05.09.2026 19:00
Estadio Gilberto Parada
Referee: D. Rodriguez
Guabirá
Match Timeline
Real Potosí
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
24'
Cristian Vedia
Real Potosí
🟨
38'
Juan Carlos Parada
Guabirá
🟨
45+2'
Jorge Rojas
Real Potosí
🔄
46'
J. Parada ↔ S. Gil
Guabirá
🔄
46'
Pablo Melgar ↔ Y. Baigorria
Guabirá
🟨
48'
Sergio Gil
Guabirá
🔄
59'
V. Abrego ↔ M. Tellez
Guabirá
🔄
60'
M. Gomez ↔ B. Condori
Real Potosí
66'
S. Gil · Assist: M. Portillo
Guabirá
🔄
71'
S. Garzon ↔ Thiago Ribeiro
Guabirá
🔄
71'
J. Thomas ↔ V. Castellon
Real Potosí
🔄
71'
J. Rivas ↔ Igor Soares
Real Potosí
🔄
78'
Rafinha ↔ A. Moreno
Guabirá
🔄
78'
J. Rojas ↔ S. Plaza
Real Potosí
80'
V. Castellon · Assist: S. Plaza
Real Potosí
🟨
83'
Andrés Moreno
Guabirá
🟨
90+1'
Joaquín Barro
Guabirá
🟨
90+1'
Fran Supayabe
Real Potosí

Guabirá vs Real Potosí Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.5%
Odds 1.68
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds 1.59
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.5%
1.68
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
1.59
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.43
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.75
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Guabirá Win 55.5%
Draw 8.2%
Real Potosí Win 36.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Guabirá1.29
Real Potosí1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Guabirá Guabirá
WWDLW
32 GF / 37 GA
Real Potosí Real Potosí
WLDWL
22 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.68
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1.95
Average Goals Conceded
0.71
13
BTTS Yes
7
16
Over 2.5
6
2.65
Shots on Goal
3.41

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Guabirá Guabirá 19 matches
Real Potosí Real Potosí 17 matches
Guabirá Statistic Real Potosí
8 Wins 6
4 Draws 7
7 Losses 4
32 Goals For 22
37 Goals Against 12
1.68 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1.95 Avg Goals Conceded 0.71
13 BTTS Yes 7
18 Over 1.5 12
16 Over 2.5 6
9 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 8
3 Failed To Score 6
2.65 Shots On Goal 3.41
6.71 Total Shots 11.35
1.94 Corners 3.47
20.2% Ball Possession 29.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Real Potosí's more proactive style and Guabirá's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Real Potosí. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Guabirá expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Real Potosí in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Real Potosí having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Guabirá Analysis

From their first 17 matches, Guabirá have collected 25 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. The record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 28:31 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Pedro Augusto (1 goals), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Real Potosí Analysis

Real Potosí come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 25 points from 17 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 22:12 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Guabirá won 8 times, Real Potosí won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:17 from Guabirá's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.8%)
Predicted formations: Guabirá 4-3-3 / Real Potosí 5-4-1
H2H summary: Guabirá wins 8, draws 1, Real Potosí wins 6

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 13 6 1 47:13 34 45
W W W D D
2 20 14 3 3 54:22 32 45
W W W W W
3 20 12 6 2 39:22 17 42
W W W W W
4 20 8 8 4 27:14 13 32
W W D L D
5 20 9 3 8 36:27 9 30
W L L D W
6 20 7 9 4 31:27 4 30
L W W D D
7 20 8 5 7 32:39 -7 29
W L D L D
8 20 6 9 5 30:22 8 27
D W L D D
9 20 8 3 9 30:28 2 27
L W W L W
10 20 7 4 9 27:35 -8 25
L L L W L
11 20 6 3 11 32:50 -18 21
L L W D L
12 20 6 2 12 31:45 -14 20
L L W L D
13 20 6 2 12 21:40 -19 20
W L L L L
14 20 5 3 12 26:39 -13 18
D W L W L
15 20 4 4 12 15:39 -24 16
L L L W D
16 20 2 8 10 21:37 -16 14
L L L D D