NETHERLANDS › EREDIVISIE

28.08.2026 18:00

Groningen

2 - 3

Fortuna Sittard

Euroborg

Referee: Martijn Vos, Netherlands

Groningen

Match Timeline

Fortuna Sittard

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 62.8%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 82.5%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 82.2%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	62.8%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	82.5%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	82.2%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	71.8%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Groningen Win 62.8%

Draw 24.9%

Fortuna Sittard Win 12.3%

Expected Goals (xG)

Groningen1.43

Fortuna Sittard1.74

Recent Form (Last 5)

Groningen

WWDLW

13 GF / 21 GA

Fortuna Sittard

WLDWL

12 GF / 13 GA

Key Stats

1.3

Average Goals Scored

1.5

2.1

Average Goals Conceded

1.63

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

7.67

Shots on Goal

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Groningen 10 matches

Fortuna Sittard 8 matches

Groningen	Statistic	Fortuna Sittard
4	Wins	4
1	Draws	1
5	Losses	3
13	Goals For	12
21	Goals Against	13
1.3	Avg Goals Scored	1.5
2.1	Avg Goals Conceded	1.63
6	BTTS Yes	6
8	Over 1.5	7
8	Over 2.5	6
5	Over 3.5	4
2	Clean Sheets	1
3	Failed To Score	1
7.67	Shots On Goal	5
13.33	Total Shots	9.67
3.67	Corners	2.33
47.3%	Ball Possession	29.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Groningen won 6 times, Fortuna Sittard won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:14 from Groningen's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 1X (87.7%)

Predicted formations: Groningen 4-2-3-1 / Fortuna Sittard 5-3-2

Missing players: Groningen 4, Fortuna Sittard 5

H2H summary: Groningen wins 6, draws 2, Fortuna Sittard wins 6

Standings

Eredivisie

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Feyenoord	8	6	2	0	27:7	20	20	W W W W D
2	PSV Eindhoven	8	6	1	1	26:10	16	19	W L W W W
3	AZ Alkmaar	8	6	1	1	18:8	10	19	L W D W W
4	Twente	8	5	2	1	16:8	8	17	D W W W D
5	Ajax	8	4	3	1	22:10	12	15	D D W W L
6	Groningen Home	8	4	2	2	20:14	6	14	W W D D L
7	Fortuna Sittard Away	8	4	2	2	14:15	-1	14	D W L W W
8	GO Ahead Eagles	8	2	5	1	19:17	2	11	D D D D L
9	Excelsior	8	3	2	3	16:14	2	11	L D L D W
10	Heerenveen	8	2	3	3	11:11	0	9	L W D L D
11	NEC Nijmegen	8	2	3	3	13:14	-1	9	D D L D L
12	Cambuur	8	2	2	4	11:19	-8	8	W D W D L
13	Utrecht	8	2	2	4	14:25	-11	8	W L W D L
14	Sparta Rotterdam	8	1	3	4	13:20	-7	6	D L L D L
15	Telstar	8	1	3	4	7:14	-7	6	D L D L D
16	PEC Zwolle	8	1	1	6	6:21	-15	4	L L L D L
17	ADO Den Haag	8	0	3	5	9:19	-10	3	D D L L D
18	Willem II	8	0	2	6	7:23	-16	2	L L L D L