BOLIVIA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Gilberto Parada
Referee: C. Terrazas
Guabirá
Match Timeline
Real Tomayapo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
23'
L. Ursino
Guabirá
🟨
28'
Pablo Melgar
Guabirá
🟨
31'
L. S. Montenegro
Real Tomayapo
🟨
34'
Ruan Costa
Real Tomayapo
🟨
40'
R. Eguez
Real Tomayapo
44'
G. Peredo
Guabirá
🔄
46'
L. S. Montenegro ↔ R. Cuellar Orti
Real Tomayapo
🟥
58'
V. Galvez
Real Tomayapo
🟥
58'
L. S. Montenegro
Real Tomayapo
🟥
63'
J. Ribera
Real Tomayapo
🔄
66'
V. Abrego ↔ S. Gil
Guabirá
🔄
66'
Pablo Melgar ↔ Y. Baigorria
Guabirá
🔄
67'
F. Nouet ↔ V. Melgar
Real Tomayapo
🔄
67'
Ruan Costa ↔ Robson
Real Tomayapo
68'
S. Garzon
Guabirá
🔄
70'
Rafinha ↔ A. Moreno
Guabirá
🔄
70'
L. Ursino ↔ Pedro
Guabirá
74'
Pedro · Assist: Y. Baigorria
Guabirá
🔄
82'
G. Peredo ↔ M. Tellez
Guabirá
🔄
82'
R. Eguez ↔ A. Cervantes
Real Tomayapo
🔄
82'
D. Ramallo ↔ J. Senzano
Real Tomayapo
🟨
90+4'
M. Tellez
Guabirá

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 87.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
87.8%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Guabirá Win 87.8%
Draw 6.1%
Real Tomayapo Win 6.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Guabirá1.96
Real Tomayapo1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Guabirá Guabirá
WWDLW
23 GF / 32 GA
Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo
WLDWL
11 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.64
Average Goals Scored
0.79
2.29
Average Goals Conceded
2.43
10
BTTS Yes
8
13
Over 2.5
8
1.58
Shots on Goal
1.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Guabirá Guabirá 14 matches
Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo 14 matches
Guabirá Statistic Real Tomayapo
5 Wins 2
3 Draws 3
6 Losses 9
23 Goals For 11
32 Goals Against 34
1.64 Avg Goals Scored 0.79
2.29 Avg Goals Conceded 2.43
10 BTTS Yes 8
14 Over 1.5 11
13 Over 2.5 8
7 Over 3.5 7
1 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 5
1.58 Shots On Goal 1.67
5.17 Total Shots 5.08
1.58 Corners 1.92
15.8% Ball Possession 23.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Real Tomayapo. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Real Tomayapo having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Real Tomayapo arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Guabirá Analysis

Guabirá are currently 10 in the standings with 14 points from 11 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, while the 18:25 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Real Tomayapo Analysis

Real Tomayapo approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 8 points from 11 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 8:25 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Guabirá won 6 times, Real Tomayapo won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:15 from Guabirá's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (93.9%)
Predicted formations: Guabirá 4-3-3 / Real Tomayapo 4-4-2
H2H summary: Guabirá wins 6, draws 2, Real Tomayapo wins 4

Lineups

Guabirá
Formation
Real Tomayapo
M. Ferrel
M. Ferrel
Pablo Melgar
Pablo Melgar
C. Anez
C. Anez
M. Portillo
M. Portillo
N. Masskooni
N. Masskooni
L. Ursino
L. Ursino
Thiago Ribeiro
Thiago Ribeiro
G. Peredo
G. Peredo
Rafinha
Rafinha
V. Abrego
V. Abrego
S. Garzon
S. Garzon
L. Cardenas
L. Cardenas
J. Guerra
J. Guerra
D. Robles
D. Robles
M. Bejarano
M. Bejarano
V. Galvez
V. Galvez
L. S. Montenegro
L. S. Montenegro
D. Ramallo
D. Ramallo
J. Ribera
J. Ribera
F. Nouet
F. Nouet
Ruan Costa
Ruan Costa
R. Eguez
R. Eguez
Guabirá 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Ferrel
16
Pablo Melgar
↓ 66' 🟨 28'
6
C. Anez
21
M. Portillo
29
N. Masskooni
88
L. Ursino
↓ 70' 🟨 23'
77
Thiago Ribeiro
7
G. Peredo
⚽ 44' ↓ 82'
15
Rafinha
↓ 70'
91
V. Abrego
↓ 66'
11
S. Garzon
⚽ 68'
Substitutes
13
J. Arauz
19
J. Flores
97
S. Gil
↑ 66'
8
A. Moreno
↑ 70'
33
D. Fernandez
22
M. Tellez
↑ 82' 🟨 90+4'
27
R. Corrales
2
J. Barro
99
Pedro
⚽ 74' ↑ 70'
14
J. Parada
40
P. Lujan
28
Y. Baigorria
🎯 74' ↑ 66'
Real Tomayapo 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
L. Cardenas
15
J. Guerra
24
D. Robles
17
M. Bejarano
14
V. Galvez
🟥 58'
5
L. S. Montenegro
↓ 46' 🟨 31' 🟥 58'
21
D. Ramallo
↓ 82'
12
J. Ribera
🟥 63'
11
F. Nouet
↓ 67'
27
Ruan Costa
↓ 67' 🟨 34'
18
R. Eguez
↓ 82' 🟨 40'
Substitutes
22
C. Adorno
6
V. Melgar
↑ 67'
19
Robson
↑ 67'
25
R. Cuellar Orti
↑ 46'
55
G. Barbieri
99
A. Cervantes
↑ 82'
7
C. Arabe
35
J. Castillo
64
J. Senzano
↑ 82'
Last matches: Guabirá
23.08.26
Pri
Guabirá
Blooming
1
1
D
15.08.26
Pri
Guabirá
The Strongest
3
1
W
07.08.26
Pri
Guabirá
ABB
1
0
W
31.07.26
Pri
Guabirá
Universitario de Vinto
1
1
D
25.07.26
Pri
Guabirá
Real Oruro
4
1
W
18.07.26
Pri
Guabirá
Bolívar
0
4
L
29.05.26
Pri
Guabirá
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
2
1
W
17.05.26
Pri
Guabirá
Nacional Potosí
2
1
W
15.05.26
Pri
Guabirá
Oriente Petrolero
2
2
D
09.05.26
Pri
Guabirá
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
3
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
Guabirá
Aurora
2
4
L
25.04.26
Pri
Guabirá
Always Ready
1
2
L
22.04.26
Pri
Guabirá
Real Potosí
0
3
L
11.04.26
Pri
Guabirá
Independiente Petrolero
2
2
D
03.04.26
Pri
Guabirá
Blooming
0
5
L
25.02.26
Fri
Guabirá
Universitario de Vinto
2
5
L
20.02.26
Fri
Guabirá
Universitario de Vinto
2
1
W
14.12.25
Pri
Guabirá
Blooming
1
0
W
12.12.25
Pri
Guabirá
Always Ready
0
6
L
07.12.25
Pri
Guabirá
Jorge Wilstermann
6
3
W
Last matches: Real Tomayapo
23.08.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Always Ready
1
1
D
14.08.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Universitario de Vinto
1
0
W
07.08.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Real Oruro
1
2
L
31.07.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
ABB
1
1
D
26.07.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Nacional Potosí
1
4
L
20.07.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Blooming
0
1
L
12.07.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Independiente Petrolero
2
1
W
07.07.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
2
3
L
16.05.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Aurora
0
2
L
09.05.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
1
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Oriente Petrolero
1
3
L
26.04.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Bolívar
0
6
L
24.04.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
The Strongest
0
0
D
14.04.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Real Potosí
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Always Ready
0
4
L
01.03.26
Fri
Real Tomayapo
Oriente Petrolero
1
5
L
21.02.26
Fri
Real Tomayapo
Oriente Petrolero
1
3
L
14.12.25
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Nacional Potosí
0
1
L
12.12.25
Pri
Real Tomayapo
The Strongest
1
0
W
08.12.25
Pri
Real Tomayapo
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
4
5
L
H2H: Guabirá vs Real Tomayapo
05.08.26
H2H
Guabirá
Real Tomayapo
3
0
W
07.11.25
H2H
Guabirá
Real Tomayapo
2
2
D
17.10.25
H2H
Real Tomayapo
Guabirá
3
2
L
07.09.25
H2H
Real Tomayapo
Guabirá
1
2
W
26.04.25
H2H
Guabirá
Real Tomayapo
1
0
W
26.11.24
H2H
Guabirá
Real Tomayapo
2
1
W
31.07.24
H2H
Real Tomayapo
Guabirá
2
1
L
23.07.23
H2H
Real Tomayapo
Guabirá
2
0
L
18.02.23
H2H
Guabirá
Real Tomayapo
1
0
W
30.10.22
H2H
Real Tomayapo
Guabirá
0
0
D
24.08.22
H2H
Guabirá
Real Tomayapo
2
1
W
17.09.21
H2H
Real Tomayapo
Guabirá
1
1
D
11.04.21
H2H
Guabirá
Real Tomayapo
0
2
L
Last matches: Guabirá
23.08.26
Pri
Guabirá
Blooming
1
1
D
15.08.26
Pri
Guabirá
The Strongest
3
1
W
25.07.26
Pri
Guabirá
Real Oruro
4
1
W
17.05.26
Pri
Guabirá
Nacional Potosí
2
1
W
09.05.26
Pri
Guabirá
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
3
0
W
25.04.26
Pri
Guabirá
Always Ready
1
2
L
11.04.26
Pri
Guabirá
Independiente Petrolero
2
2
D
20.02.26
Fri
Guabirá
Universitario de Vinto
2
1
W
14.12.25
Pri
Guabirá
Blooming
1
0
W
07.12.25
Pri
Guabirá
Jorge Wilstermann
6
3
W
29.11.25
Pri
Guabirá
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
2
1
W
23.11.25
Pri
Guabirá
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
1
2
L
30.09.25
Pri
Guabirá
ABB
5
1
W
21.09.25
Pri
Guabirá
The Strongest
2
1
W
24.08.25
Pri
Guabirá
Nacional Potosí
1
0
W
03.08.25
Pri
Guabirá
Universitario de Vinto
3
0
W
11.07.25
Pri
Guabirá
Always Ready
5
0
W
01.07.25
Pri
Guabirá
Independiente Petrolero
1
1
D
25.05.25
Pri
Guabirá
Oriente Petrolero
1
3
L
10.05.25
Pri
Guabirá
Real Oruro
3
1
W
H2H at home: Guabirá
05.08.26
H2H
Guabirá
Real Tomayapo
3
0
W
07.11.25
H2H
Guabirá
Real Tomayapo
2
2
D
26.04.25
H2H
Guabirá
Real Tomayapo
1
0
W
26.11.24
H2H
Guabirá
Real Tomayapo
2
1
W
18.02.23
H2H
Guabirá
Real Tomayapo
1
0
W
24.08.22
H2H
Guabirá
Real Tomayapo
2
1
W
11.04.21
H2H
Guabirá
Real Tomayapo
0
2
L
Last matches: Real Tomayapo
14.08.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Universitario de Vinto
1
0
W
26.07.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Nacional Potosí
1
4
L
20.07.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Blooming
0
1
L
07.07.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
2
3
L
02.05.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Oriente Petrolero
1
3
L
26.04.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Bolívar
0
6
L
04.04.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Always Ready
0
4
L
01.03.26
Fri
Real Tomayapo
Oriente Petrolero
1
5
L
14.12.25
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Nacional Potosí
0
1
L
08.12.25
Pri
Real Tomayapo
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
4
5
L
28.11.25
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Real Oruro
2
5
L
22.11.25
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Blooming
0
2
L
27.09.25
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Independiente Petrolero
1
2
L
19.09.25
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Aurora
2
1
W
12.09.25
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Universitario de Vinto
0
1
L
10.08.25
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Bolívar
0
5
L
12.07.25
Pri
Real Tomayapo
The Strongest
0
6
L
28.06.25
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Oriente Petrolero
1
2
L
27.05.25
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Jorge Wilstermann
0
0
D
11.05.25
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Always Ready
1
1
D
H2H away: Real Tomayapo
05.08.26
H2H
Guabirá
Real Tomayapo
3
0
L
07.11.25
H2H
Guabirá
Real Tomayapo
2
2
D
26.04.25
H2H
Guabirá
Real Tomayapo
1
0
L
26.11.24
H2H
Guabirá
Real Tomayapo
2
1
L
18.02.23
H2H
Guabirá
Real Tomayapo
1
0
L
24.08.22
H2H
Guabirá
Real Tomayapo
2
1
L
11.04.21
H2H
Guabirá
Real Tomayapo
0
2
W