Necaxa
3
1
W
21.09.25
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
0
3
L
18.09.25
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Tigres UANL
0
0
D
31.08.25
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Cruz Azul
1
2
L
16.08.25
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
FC Juarez
1
2
L
H2H at home: Guadalajara Chivas
19.07.26
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
0
2
L
21.09.25
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
0
3
L
07.07.24
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
0
0
D
09.05.24
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
1
0
W
31.01.24
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
3
2
W
26.03.23
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
2
2
D
22.01.23
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
1
2
L
17.10.21
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
2
0
W
16.01.21
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
1
1
D
Last matches: Toluca
15.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlante FC
0
0
D
10.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Atlante FC
3
3
D
04.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Cancún
0
1
L
10.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
30.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
1
2
L
23.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
4
L
19.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club America
1
2
L
16.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
0
W
04.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
12.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
2
3
L
04.03.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
3
2
W
22.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
0
W
31.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Puebla
0
0
D
18.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Tigres UANL
0
0
D
11.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Monterrey
1
0
W
12.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Tigres UANL
0
1
L
04.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Monterrey
0
1
L
27.11.25
Lig
Toluca
FC Juarez
2
1
W
01.11.25
Lig
Toluca
Atlas
0
0
D
H2H away: Toluca
19.07.26
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
0
2
W
21.09.25
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
0
3
W
07.07.24
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
0
0
D
09.05.24
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
1
0
L
31.01.24
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
3
2
L
26.03.23
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
2
2
D
22.01.23
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
1
2
W
17.10.21
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
2
0
L
16.01.21
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
1
1
D

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Club America
4 3 1 0 8:1 7 10
W W D W
2
Club Tijuana
4 3 1 0 6:2 4 10
W D W W
3
Monterrey
4 3 0 1 12:5 7 9
W W L W
4
Atlas
4 3 0 1 6:5 1 9
W L W W
5
Toluca Away
4 2 1 1 6:3 3 7
D W L W
6
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
4 2 1 1 7:5 2 7
D W W L
7
Puebla
4 2 1 1 6:5 1 7
W D L W
8
Club Queretaro
4 2 1 1 5:4 1 7
D W W L
9
Guadalajara Chivas Home
4 2 1 1 3:3 0 7
W D W L
10
Cruz Azul
4 2 0 2 8:8 0 6
L L W W
11
Leon
4 2 0 2 5:5 0 6
W W L L
12
Necaxa
4 2 0 2 6:7 -1 6
L L W W
13
Atlante FC
4 1 2 1 5:5 0 5
D W D L
14
CF Pachuca
4 1 0 3 6:6 0 3
L L L W
15
Atletico San Luis
4 0 2 2 4:8 -4 2
L D D L
16
Tigres UANL
4 0 1 3 6:10 -4 1
L L D L
17
Santos Laguna
4 0 0 4 2:8 -6 0
L L L L
18
FC Juarez
4 0 0 4 2:13 -11 0
L L L L
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)