Groningen vs Ajax H2H Stats
Compare football head-to-head records, previous meetings, wins, draws, BTTS and Over 2.5 trends before reading the match prediction.
View today's football H2H statsGroningen vs Ajax Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
59%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
88%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Groningen
Ajax
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Groningen
15 matches
Ajax
24 matches
| Groningen | Statistic | Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 14 |
| 3 | Draws | 6 |
| 6 | Losses | 4 |
| 26 | Goals For | 60 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 31 |
| 1.73 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.5 |
| 1.87 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 16 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 5.88 | Shots On Goal | 8.47 |
| 14.75 | Total Shots | 23.2 |
| 4.63 | Corners | 8 |
| 49.8% | Ball Possession | 64.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Ajax. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Groningen expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Ajax in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ajax having the stronger overall control.
From their first 7 matches, Groningen have collected 11 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Their overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 15:13 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by T. van Bergen (4 goals), B. Willumsson (4 goals), D. van der Werff (2 goals), with creative support from D. van der Werff (3 assists), T. van Bergen (2 assists), T. Land (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Placed 5 with 15 points from 8 outings, Ajax continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, while the 22:10 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on T. Arokodare (4 goals), J. Brandt (4 goals), D. Klaassen (3 goals), with creative support from O. Gloukh (4 assists), K. Dolberg (3 assists), S. Berghuis (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Groningen won 3 times, Ajax won 11 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:35 from Groningen's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 32:11 | 21 | 24 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Ajax
Away
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 29:13 | 16 | 21 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 28:13 | 15 | 20 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | 9 | 20 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20:12 | 8 | 20 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:17 | 0 | 18 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 15 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 8 |
Groningen
Home
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 24:21 | 3 | 15 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
| 9 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 23:23 | 0 | 14 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19:22 | -3 | 12 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:27 | -10 | 12 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 17:18 | -1 | 11 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 11 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17:24 | -7 | 9 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:23 | -12 | 8 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12:21 | -9 | 6 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13:23 | -10 | 6 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10:32 | -22 | 2 |
L
L
L
L
L
|