Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Gremio Win 0%
Draw 0%
Vasco DA Gama Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gremio1.38
Vasco DA Gama1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gremio
WWDLW
26 GF / 27 GA
Vasco DA Gama
WLDWL
22 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.16
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.58
13
BTTS Yes
13
10
Over 2.5
11
3.61
Shots on Goal
5.37
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Gremio
21 matches
Vasco DA Gama
19 matches
| Gremio | Statistic | Vasco DA Gama |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 5 |
| 6 | Draws | 5 |
| 8 | Losses | 9 |
| 26 | Goals For | 22 |
| 27 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.16 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.58 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 3.61 | Shots On Goal | 5.37 |
| 11.33 | Total Shots | 17.47 |
| 3.89 | Corners | 5.16 |
| 49.4% | Ball Possession | 54.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Gremio won 8 times, Vasco DA Gama won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:11 from Gremio's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Gremio 4-3-3 / Vasco DA Gama 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Gremio wins 8, draws 3, Vasco DA Gama wins 4
Last matches: Gremio
12.07.26
Fri
Gremio
Cruzeiro
3
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
2
L
27.06.26
Fri
Gremio
Cascavel
2
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Corinthians
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Santos
3
2
W
17.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Bahia
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Flamengo
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Coritiba
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Cruzeiro
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Internacional
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Remo
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Palmeiras
1
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
19.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vitoria
2
0
W
16.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
13.03.26
Ser
Gremio
RB Bragantino
1
1
D
26.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico-MG
2
1
W
12.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Sao Paulo
0
2
L
05.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Botafogo
5
3
W
Last matches: Vasco DA Gama
16.07.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Vitoria
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
RB Bragantino
0
3
L
16.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Internacional
1
4
L
10.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico Paranaense
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Corinthians
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Remo
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Botafogo
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Coritiba
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
2
1
W
19.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Fluminense
3
2
W
15.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Cruzeiro
3
3
D
12.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Palmeiras
2
1
W
26.02.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Santos
1
2
L
12.02.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Bahia
0
1
L
05.02.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
29.01.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Mirassol
1
2
L
H2H: Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama
22.03.26
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
2
1
L
20.11.25
H2H
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
2
0
W
19.07.25
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
1
1
D
28.07.24
H2H
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
14.04.24
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
2
1
L
03.12.23
H2H
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
06.08.23
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
1
0
L
11.09.22
H2H
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
2
1
W
02.06.22
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
0
0
D
06.12.20
H2H
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
4
0
W
23.08.20
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
0
0
D
31.10.19
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
1
3
W
13.07.19
H2H
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
2
1
W
11.11.18
H2H
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
2
1
W
22.07.18
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
1
0
L
Last matches: Gremio
12.07.26
Fri
Gremio
Cruzeiro
3
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Corinthians
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Santos
3
2
W
10.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Flamengo
0
1
L
26.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Coritiba
1
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Remo
0
0
D
19.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vitoria
2
0
W
13.03.26
Ser
Gremio
RB Bragantino
1
1
D
26.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico-MG
2
1
W
05.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Botafogo
5
3
W
H2H at home: Gremio
20.11.25
H2H
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
2
0
W
28.07.24
H2H
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
03.12.23
H2H
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
11.09.22
H2H
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
2
1
W
06.12.20
H2H
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
4
0
W
13.07.19
H2H
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
2
1
W
11.11.18
H2H
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
2
1
W
Last matches: Vasco DA Gama
16.07.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Vitoria
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Internacional
1
4
L
03.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Corinthians
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Remo
1
1
D
01.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Coritiba
1
1
D
15.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Cruzeiro
3
3
D
26.02.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Santos
1
2
L
29.01.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Mirassol
1
2
L
H2H away: Vasco DA Gama
20.11.25
H2H
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
2
0
L
28.07.24
H2H
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
L
03.12.23
H2H
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
L
11.09.22
H2H
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
2
1
L
06.12.20
H2H
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
4
0
L
13.07.19
H2H
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
2
1
L
11.11.18
H2H
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
2
1
L
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 33:32 | 1 | 25 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 25 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 24 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 15 |
Gremio
Home
|
18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 27:31 | -4 | 21 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 17 |
Vasco DA Gama
Away
|
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22:30 | -8 | 20 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
| 18 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 19 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 20 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17:33 | -16 | 9 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B