Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
82%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
63.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
70.3%
|
- |
Guadalajara Chivas
Puebla
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Guadalajara Chivas
33 matches
Puebla
31 matches
| Guadalajara Chivas | Statistic | Puebla |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wins | 6 |
| 4 | Draws | 7 |
| 10 | Losses | 18 |
| 59 | Goals For | 32 |
| 42 | Goals Against | 59 |
| 1.79 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.03 |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.9 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 21 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 5.21 | Shots On Goal | 4.29 |
| 15.48 | Total Shots | 12.71 |
| 5.67 | Corners | 4.9 |
| 56% | Ball Possession | 48.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Guadalajara Chivas's more proactive style and Puebla's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Guadalajara Chivas arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 31 points compared to Puebla in 16 on 13, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Puebla arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Puebla.
Guadalajara Chivas come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 31 points after 14 matches. The return of 10 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 28:17, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through A. Gonzalez (24 goals), B. Gonzalez (4 goals), Daniel Aguirre (4 goals), with creative support from Richard Ledezma (8 assists), E. Alvarez (6 assists), B. Gonzalez (5 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Puebla sit 16 with 13 points after 14 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats with a 11:17 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on E. Gomez (7 goals), R. Marin (5 goals), C. Baltazar (4 goals), with creative support from E. Gomez (5 assists), R. Marin (5 assists), C. Baltazar (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Guadalajara Chivas won 7 times, Puebla won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:12 from Guadalajara Chivas's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.43 goals per game.
Guadalajara Chivas
8
1
7
2
1
1
Lineups
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
Correcaminos Uat
Guadalajara Chivas
Cruz Azul
Guadalajara Chivas
Cruz Azul
Guadalajara Chivas
Tigres UANL
Guadalajara Chivas
Tigres UANL
Guadalajara Chivas
Club Tijuana
Guadalajara Chivas
Necaxa
Guadalajara Chivas
Tigres UANL
Guadalajara Chivas
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Guadalajara Chivas
Atlas
Guadalajara Chivas
Monterrey
Guadalajara Chivas
Leon
Guadalajara Chivas
Santos Laguna
Guadalajara Chivas
Atlas
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
Cruz Azul
Guadalajara Chivas
Club America
Guadalajara Chivas
Mazatlán
Guadalajara Chivas
Atletico San Luis
Puebla
Cruz Azul
Puebla
FC Juarez
Puebla
Atlas
Puebla
CF Pachuca
Puebla
Tlaxcala
Puebla
Club Queretaro
Puebla
Monterrey
Puebla
Leon
Puebla
FC Juarez
Puebla
Santos Laguna
Puebla
Necaxa
Puebla
CF Pachuca
Puebla
Tigres UANL
Puebla
Atletico San Luis
Puebla
Club America
Puebla
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Puebla
Club Tijuana
Puebla
Toluca
Puebla
Cruz Azul
Puebla
Mazatlán
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
Cruz Azul
Guadalajara Chivas
Tigres UANL
Guadalajara Chivas
Club Tijuana
Guadalajara Chivas
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Guadalajara Chivas
Leon
Guadalajara Chivas
Santos Laguna
Guadalajara Chivas
Club America
Guadalajara Chivas
Club Queretaro
Guadalajara Chivas
CF Pachuca
Guadalajara Chivas
Cruz Azul
Guadalajara Chivas
Monterrey
Guadalajara Chivas
Atlas
Guadalajara Chivas
Mazatlán
Guadalajara Chivas
Necaxa
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
Tigres UANL
Guadalajara Chivas
Cruz Azul
Guadalajara Chivas
FC Juarez
Guadalajara Chivas
Atletico San Luis
Puebla
Cruz Azul
Puebla
FC Juarez
Puebla
Atlas
Puebla
CF Pachuca
Puebla
Monterrey
Puebla
Santos Laguna
Puebla
CF Pachuca
Puebla
Atletico San Luis
Puebla
Club Tijuana
Puebla
Cruz Azul
Puebla
Atlas
Puebla
Leon
Puebla
FC Juarez
Puebla
Club America
Puebla
Club Queretaro
Puebla
Necaxa
Puebla
Toluca
Puebla
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Puebla
Tigres UANL
Puebla
Mazatlán
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 34:17 | 17 | 36 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 2 |
Guadalajara Chivas
Home
|
17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33:17 | 16 | 36 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
| 3 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 31:18 | 13 | 33 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 6 | 31 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 30 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 26 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 25 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 25 |
D
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 23 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22:32 | -10 | 22 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 26:32 | -6 | 19 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22:24 | -2 | 18 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24:27 | -3 | 18 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:37 | -15 | 15 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 |
Puebla
Away
|
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13:26 | -13 | 13 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
| 18 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 20:38 | -18 | 12 |
W
L
L
L
D
|