LATVIA VIRSLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: S. Vasjkovs
Grobiņa
Match Timeline
Rīgas FS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
31'
K. Rupeiks
Grobiņa
🔄
46'
H. Njie ↔ S. Panic
Rīgas FS
🔄
46'
M. Talla ↔ M. Kigurs
Rīgas FS
🟨
61'
R. Baravykas
Grobiņa
🔄
61'
A. Kouadio ↔ G. Mankenda
Rīgas FS
61'
D. Lemajic · Assist: R. Savalnieks
Rīgas FS
🟨
74'
G. Kluskins
Grobiņa
🟨
77'
M. Sidorovs
Grobiņa
🔄
81'
A. Aruna ↔ M. Fjodorovs
Grobiņa
🔄
81'
M. Sidorovs ↔ J. Krautmanis
Grobiņa
🟨
83'
R. Baravykas
Grobiņa
🟥
83'
R. Baravykas
Grobiņa
🔄
87'
G. Kluskins ↔ O. Olatunde-Matthew
Grobiņa

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 79.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 69.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
79.7%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
58.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
69.2%
-
Probability Distribution
Grobiņa Win 16.6%
Draw 3.8%
Rīgas FS Win 79.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Grobiņa1.13
Rīgas FS1.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Grobiņa Grobiņa
WWDLW
18 GF / 20 GA
Rīgas FS Rīgas FS
WLDWL
39 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
2.05
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
9
BTTS Yes
9
5
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Grobiņa Grobiņa 14 matches
Rīgas FS Rīgas FS 19 matches
Grobiņa Statistic Rīgas FS
4 Wins 14
5 Draws 3
5 Losses 2
18 Goals For 39
20 Goals Against 17
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 2.05
1.43 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89
9 BTTS Yes 9
11 Over 1.5 14
5 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 8
3 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Rīgas FS's more proactive style and Grobiņa's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Rīgas FS look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Rīgas FS carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 18 points while Grobiņa sit 7 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Rīgas FS. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Rīgas FS having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Grobiņa Analysis

So far, Grobiņa have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 8 points from 7 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 3:4 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Puzirevskis (2 goals), D. Druzinins (1 goals), R. Baravykas (1 goals), with creative support from R. Baravykas (1 assists), O. Rascevskis (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Rīgas FS Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 18 points from 7 games, Rīgas FS bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 8:2, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through J. Ikaunieks (3 goals), S. Panic (3 goals), D. Lemajic (2 goals), with creative support from L. Odisharia (3 assists), J. Ikaunieks (1 assists), D. Lemajic (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Grobiņa won 0 times, Rīgas FS won 12 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:44 from Grobiņa's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 4.17 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.2%)
Predicted formations: Grobiņa - / Rīgas FS 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Grobiņa wins 0, draws 0, Rīgas FS wins 12

Lineups

Grobiņa
Formation
Rīgas FS
N. Pincuks
N. Pincuks
K. Rupeiks
K. Rupeiks
D. Druzinins
D. Druzinins
R. Baravykas
R. Baravykas
A. Molotkovs
A. Molotkovs
A. Aruna
A. Aruna
M. Sidorovs
M. Sidorovs
G. Kluskins
G. Kluskins
O. Rascevskis
O. Rascevskis
A. Puzirevskis
A. Puzirevskis
I. Matyushenko
I. Matyushenko
M. Maric
M. Maric
R. Savalnieks
🎯
R. Savalnieks
H. Prenga
H. Prenga
Z. Lipuscek
Z. Lipuscek
D. Zelenkovs
D. Zelenkovs
M. Talla
M. Talla
M. Saidy
M. Saidy
H. Njie
H. Njie
A. Kouadio
A. Kouadio
J. Ikaunieks
J. Ikaunieks
D. Lemajic
D. Lemajic
Grobiņa 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
N. Pincuks
2
K. Rupeiks
🟨 31'
3
D. Druzinins
27
R. Baravykas
🟨 61' 🟨 83' 🟥 83'
26
A. Molotkovs
13
A. Aruna
↓ 81'
14
M. Sidorovs
↓ 81' 🟨 77'
32
G. Kluskins
↓ 87' 🟨 74'
11
O. Rascevskis
99
A. Puzirevskis
29
I. Matyushenko
Substitutes
1
V. Kudrjavcevs
23
M. Fjodorovs
↑ 81'
87
J. Ribeiro
19
R. Gaucis
8
O. Olatunde-Matthew
↑ 87'
5
G. Leitans
10
D. Dobrecovs
7
J. Krautmanis
↑ 81'
25
D. Sirbu
Rīgas FS 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
35
M. Maric
11
R. Savalnieks
🎯 61'
23
H. Prenga
43
Z. Lipuscek
18
D. Zelenkovs
70
M. Talla
↓ 46'
66
M. Saidy
30
H. Njie
↓ 46'
17
A. Kouadio
↓ 61'
10
J. Ikaunieks
22
D. Lemajic
⚽ 61'
Substitutes
16
J. Nerugals
6
A. Filipovic
26
S. Panic
↑ 46'
77
G. Mankenda
↑ 61'
5
N. Sliede
4
R. Veips
49
M. Kigurs
↑ 46'
7
I. Diomande
81
S. Rakic
Last matches: Grobiņa
20.07.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
2
L
05.07.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Tukums
3
1
W
29.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
0
2
L
25.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Auda
0
0
D
20.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
0
1
L
16.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
13.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
1
3
L
29.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Riga
0
2
L
25.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Ogre United
1
1
D
20.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
2
L
15.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Tukums
3
3
D
11.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
0
0
D
07.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Auda
0
7
L
02.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
28.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Riga
0
3
L
13.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Ogre United
1
1
D
09.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
1
L
05.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Tukums
1
1
D
21.03.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
1
0
W
Last matches: Rīgas FS
23.07.26
UEF
Rīgas FS
Vestri
4
1
W
20.07.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
1
0
W
16.07.26
UEF
Rīgas FS
Glentoran
2
0
W
09.07.26
UEF
Rīgas FS
Glentoran
2
1
W
04.07.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Auda
1
1
D
30.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
3
1
W
26.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
2
0
W
22.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
6
0
W
17.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Riga
1
2
L
13.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
3
1
W
29.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
2
1
W
25.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Tukums
3
1
W
21.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
4
0
W
17.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Auda
3
0
W
13.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
08.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
5
0
W
02.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
4
3
W
28.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Riga
3
3
D
18.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
2
0
W
13.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Tukums
2
1
W
H2H: Grobiņa vs Rīgas FS
13.06.26
H2H
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
1
3
L
22.04.26
H2H
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
21.01.26
H2H
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
3
2
L
26.10.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
5
0
L
03.08.25
H2H
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
2
3
L
31.05.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
6
0
L
15.04.25
H2H
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
1
4
L
03.11.24
H2H
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
0
2
L
11.08.24
H2H
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
3
0
L
02.06.24
H2H
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
5
0
L
23.04.24
H2H
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
0
4
L
01.09.22
H2H
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
5
0
L
Last matches: Grobiņa
05.07.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Tukums
3
1
W
25.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Auda
0
0
D
16.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
13.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
1
3
L
20.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
2
L
15.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Tukums
3
3
D
11.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
0
0
D
02.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Riga
0
3
L
09.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
1
L
14.03.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Auda
0
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Grobiņa
Minija
1
1
D
31.01.26
Fri
Grobiņa
Banga
5
3
W
17.01.26
Fri
Grobiņa
Banga
1
1
D
H2H at home: Grobiņa
13.06.26
H2H
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
1
3
L
22.04.26
H2H
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
03.08.25
H2H
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
2
3
L
15.04.25
H2H
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
1
4
L
03.11.24
H2H
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
0
2
L
23.04.24
H2H
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
0
4
L
Last matches: Rīgas FS
20.07.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
1
0
W
09.07.26
UEF
Rīgas FS
Glentoran
2
1
W
26.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
2
0
W
17.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Riga
1
2
L
13.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
3
1
W
29.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
2
1
W
17.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Auda
3
0
W
13.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
02.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
4
3
W
13.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Tukums
2
1
W
08.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
1
0
W
13.03.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
19.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Hvidovre
2
2
D
14.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Dynamo Kyiv
0
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Kolding IF
1
0
W
30.01.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
24.01.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Paide
2
2
D
17.01.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Kalju Nomme
2
0
W
21.08.25
UEF
Rīgas FS
Hamrun Spartans
0
1
L
14.08.25
UEF
Rīgas FS
KuPS
0
1
L
H2H away: Rīgas FS
13.06.26
H2H
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
1
3
W
22.04.26
H2H
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
0
1
W
03.08.25
H2H
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
2
3
W
15.04.25
H2H
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
1
4
W
03.11.24
H2H
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
0
2
W
23.04.24
H2H
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
0
4
W