Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Groningen Win 0%
Draw 0%
Ajax Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Groningen1.23
Ajax1.99
Recent Form (Last 5)
Groningen
WWDLW
12 GF / 16 GA
Ajax
WLDWL
32 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
2.13
1.78
Average Goals Conceded
1.07
5
BTTS Yes
10
7
Over 2.5
10
9.5
Shots on Goal
8.17
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Groningen
9 matches
Ajax
15 matches
| Groningen | Statistic | Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 9 |
| 1 | Draws | 4 |
| 4 | Losses | 2 |
| 12 | Goals For | 32 |
| 16 | Goals Against | 16 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.13 |
| 1.78 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.07 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 9.5 | Shots On Goal | 8.17 |
| 16.5 | Total Shots | 24.17 |
| 3.5 | Corners | 10 |
| 52% | Ball Possession | 67.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Groningen won 3 times, Ajax won 11 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:35 from Groningen's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Groningen 4-2-3-1 / Ajax 4-3-3
H2H summary: Groningen wins 3, draws 1, Ajax wins 11
Last matches: Groningen
16.08.26
Ere
Groningen
ADO Den Haag
4
1
W
09.08.26
Ere
Groningen
Utrecht
2
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
Groningen
Valladolid
1
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Groningen
Volos NFC
0
0
D
24.07.26
Fri
Groningen
FC Volendam
0
4
L
18.07.26
Fri
Groningen
AEK Athens FC
1
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
Groningen
Emmen
3
2
W
08.07.26
Fri
Groningen
Heracles
1
2
L
21.05.26
Ere
Groningen
Ajax
0
2
L
17.05.26
Ere
Groningen
Heracles
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ere
Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ere
Groningen
Excelsior
2
3
L
25.04.26
Ere
Groningen
Feyenoord
1
3
L
11.04.26
Ere
Groningen
GO Ahead Eagles
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ere
Groningen
Telstar
2
0
W
22.03.26
Ere
Groningen
AZ Alkmaar
3
0
W
13.03.26
Ere
Groningen
PEC Zwolle
1
1
D
07.03.26
Ere
Groningen
Ajax
3
1
W
01.03.26
Ere
Groningen
FC Volendam
2
3
L
22.02.26
Ere
Groningen
Twente
1
2
L
Last matches: Ajax
16.08.26
Ere
Ajax
Heerenveen
2
2
D
13.08.26
UEF
Ajax
Shelbourne
2
2
D
09.08.26
Ere
Ajax
PEC Zwolle
2
0
W
06.08.26
UEF
Ajax
Shelbourne
3
1
W
02.08.26
Fri
Ajax
FC Volendam
3
1
W
30.07.26
UEF
Ajax
Vojvodina
4
1
W
26.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Burnley
2
1
W
23.07.26
UEF
Ajax
Vojvodina
4
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Ajax
VfL Bochum
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Ajax
AEK Larnaca
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Panathinaikos
1
3
L
24.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
1
1
D
21.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Groningen
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Heerenveen
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ere
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
2
2
D
25.04.26
Ere
Ajax
NAC Breda
2
0
W
16.04.26
Fri
Ajax
Twente
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ere
Ajax
Heracles
3
0
W
H2H: Groningen vs Ajax
21.05.26
H2H
Ajax
Groningen
2
0
L
07.03.26
H2H
Groningen
Ajax
3
1
W
02.12.25
H2H
Ajax
Groningen
2
0
L
14.05.25
H2H
Groningen
Ajax
2
2
D
06.10.24
H2H
Ajax
Groningen
3
1
L
16.05.23
H2H
Groningen
Ajax
2
3
L
14.08.22
H2H
Ajax
Groningen
6
1
L
02.04.22
H2H
Groningen
Ajax
1
3
L
25.09.21
H2H
Ajax
Groningen
3
0
L
07.03.21
H2H
Ajax
Groningen
3
1
L
04.10.20
H2H
Groningen
Ajax
1
0
W
26.01.20
H2H
Groningen
Ajax
2
1
W
28.09.19
H2H
Ajax
Groningen
2
0
L
20.04.19
H2H
Groningen
Ajax
0
1
L
15.09.18
H2H
Ajax
Groningen
3
0
L
Last matches: Groningen
09.08.26
Ere
Groningen
Utrecht
2
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
Groningen
Valladolid
1
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Groningen
Volos NFC
0
0
D
24.07.26
Fri
Groningen
FC Volendam
0
4
L
18.07.26
Fri
Groningen
AEK Athens FC
1
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
Groningen
Emmen
3
2
W
10.05.26
Ere
Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ere
Groningen
Excelsior
2
3
L
11.04.26
Ere
Groningen
GO Ahead Eagles
0
0
D
22.03.26
Ere
Groningen
AZ Alkmaar
3
0
W
07.03.26
Ere
Groningen
Ajax
3
1
W
14.02.26
Ere
Groningen
Utrecht
1
2
L
08.02.26
Ere
Groningen
PSV Eindhoven
1
2
L
25.01.26
Ere
Groningen
Fortuna Sittard
1
2
L
10.01.26
Ere
Groningen
NAC Breda
0
0
D
06.01.26
Fri
Groningen
Bodo/Glimt
0
4
L
13.12.25
Ere
Groningen
FC Volendam
3
0
W
23.11.25
Ere
Groningen
PEC Zwolle
2
2
D
02.11.25
Ere
Groningen
Twente
1
1
D
19.10.25
Ere
Groningen
Sparta Rotterdam
0
2
L
H2H at home: Groningen
07.03.26
H2H
Groningen
Ajax
3
1
W
14.05.25
H2H
Groningen
Ajax
2
2
D
16.05.23
H2H
Groningen
Ajax
2
3
L
02.04.22
H2H
Groningen
Ajax
1
3
L
04.10.20
H2H
Groningen
Ajax
1
0
W
26.01.20
H2H
Groningen
Ajax
2
1
W
20.04.19
H2H
Groningen
Ajax
0
1
L
Last matches: Ajax
13.08.26
UEF
Ajax
Shelbourne
2
2
D
09.08.26
Ere
Ajax
PEC Zwolle
2
0
W
02.08.26
Fri
Ajax
FC Volendam
3
1
W
23.07.26
UEF
Ajax
Vojvodina
4
1
W
17.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Heerenveen
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ere
Ajax
NAC Breda
2
0
W
11.04.26
Ere
Ajax
Heracles
3
0
W
22.03.26
Ere
Ajax
Feyenoord
1
1
D
07.03.26
Ere
Ajax
Groningen
1
3
L
01.03.26
Ere
Ajax
PEC Zwolle
0
0
D
08.02.26
Ere
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
1
1
D
01.02.26
Ere
Ajax
Excelsior
2
2
D
20.01.26
UEF
Ajax
Villarreal
2
1
W
11.01.26
Ere
Ajax
Telstar
3
2
W
20.12.25
Ere
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
2
2
D
10.12.25
UEF
Ajax
Qarabag
4
2
W
06.12.25
Ere
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
3
1
W
09.11.25
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
1
2
L
26.10.25
Ere
Ajax
Twente
3
2
W
22.10.25
UEF
Ajax
Chelsea
1
5
L
H2H away: Ajax
07.03.26
H2H
Groningen
Ajax
3
1
L
14.05.25
H2H
Groningen
Ajax
2
2
D
16.05.23
H2H
Groningen
Ajax
2
3
W
02.04.22
H2H
Groningen
Ajax
1
3
W
04.10.20
H2H
Groningen
Ajax
1
0
L
26.01.20
H2H
Groningen
Ajax
2
1
L
20.04.19
H2H
Groningen
Ajax
0
1
W
Standings
Eredivisie
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Groningen
Home
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
W
W
|
| 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 4 |
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 4 |
W
D
|
|
| 5 |
Ajax
Away
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
D
W
|
| 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 3 |
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:8 | -6 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie