Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
93.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Gremio
Fluminense
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Gremio
22 matches
Fluminense
27 matches
| Gremio | Statistic | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 13 |
| 6 | Draws | 7 |
| 9 | Losses | 7 |
| 27 | Goals For | 44 |
| 29 | Goals Against | 32 |
| 1.23 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.63 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.19 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.63 | Shots On Goal | 5.48 |
| 11.21 | Total Shots | 15.08 |
| 3.89 | Corners | 5.16 |
| 49.7% | Ball Possession | 60.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Fluminense's more proactive style and Gremio's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Fluminense. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gremio expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Fluminense in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Fluminense having the stronger overall control. Gremio have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Fluminense carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 32 points while Gremio sit 16 on 21, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
With 21 points from 19 games and a place of 16, Gremio still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats with a 21:25 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Carlos Vinícius (9 goals), Tetê (2 goals), Gabriel Mec (2 goals), with creative support from Francis Amuzu (3 assists), Cristian Pavón (3 assists), Gustavo Martins (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Fluminense arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 32 points after 19 matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 29:24 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by John Kennedy (8 goals), Luciano Acosta (3 goals), Rodrigo Castillo (3 goals), with creative support from Luciano Acosta (3 assists), Agustín Canobbio (2 assists), Guga (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Gremio won 8 times, Fluminense won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:16 from Gremio's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Gremio
5
3
2
3
5
1
Lineups
Gremio
Atletico-MG
Gremio
Sao Paulo
Gremio
Mirassol
Gremio
Cruzeiro
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
Gremio
Cascavel
Gremio
Corinthians
Gremio
Santos
Gremio
Bahia
Gremio
Flamengo
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
Gremio
Coritiba
Gremio
Cruzeiro
Gremio
Internacional
Gremio
Remo
Gremio
Palmeiras
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
Vitoria
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
Gremio
RB Bragantino
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Palmeiras
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Botafogo
Fluminense
Bahia
Fluminense
RB Bragantino
Fluminense
Bahia
Fluminense
Nova Iguaçu
Fluminense
Cruzeiro
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
Fluminense
Mirassol
Fluminense
Bolívar
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
Vitoria
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Internacional
Fluminense
Bolívar
Fluminense
Chapecoense-sc
Fluminense
Santos
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Gremio
Sao Paulo
Gremio
Cruzeiro
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
Gremio
Corinthians
Gremio
Santos
Gremio
Flamengo
Gremio
Coritiba
Gremio
Remo
Gremio
Vitoria
Gremio
RB Bragantino
Gremio
Atletico-MG
Gremio
Botafogo
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Botafogo
Fluminense
Cruzeiro
Fluminense
Mirassol
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Internacional
Fluminense
Bolívar
Fluminense
Santos
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
Fluminense
Coritiba
Fluminense
Vasco DA Gama
Fluminense
Remo
Fluminense
Palmeiras
Fluminense
Bahia
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 40:19 | 21 | 48 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44:19 | 25 | 45 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 31:20 | 11 | 41 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Fluminense
Away
|
23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 34:28 | 6 | 38 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
| 5 | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 32:32 | 0 | 36 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 32:28 | 4 | 34 |
D
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 27:23 | 4 | 32 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 30:27 | 3 | 32 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 25:22 | 3 | 32 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 31 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 30 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 23:33 | -10 | 29 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27:26 | 1 | 27 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 32:35 | -3 | 25 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 |
Gremio
Home
|
22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 25 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
| 16 | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 23 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 18 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 27:37 | -10 | 23 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 19 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23:34 | -11 | 22 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 22 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 23:46 | -23 | 11 |
D
L
D
L
L
|