LATVIA VIRSLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: E. Malcevs
Grobiņa
Match Timeline
Riga
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
13'
K. Rupeiks
Grobiņa
18'
R. Varslavans · Assist: Paulo Eduardo
Riga
🟨
23'
A. Puzirevskis
Grobiņa
🔄
30'
A. Salazar ↔ E. Birka
Riga
36'
Iago Siqueira · Assist: O. Galo
Riga
40'
Iago Siqueira · Assist: R. Jurkovskis
Riga
🔄
46'
A. Aruna ↔ O. Rascevskis
Grobiņa
🔄
46'
D. Sirbu ↔ I. Matyushenko
Grobiņa
🔄
58'
M. Fjodorovs ↔ G. Kluskins
Grobiņa
🔄
59'
M. Sidorovs ↔ R. Gaucis
Grobiņa
🟨
62'
J. Ribeiro
Grobiņa
🔄
68'
O. Galo ↔ Caio Ferreira
Riga
🔄
68'
M. Badamosi ↔ Juan Christian
Riga
🟨
73'
G. Leitans
Grobiņa
🔄
79'
J. Ribeiro ↔ O. Olatunde-Matthew
Grobiņa
🔄
81'
Iago Siqueira ↔ S. Oulad M'Hand
Riga
🔄
81'
A. Cernomordijs ↔ B. Musah
Riga

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 76.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 69.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 60.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
76.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
69.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
60.6%
-
Probability Distribution
Grobiņa Win 19%
Draw 4.6%
Riga Win 76.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Grobiņa1.41
Riga2.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Grobiņa Grobiņa
WWDLW
18 GF / 17 GA
Riga Riga
WLDWL
36 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
2.77
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.46
9
BTTS Yes
11
4
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Grobiņa Grobiņa 13 matches
Riga Riga 13 matches
Grobiņa Statistic Riga
4 Wins 8
5 Draws 2
4 Losses 3
18 Goals For 36
17 Goals Against 19
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 2.77
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.46
9 BTTS Yes 11
10 Over 1.5 13
4 Over 2.5 12
3 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Riga's more proactive style and Grobiņa's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Riga. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Riga having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Riga carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 13 points while Grobiņa sit 6 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Riga look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Grobiņa Analysis

Grobiņa are currently 6 in the standings with 8 points from 6 matches. The record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 3:4 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Puzirevskis (2 goals), D. Druzinins (1 goals), R. Baravykas (1 goals), with creative support from R. Baravykas (1 assists), O. Rascevskis (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Riga Analysis

Riga come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 13 points after 6 matches. The return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 18:8, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through M. Badamosi (5 goals), Reginaldo Ramires (4 goals), Iago Siqueira (3 goals), with creative support from A. Salazar (5 assists), L. Odisharia (3 assists), Reginaldo Ramires (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Grobiņa won 0 times, Riga won 9 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:28 from Grobiņa's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
Predicted formations: Grobiņa - / Riga 3-5-2
H2H summary: Grobiņa wins 0, draws 1, Riga wins 9

Lineups

Grobiņa
Formation
Riga
N. Pincuks
N. Pincuks
K. Rupeiks
K. Rupeiks
R. Baravykas
R. Baravykas
G. Leitans
G. Leitans
A. Molotkovs
A. Molotkovs
A. Aruna
A. Aruna
M. Fjodorovs
M. Fjodorovs
J. Ribeiro
J. Ribeiro
M. Sidorovs
M. Sidorovs
D. Sirbu
D. Sirbu
A. Puzirevskis
A. Puzirevskis
K. Zviedris
K. Zviedris
R. Jurkovskis
🎯
R. Jurkovskis
A. Cernomordijs
A. Cernomordijs
Paulo Eduardo
🎯
Paulo Eduardo
A. Salazar
A. Salazar
A. Ankrah
A. Ankrah
R. Varslavans
R. Varslavans
Iago Siqueira
⚽ 2
Iago Siqueira
O. Galo
🎯
O. Galo
M. Badamosi
M. Badamosi
Reginaldo Ramires
Reginaldo Ramires
Grobiņa 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
N. Pincuks
2
K. Rupeiks
🟨 13'
27
R. Baravykas
5
G. Leitans
🟨 73'
26
A. Molotkovs
13
A. Aruna
↓ 46'
23
M. Fjodorovs
↓ 58'
87
J. Ribeiro
↓ 79' 🟨 62'
14
M. Sidorovs
↓ 59'
25
D. Sirbu
↓ 46'
99
A. Puzirevskis
🟨 23'
Substitutes
1
V. Kudrjavcevs
32
G. Kluskins
↑ 58'
11
O. Rascevskis
↑ 46'
3
D. Druzinins
19
R. Gaucis
↑ 59'
8
O. Olatunde-Matthew
↑ 79'
10
D. Dobrecovs
7
J. Krautmanis
29
I. Matyushenko
↑ 46'
Riga 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
K. Zviedris
13
R. Jurkovskis
🎯 40'
34
A. Cernomordijs
↓ 81'
33
Paulo Eduardo
🎯 18'
17
A. Salazar
↓ 30'
40
A. Ankrah
14
R. Varslavans
⚽ 18'
8
Iago Siqueira
⚽ 36' ⚽ 40' ↓ 81'
4
O. Galo
🎯 36' ↓ 68'
19
M. Badamosi
↓ 68'
10
Reginaldo Ramires
Substitutes
91
F. Orols
44
M. Kazainis
18
S. Oulad M'Hand
↑ 81'
21
B. Musah
↑ 81'
99
Caio Ferreira
↑ 68'
5
K. Wassom
27
E. Birka
↑ 30'
70
Juan Christian
↑ 68'
11
B. Pena
Last matches: Grobiņa
20.07.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
2
L
05.07.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Tukums
3
1
W
29.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
0
2
L
25.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Auda
0
0
D
20.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
0
1
L
16.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
13.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
1
3
L
29.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Riga
0
2
L
25.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Ogre United
1
1
D
20.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
2
L
15.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Tukums
3
3
D
11.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
0
0
D
07.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Auda
0
7
L
02.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
28.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
22.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
13.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Ogre United
1
1
D
09.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
1
L
05.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Tukums
1
1
D
21.03.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
1
0
W
Last matches: Riga
22.07.26
UEF
Riga
Vardar Skopje
3
2
W
18.07.26
Vir
Riga
Tukums
3
1
W
14.07.26
UEF
Riga
Ararat-Armenia
3
2
W
07.07.26
UEF
Riga
Ararat-Armenia
0
2
L
03.07.26
Vir
Riga
FS Jelgava
3
0
W
29.06.26
Vir
Riga
Auda
2
0
W
25.06.26
Vir
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
0
0
D
21.06.26
Vir
Riga
FK Liepaja
4
0
W
17.06.26
Vir
Riga
Rīgas FS
2
1
W
13.06.26
Vir
Riga
Ogre United
4
1
W
29.05.26
Vir
Riga
Grobiņa
2
0
W
24.05.26
Vir
Riga
Super Nova
3
0
W
20.05.26
Vir
Riga
Tukums
3
1
W
16.05.26
Vir
Riga
FS Jelgava
2
2
D
12.05.26
Vir
Riga
Auda
4
1
W
08.05.26
Vir
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
3
1
W
03.05.26
Vir
Riga
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
28.04.26
Vir
Riga
Rīgas FS
3
3
D
22.04.26
Vir
Riga
Ogre United
4
0
W
14.04.26
Vir
Riga
Super Nova
4
1
W
H2H: Grobiņa vs Riga
29.05.26
H2H
Riga
Grobiņa
2
0
L
18.04.26
H2H
Grobiņa
Riga
0
3
L
02.11.25
H2H
Grobiņa
Riga
1
1
D
10.08.25
H2H
Riga
Grobiņa
2
0
L
14.06.25
H2H
Grobiņa
Riga
0
2
L
19.04.25
H2H
Riga
Grobiņa
3
0
L
31.08.24
H2H
Riga
Grobiņa
6
1
L
22.06.24
H2H
Grobiņa
Riga
0
6
L
02.05.24
H2H
Riga
Grobiņa
2
0
L
10.03.24
H2H
Grobiņa
Riga
0
1
L
Last matches: Grobiņa
05.07.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Tukums
3
1
W
25.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Auda
0
0
D
16.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
13.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
1
3
L
20.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
2
L
15.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Tukums
3
3
D
11.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
0
0
D
02.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
22.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
09.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
1
L
14.03.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Auda
0
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Grobiņa
Minija
1
1
D
31.01.26
Fri
Grobiņa
Banga
5
3
W
17.01.26
Fri
Grobiņa
Banga
1
1
D
H2H at home: Grobiņa
18.04.26
H2H
Grobiņa
Riga
0
3
L
02.11.25
H2H
Grobiņa
Riga
1
1
D
14.06.25
H2H
Grobiņa
Riga
0
2
L
22.06.24
H2H
Grobiņa
Riga
0
6
L
10.03.24
H2H
Grobiņa
Riga
0
1
L
Last matches: Riga
22.07.26
UEF
Riga
Vardar Skopje
3
2
W
07.07.26
UEF
Riga
Ararat-Armenia
0
2
L
29.06.26
Vir
Riga
Auda
2
0
W
25.06.26
Vir
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
0
0
D
13.06.26
Vir
Riga
Ogre United
4
1
W
20.05.26
Vir
Riga
Tukums
3
1
W
08.05.26
Vir
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
3
1
W
28.04.26
Vir
Riga
Rīgas FS
3
3
D
14.04.26
Vir
Riga
Super Nova
4
1
W
04.04.26
Vir
Riga
FS Jelgava
8
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Riga
Legia Warszawa
1
3
L
20.03.26
Vir
Riga
Auda
2
1
W
07.03.26
Vir
Riga
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
24.02.26
Fri
Riga
Flora Tallinn
3
0
W
12.02.26
Fri
Riga
LNZ Cherkasy
3
1
W
05.02.26
Fri
Riga
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
Riga
Dubai United
2
1
W
21.08.25
UEF
Riga
Sparta Praha
0
2
L
14.08.25
UEF
Riga
Beitar Jerusalem
1
3
L
31.07.25
UEF
Riga
Dila
3
3
D
H2H away: Riga
18.04.26
H2H
Grobiņa
Riga
0
3
W
02.11.25
H2H
Grobiņa
Riga
1
1
D
14.06.25
H2H
Grobiņa
Riga
0
2
W
22.06.24
H2H
Grobiņa
Riga
0
6
W
10.03.24
H2H
Grobiņa
Riga
0
1
W

Standings

Virsliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 19 2 2 55:16 39 59
W D W W W
2
Riga Away
23 18 4 1 68:20 48 58
W W W D W
3 22 12 4 6 37:26 11 40
D L D W L
4 23 8 6 9 29:29 0 30
W W L D W
5 22 8 4 10 28:34 -6 28
L W L L L
6 23 8 3 12 25:35 -10 27
W L W L L
7 23 6 7 10 24:39 -15 25
L L W W W
8 23 4 8 11 15:35 -20 20
L W L D L
9 23 3 8 12 38:47 -9 17
L L L L L
10 23 3 4 16 21:59 -38 13
L W L W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - Nakotnes liga