ENGLAND LEAGUE TWO
12.09.2026 11:30
Blundell Park

Grimsby vs Bristol Rovers Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 94.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
94.3%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Grimsby Win 46.9%
Draw 5.7%
Bristol Rovers Win 47.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Grimsby1.57
Bristol Rovers1.65
Recent Form (Last 5)
Grimsby Grimsby
WWDLW
21 GF / 10 GA
Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers
WLDWL
22 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
2.2
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
6
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
6
4.25
Shots on Goal
6.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Grimsby Grimsby 12 matches
Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 10 matches
Grimsby Statistic Bristol Rovers
5 Wins 6
7 Draws 2
0 Losses 2
21 Goals For 22
10 Goals Against 13
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 2.2
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
6 BTTS Yes 6
8 Over 1.5 9
6 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 0
4.25 Shots On Goal 6.25
17 Total Shots 22.75
7 Corners 6
55% Ball Possession 45.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Grimsby won 0 times, Bristol Rovers won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:5 from Grimsby's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.3%)
Predicted formations: Grimsby 4-1-4-1 / Bristol Rovers 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Grimsby wins 0, draws 1, Bristol Rovers wins 3

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 4 0 1 12:6 6 12
W W W W L
2 5 3 1 1 8:6 2 10
W W L W D
3 5 2 3 0 12:8 4 9
D D D W W
4 5 2 3 0 9:5 4 9
W D D D W
5 5 2 3 0 8:4 4 9
D D W D W
6 5 2 3 0 6:3 3 9
W D D D W
7 5 2 3 0 5:3 2 9
D D D W W
8 5 2 2 1 10:9 1 8
D W D L W
9 5 2 2 1 9:8 1 8
D L W D W
10 5 2 1 2 7:5 2 7
L D W L W
11 5 1 4 0 7:6 1 7
D D D D W
12 5 2 1 2 6:8 -2 7
L L W W D
13 5 1 3 1 6:6 0 6
W D D D L
14 5 1 3 1 3:3 0 6
W D D L D
15 5 2 0 3 4:6 -2 6
W W L L L
16 5 1 2 2 4:4 0 5
D D L W L
17 5 1 2 2 6:7 -1 5
D D L W L
18 5 1 2 2 6:7 -1 5
L D W D L
19 5 1 2 2 9:11 -2 5
W D L L D
20 5 1 1 3 9:10 -1 4
L L D L W
21 5 1 1 3 5:8 -3 4
L D L W L
22 5 1 0 4 5:10 -5 3
L W L L L
23 5 1 0 4 2:10 -8 3
L L W L L
24 5 0 2 3 2:7 -5 2
L L D D L
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League