LATVIA VIRSLIGA
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.17
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.73
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
72.8%
1.17
BTTS No
50.8%
2.00
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.73
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.50
Correct Score 3-0
-
13.00
Probability Distribution
Grobiņa Win 49.9%
Draw 22.9%
Ogre United Win 27.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Grobiņa1.57
Ogre United1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Grobiņa Grobiņa
WWDLW
29 GF / 47 GA
Ogre United Ogre United
WLDWL
22 GF / 62 GA
Key Stats
0.97
Average Goals Scored
0.88
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
2.48
15
BTTS Yes
15
9
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Grobiņa Grobiņa 30 matches
Ogre United Ogre United 25 matches
Grobiņa Statistic Ogre United
6 Wins 3
11 Draws 4
13 Losses 18
29 Goals For 22
47 Goals Against 62
0.97 Avg Goals Scored 0.88
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 2.48
15 BTTS Yes 15
22 Over 1.5 22
9 Over 2.5 15
7 Over 3.5 11
5 Clean Sheets 1
12 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Ogre United. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ogre United having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Ogre United arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Grobiņa Analysis

So far, Grobiņa have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 20 points from 22 matches. The record of 4 wins, 8 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 15:33 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Ogre United Analysis

With 13 points from 23 games and a place of 10, Ogre United still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 4 draws, and 16 defeats, and the 21:59 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Grobiņa won 0 times, Ogre United won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:2 from Grobiņa's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.1%)
H2H summary: Grobiņa wins 0, draws 2, Ogre United wins 0
Last matches: Grobiņa
20.07.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
2
L
05.07.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Tukums
3
1
W
29.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
0
2
L
25.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Auda
0
0
D
20.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
0
1
L
16.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
13.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
1
3
L
29.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Riga
0
2
L
25.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Ogre United
1
1
D
20.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
2
L
15.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Tukums
3
3
D
11.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
0
0
D
07.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Auda
0
7
L
02.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
28.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
22.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
18.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Riga
0
3
L
13.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Ogre United
1
1
D
09.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
1
L
05.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Tukums
1
1
D
Last matches: Ogre United
19.07.26
Vir
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
0
4
L
06.07.26
Vir
Ogre United
Super Nova
2
1
W
30.06.26
Vir
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
0
4
L
26.06.26
Vir
Ogre United
Tukums
3
2
W
22.06.26
Vir
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
0
6
L
17.06.26
Vir
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
2
0
W
13.06.26
Vir
Ogre United
Riga
1
4
L
30.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
Auda
0
2
L
25.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
Grobiņa
1
1
D
21.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
1
3
L
16.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
Super Nova
1
3
L
12.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
1
4
L
07.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
Tukums
1
6
L
02.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
3
4
L
27.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
0
1
L
22.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
Riga
0
4
L
17.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
Auda
1
1
D
13.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
Grobiņa
1
1
D
07.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
1
2
L
03.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
Super Nova
1
2
L
H2H: Grobiņa vs Ogre United
25.05.26
H2H
Ogre United
Grobiņa
1
1
D
13.04.26
H2H
Ogre United
Grobiņa
1
1
D
Last matches: Grobiņa
05.07.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Tukums
3
1
W
25.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Auda
0
0
D
16.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
13.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
1
3
L
20.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
2
L
15.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Tukums
3
3
D
11.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
0
0
D
02.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
22.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
18.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Riga
0
3
L
09.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
1
L
14.03.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Auda
0
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Grobiņa
Minija
1
1
D
31.01.26
Fri
Grobiņa
Banga
5
3
W
17.01.26
Fri
Grobiņa
Banga
1
1
D
Last matches: Ogre United
06.07.26
Vir
Ogre United
Super Nova
2
1
W
30.06.26
Vir
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
0
4
L
22.06.26
Vir
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
0
6
L
17.06.26
Vir
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
2
0
W
30.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
Auda
0
2
L
21.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
1
3
L
16.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
Super Nova
1
3
L
12.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
1
4
L
07.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
Tukums
1
6
L
22.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
Riga
0
4
L
07.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
1
2
L
06.03.26
Vir
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
0
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
Ogre United
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
Ogre United
Flora Tallinn
0
1
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.20
Draw 3.80
Home 1.65
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.75
Draw 2.30
Home 2.20
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.33
Draw 2.62
Home 2.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.22
Over 2.5 1.73
Over 3.5 2.75
Over 4.5 5.00
Over 5.5 8.50
Over 6.5 12.00
Over 7.5 21.00
Under 0.5 13.00
Under 1.5 4.00
Under 2.5 2.08
Under 3.5 1.40
Under 4.5 1.14
Under 5.5 1.05
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.38
Draw 3.74
Home 1.65
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.81
Draw 2.22
Home 2.21
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.46
Draw 2.61
Home 1.99
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.25 1.09
Over 1.5 1.19
Over 1.75 1.24
Over 2.0 1.30
Over 2.25 1.52
Over 2.5 1.71
Over 2.75 1.88
Over 3.0 2.15
Over 3.25 2.43
Over 3.5 2.70
Over 3.75 3.28
Over 4.0 4.33
Over 4.25 4.70
Over 4.5 5.05
Over 4.75 6.35
Over 5.0 9.00
Over 5.5 11.00
Over 6.5 12.00
Over 7.5 21.00
Under 0.5 11.70
Under 1.0 8.60
Under 1.25 5.29
Under 1.5 3.80
Under 1.75 3.34
Under 2.0 2.97
Under 2.25 2.35
Under 2.5 2.00
Under 2.75 1.80
Under 3.0 1.56
Under 3.25 1.44
Under 3.5 1.36
Under 3.75 1.25
Under 4.0 1.14
Under 4.25 1.12
Under 4.5 1.10
Under 4.75 1.06
Under 5.0 1.01
Under 5.5 1.04
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.10
Draw 3.55
Home 1.68
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.21
Over 2.5 1.68
Over 3.5 2.70
Over 4.5 4.75
Under 1.5 3.60
Under 2.5 1.96
Under 3.5 1.36
Under 4.5 1.12