Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Gremio Win 0%
Draw 0%
Fluminense Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gremio1.22
Fluminense1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gremio
WWDLW
26 GF / 27 GA
Fluminense
WLDWL
43 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.65
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
13
BTTS Yes
18
10
Over 2.5
14
3.61
Shots on Goal
5.54
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Gremio
21 matches
Fluminense
26 matches
| Gremio | Statistic | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 13 |
| 6 | Draws | 6 |
| 8 | Losses | 7 |
| 26 | Goals For | 43 |
| 27 | Goals Against | 31 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.65 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.19 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.61 | Shots On Goal | 5.54 |
| 11.33 | Total Shots | 14.67 |
| 3.89 | Corners | 4.92 |
| 49.4% | Ball Possession | 60.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Gremio won 8 times, Fluminense won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:20 from Gremio's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Gremio 4-2-3-1 / Fluminense 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Gremio wins 8, draws 1, Fluminense wins 6
Last matches: Gremio
12.07.26
Fri
Gremio
Cruzeiro
3
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
2
L
27.06.26
Fri
Gremio
Cascavel
2
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Corinthians
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Santos
3
2
W
17.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Bahia
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Flamengo
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Coritiba
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Cruzeiro
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Internacional
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Remo
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Palmeiras
1
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
19.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vitoria
2
0
W
16.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
13.03.26
Ser
Gremio
RB Bragantino
1
1
D
26.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico-MG
2
1
W
12.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Sao Paulo
0
2
L
05.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Botafogo
5
3
W
Last matches: Fluminense
12.07.26
Fri
Fluminense
Bahia
2
0
W
08.07.26
Fri
Fluminense
Nova Iguaçu
6
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
28.05.26
CON
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
3
1
W
23.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Mirassol
0
1
L
19.05.26
CON
Fluminense
Bolívar
2
1
W
16.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Vitoria
2
2
D
07.05.26
CON
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Internacional
0
2
L
30.04.26
CON
Fluminense
Bolívar
0
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Chapecoense-sc
2
1
W
19.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Santos
3
2
W
16.04.26
CON
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Flamengo
1
2
L
07.04.26
CON
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Coritiba
1
1
D
02.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Corinthians
3
1
W
21.03.26
Ser
Fluminense
Atletico-MG
1
0
W
19.03.26
Ser
Fluminense
Vasco DA Gama
2
3
L
H2H: Gremio vs Fluminense
28.01.26
H2H
Fluminense
Gremio
2
1
L
03.12.25
H2H
Gremio
Fluminense
1
2
L
03.08.25
H2H
Fluminense
Gremio
1
0
L
02.11.24
H2H
Fluminense
Gremio
2
2
D
20.08.24
H2H
Fluminense
Gremio
2
1
L
13.08.24
H2H
Gremio
Fluminense
2
1
W
30.06.24
H2H
Gremio
Fluminense
1
0
W
07.12.23
H2H
Fluminense
Gremio
2
3
W
13.08.23
H2H
Gremio
Fluminense
2
1
W
10.11.21
H2H
Gremio
Fluminense
1
0
W
18.07.21
H2H
Fluminense
Gremio
0
1
W
08.11.20
H2H
Fluminense
Gremio
0
1
W
10.08.20
H2H
Gremio
Fluminense
1
0
W
29.09.19
H2H
Fluminense
Gremio
2
1
L
05.05.19
H2H
Gremio
Fluminense
4
5
L
Last matches: Gremio
12.07.26
Fri
Gremio
Cruzeiro
3
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Corinthians
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Santos
3
2
W
10.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Flamengo
0
1
L
26.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Coritiba
1
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Remo
0
0
D
19.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vitoria
2
0
W
13.03.26
Ser
Gremio
RB Bragantino
1
1
D
26.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico-MG
2
1
W
05.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Botafogo
5
3
W
H2H at home: Gremio
03.12.25
H2H
Gremio
Fluminense
1
2
L
13.08.24
H2H
Gremio
Fluminense
2
1
W
30.06.24
H2H
Gremio
Fluminense
1
0
W
13.08.23
H2H
Gremio
Fluminense
2
1
W
10.11.21
H2H
Gremio
Fluminense
1
0
W
10.08.20
H2H
Gremio
Fluminense
1
0
W
05.05.19
H2H
Gremio
Fluminense
4
5
L
Last matches: Fluminense
31.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Mirassol
0
1
L
07.05.26
CON
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Internacional
0
2
L
30.04.26
CON
Fluminense
Bolívar
0
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Santos
3
2
W
07.04.26
CON
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Coritiba
1
1
D
19.03.26
Ser
Fluminense
Vasco DA Gama
2
3
L
12.03.26
Ser
Fluminense
Remo
2
0
W
26.02.26
Ser
Fluminense
Palmeiras
1
2
L
05.02.26
Ser
Fluminense
Bahia
1
1
D
H2H away: Fluminense
03.12.25
H2H
Gremio
Fluminense
1
2
W
13.08.24
H2H
Gremio
Fluminense
2
1
L
30.06.24
H2H
Gremio
Fluminense
1
0
L
13.08.23
H2H
Gremio
Fluminense
2
1
L
10.11.21
H2H
Gremio
Fluminense
1
0
L
10.08.20
H2H
Gremio
Fluminense
1
0
L
05.05.19
H2H
Gremio
Fluminense
4
5
W
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
?
|
|
| 3 |
Fluminense
Away
|
18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
?
|
| 4 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 22 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26:29 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 16 |
Gremio
Home
|
18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
| 17 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22:29 | -7 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 19 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 20 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17:33 | -16 | 9 |
?
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B