NETHERLANDS EREDIVISIE
18.10.2026 14:45
Euroborg

Groningen vs Ajax Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Groningen Win 0%
Draw 0%
Ajax Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Groningen1.36
Ajax2.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Groningen Groningen
WWDLW
17 GF / 26 GA
Ajax Ajax
WLDWL
46 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.42
Average Goals Scored
2.42
2.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
8
BTTS Yes
13
10
Over 2.5
14
5.8
Shots on Goal
8.7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Groningen Groningen 12 matches
Ajax Ajax 19 matches
Groningen Statistic Ajax
4 Wins 12
2 Draws 4
6 Losses 3
17 Goals For 46
26 Goals Against 24
1.42 Avg Goals Scored 2.42
2.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
8 BTTS Yes 13
10 Over 1.5 16
10 Over 2.5 14
7 Over 3.5 13
2 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 1
5.8 Shots On Goal 8.7
16.6 Total Shots 22.5
5.2 Corners 7.7
51.2% Ball Possession 63.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Groningen won 3 times, Ajax won 11 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:35 from Groningen's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Groningen 4-2-3-1 / Ajax 4-3-3
H2H summary: Groningen wins 3, draws 1, Ajax wins 11

Standings

Eredivisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 5 0 0 16:5 11 15
W W W W W
2 5 4 1 0 18:6 12 13
W W W W D
3 5 3 2 0 13:7 6 11
W D W D W
4 5 3 1 1 12:5 7 10
D W W L W
5 5 3 1 1 11:9 2 10
W W L W D
6 5 2 2 1 14:12 2 8
D L W D W
7
Ajax Away
4 2 1 1 9:5 4 7
L W D W
8 4 2 1 1 9:5 4 7
D W W L
9 5 2 1 2 11:9 2 7
D L W W L
10 5 2 1 2 11:12 -1 7
D L L W W
11 5 1 2 2 9:9 0 5
D L D W L
12 5 1 2 2 7:9 -2 5
L D L D W
13 4 1 1 2 5:10 -5 4
D L L W
14 5 1 1 3 6:10 -4 4
D L W L L
15 5 0 2 3 9:18 -9 2
D L D L L
16 4 0 1 3 4:13 -9 1
L D L L
17 5 0 1 4 6:14 -8 1
L D L L L
18 5 0 1 4 6:18 -12 1
D L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie