LATVIA VIRSLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: A. Griscenko
Grobiņa
Match Timeline
Super Nova
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
34'
O. Rascevskis
Grobiņa
51'
V. Lizunovs
Super Nova
🔄
66'
J. Ribeiro ↔ D. Dobrecovs
Grobiņa
🔄
67'
A. Kholod ↔ H. Yamada
Grobiņa
🔄
69'
R. Sitjakovs ↔ N. Pathe
Super Nova
🟨
72'
M. Fjodorovs
Grobiņa
🔄
73'
M. Fjodorovs ↔ A. Aruna
Grobiņa
🟨
79'
Facu
Super Nova
🔄
80'
J. Krautmanis ↔ R. Gaucis
Grobiņa
🔄
81'
Bamba ↔ K. Skadmanis
Super Nova
🔄
81'
A. Glaudans ↔ A. Grikovs
Super Nova
82'
A. Grikovs
Super Nova
🟨
86'
D. Veisbuks
Super Nova
🟨
90+4'
I. Matyushenko
Grobiņa
🔄
90+3'
M. Tihonovics ↔ R. Iida
Super Nova
🔄
90+3'
Facu ↔ A. Baghdasaryan
Super Nova

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 66.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 28.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 56.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
66.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
28.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
56.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Grobiņa Win 14.2%
Draw 18.9%
Super Nova Win 66.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Grobiņa1.3
Super Nova1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Grobiņa Grobiņa
WWDLW
23 GF / 33 GA
Super Nova Super Nova
WLDWL
21 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
1.24
1.65
Average Goals Conceded
1.53
12
BTTS Yes
12
7
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Grobiņa Grobiņa 20 matches
Super Nova Super Nova 17 matches
Grobiņa Statistic Super Nova
4 Wins 6
9 Draws 3
7 Losses 8
23 Goals For 21
33 Goals Against 26
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.65 Avg Goals Conceded 1.53
12 BTTS Yes 12
15 Over 1.5 13
7 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 2
6 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Super Nova. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Super Nova having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Grobiņa Analysis

Grobiņa are currently 9 in the standings with 12 points from 13 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, while the 9:21 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Puzirevskis (4 goals), A. Kholod (2 goals), D. Druzinins (1 goals), with creative support from M. Sidorovs (2 assists), A. Puzirevskis (1 assists), R. Baravykas (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Super Nova Analysis

Super Nova arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 17 points after 13 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 15:18 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Glaudans (3 goals), M. Oss (3 goals), V. Lizunovs (3 goals), with creative support from Facu (5 assists), A. Glaudans (1 assists), V. Lizunovs (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Grobiņa won 0 times, Super Nova won 9 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:49 from Grobiņa's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 4.15 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (85.8%)
H2H summary: Grobiņa wins 0, draws 4, Super Nova wins 9

Lineups

Grobiņa
Formation
Super Nova
V. Kudrjavcevs
V. Kudrjavcevs
K. Rupeiks
K. Rupeiks
D. Druzinins
D. Druzinins
R. Baravykas
R. Baravykas
J. Krautmanis
J. Krautmanis
J. Ribeiro
J. Ribeiro
M. Fjodorovs
M. Fjodorovs
A. Kholod
A. Kholod
I. Matyushenko
I. Matyushenko
O. Rascevskis
O. Rascevskis
A. Puzirevskis
A. Puzirevskis
D. Veisbuks
D. Veisbuks
I. Ndiaye
I. Ndiaye
M. Oss
M. Oss
J. Cirulis
J. Cirulis
M. Tihonovics
M. Tihonovics
R. Sitjakovs
R. Sitjakovs
Facu
Facu
Bamba
Bamba
E. Emsis
E. Emsis
A. Glaudans
A. Glaudans
V. Lizunovs
V. Lizunovs
Grobiņa 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
V. Kudrjavcevs
2
K. Rupeiks
3
D. Druzinins
27
R. Baravykas
7
J. Krautmanis
↓ 80'
87
J. Ribeiro
↓ 66'
23
M. Fjodorovs
↓ 73' 🟨 72'
9
A. Kholod
↓ 67'
29
I. Matyushenko
🟨 90+4'
11
O. Rascevskis
🟨 34'
99
A. Puzirevskis
Substitutes
33
T. Laizans
12
N. Pincuks
19
R. Gaucis
↑ 80'
8
O. Olatunde-Matthew
13
A. Aruna
↑ 73'
10
D. Dobrecovs
↑ 66'
25
D. Sirbu
20
H. Yamada
↑ 67'
17
R. Bethers
Super Nova 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
90
D. Veisbuks
🟨 86'
20
I. Ndiaye
25
M. Oss
5
J. Cirulis
21
M. Tihonovics
↓ 90+3'
24
R. Sitjakovs
↓ 69'
14
Facu
↓ 90+3' 🟨 79'
9
Bamba
↓ 81'
6
E. Emsis
7
A. Glaudans
↓ 81'
10
V. Lizunovs
⚽ 51'
Substitutes
13
S. Vilkovs
18
M. Vasilevskis
22
K. Skadmanis
↑ 81'
3
R. Iida
↑ 90+3'
16
K. Romanovs
29
A. Baghdasaryan
↑ 90+3'
19
A. Grikovs
⚽ 82' ↑ 81'
27
N. Pathe
↑ 69'
Last matches: Grobiņa
20.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
0
1
L
16.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
13.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
1
3
L
29.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Riga
0
2
L
25.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Ogre United
1
1
D
15.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Tukums
3
3
D
11.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
0
0
D
07.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Auda
0
7
L
02.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
28.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
22.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
18.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Riga
0
3
L
13.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Ogre United
1
1
D
09.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
1
L
05.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Tukums
1
1
D
21.03.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
1
0
W
14.03.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Auda
0
2
L
07.03.26
Vir
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
25.02.26
Fri
Grobiņa
Metta / LU
3
1
W
15.02.26
Fri
Grobiņa
Hegelmann Litauen
1
2
L
Last matches: Super Nova
16.06.26
Vir
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
0
0
D
12.06.26
Vir
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
29.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
1
2
L
24.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Riga
0
3
L
16.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Ogre United
3
1
W
11.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Tukums
1
1
D
06.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
0
1
L
01.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Auda
1
2
L
27.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
23.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
18.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
0
2
L
14.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Riga
1
4
L
09.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Grobiņa
1
0
W
03.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Ogre United
2
1
W
22.03.26
Vir
Super Nova
Tukums
2
1
W
15.03.26
Vir
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
08.03.26
Vir
Super Nova
Auda
1
2
L
28.02.26
Fri
Super Nova
Paide
0
1
L
21.02.26
Fri
Super Nova
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
11.02.26
Fri
Super Nova
Trans Narva
3
1
W
H2H: Grobiņa vs Super Nova
20.05.26
H2H
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
2
L
09.04.26
H2H
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
1
L
18.10.25
H2H
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
0
D
26.07.25
H2H
Super Nova
Grobiņa
0
0
D
26.05.25
H2H
Grobiņa
Super Nova
1
1
D
10.04.25
H2H
Super Nova
Grobiņa
1
1
D
31.10.21
H2H
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
0
D
29.08.21
H2H
Super Nova
Grobiņa
2
1
L
17.10.20
H2H
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
0
D
08.08.20
H2H
Super Nova
Grobiņa
2
1
L
02.11.19
H2H
Super Nova
Grobiņa
11
0
L
25.08.19
H2H
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
7
L
26.05.19
H2H
Super Nova
Grobiņa
5
0
L
08.09.18
H2H
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
9
L
20.05.18
H2H
Super Nova
Grobiņa
8
1
L
Last matches: Grobiņa
16.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
13.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
1
3
L
15.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Tukums
3
3
D
11.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
0
0
D
02.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
22.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
18.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Riga
0
3
L
09.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
1
L
14.03.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Auda
0
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Grobiņa
Minija
1
1
D
31.01.26
Fri
Grobiņa
Banga
5
3
W
17.01.26
Fri
Grobiņa
Banga
1
1
D
H2H at home: Grobiņa
20.05.26
H2H
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
2
L
09.04.26
H2H
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
1
L
18.10.25
H2H
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
0
D
26.05.25
H2H
Grobiņa
Super Nova
1
1
D
31.10.21
H2H
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
0
D
17.10.20
H2H
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
0
D
25.08.19
H2H
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
7
L
08.09.18
H2H
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
9
L
Last matches: Super Nova
16.06.26
Vir
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
0
0
D
12.06.26
Vir
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
24.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Riga
0
3
L
06.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
0
1
L
27.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
18.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
0
2
L
09.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Grobiņa
1
0
W
03.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Ogre United
2
1
W
22.03.26
Vir
Super Nova
Tukums
2
1
W
08.03.26
Vir
Super Nova
Auda
1
2
L
28.02.26
Fri
Super Nova
Paide
0
1
L
21.02.26
Fri
Super Nova
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
11.02.26
Fri
Super Nova
Trans Narva
3
1
W
14.01.26
Fri
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
2
5
L
H2H away: Super Nova
20.05.26
H2H
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
2
W
09.04.26
H2H
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
1
W
18.10.25
H2H
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
0
D
26.05.25
H2H
Grobiņa
Super Nova
1
1
D
31.10.21
H2H
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
0
D
17.10.20
H2H
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
0
D
25.08.19
H2H
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
7
W
08.09.18
H2H
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
9
W

Standings

Virsliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 15 1 2 42:14 28 46
L W W W W
2 18 14 3 1 56:19 37 45
W W W W W
3 18 11 2 5 34:23 11 35
L D W W W
4 18 7 4 7 23:25 -2 25
L W W D L
5 18 6 3 9 19:25 -6 21
D L L L W
6 18 5 5 8 20:25 -5 20
D D D L W
7 18 3 8 7 32:32 0 17
W D L L L
8 18 3 7 8 12:29 -17 16
W L L D L
9 18 3 7 8 13:33 -20 16
L D D D L
10 18 1 4 13 16:42 -26 7
W L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - Nakotnes liga