LATVIA › VIRSLIGA
02.05.2026 12:00
Referee: I. Purins
Grobiņa
Match Timeline
BFC Daugavpils
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
6'
A. Puzirevskis
Grobiņa
🟨
30'
M. Sidorovs
Grobiņa
🔄
46'
M. Sidorovs ↔ G. Kluskins
Grobiņa
🔄
46'
A. Aruna ↔ R. Gaucis
Grobiņa
⚽
51'
A. Garzha · Assist: R. Ndjiki
BFC Daugavpils
🔄
57'
O. Rascevskis ↔ D. Dobrecovs
Grobiņa
🔄
59'
A. Traore ↔ M. Sylla
BFC Daugavpils
🟨
62'
M. Fjodorovs
Grobiņa
🔄
62'
I. Matyushenko ↔ A. Kholod
Grobiņa
🔄
65'
M. Fjodorovs ↔ D. Sirbu
Grobiņa
🟨
71'
D. Dobrecovs
Grobiņa
🔄
75'
R. Ndjiki ↔ D. Kivinda
BFC Daugavpils
🟨
84'
Z. Ouled-Haj-M'hand
BFC Daugavpils
🟨
86'
G. Kluskins
Grobiņa
🟨
88'
J. Yakubu
BFC Daugavpils
⚽
90'
A. Kholod · Assist: A. Puzirevskis
Grobiņa

Grobiņa vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
100%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Grobiņa Win 0%
Draw 0%
BFC Daugavpils Win 100%
Expected Goals (xG)
Grobiņa1.4
BFC Daugavpils1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Grobiņa Grobiņa
WWDLW
19 GF / 22 GA
BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils
WLDWL
19 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
1.12
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.71
10
BTTS Yes
8
5
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Grobiņa Grobiņa 16 matches
BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 17 matches
Grobiņa Statistic BFC Daugavpils
4 Wins 6
6 Draws 1
6 Losses 10
19 Goals For 19
22 Goals Against 29
1.19 Avg Goals Scored 1.12
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.71
10 BTTS Yes 8
12 Over 1.5 10
5 Over 2.5 8
3 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward BFC Daugavpils. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Grobiņa have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward BFC Daugavpils having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Grobiņa Analysis

Grobiņa approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 7 with 9 points from 9 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 5:10 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Puzirevskis (3 goals), D. Druzinins (1 goals), R. Baravykas (1 goals), with creative support from R. Baravykas (1 assists), D. Dobrecovs (1 assists), O. Rascevskis (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

BFC Daugavpils Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 13 points from 9 games, BFC Daugavpils bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 12:14, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by A. Garzha (3 goals), J. Yakubu (3 goals), R. Ndjiki (3 goals), with creative support from Z. Ouled-Haj-M'hand (3 assists), A. Garzha (2 assists), J. Yakubu (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Grobiņa won 5 times, BFC Daugavpils won 8 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:25 from Grobiņa's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 2 (100%)
Predicted formations: Grobiņa 4-4-2 / BFC Daugavpils 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Grobiņa wins 5, draws 1, BFC Daugavpils wins 8

Standings

Virsliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 23 5 2 71:22 49 74
D W D W D
2 31 22 7 2 86:30 56 73
W W D D L
3 31 18 7 6 49:30 19 61
D W D W D
4 31 12 7 12 41:43 -2 43
D D D W L
5 31 10 9 12 35:35 0 39
D L D L D
6 30 10 5 15 29:40 -11 35
L L W W D
7 31 8 8 15 32:49 -17 32
L D L W W
8 31 5 11 15 21:52 -31 26
D D L W L
9 31 5 9 17 44:61 -17 24
D L W L L
10 31 4 6 21 30:76 -46 18
W L D L L