Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
53.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
85.1%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Gremio Win 36.7%
Draw 10.3%
Cruzeiro Win 53.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gremio1.19
Cruzeiro1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gremio
WWDLW
23 GF / 26 GA
Cruzeiro
WLDWL
34 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
1.36
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1.24
12
BTTS Yes
14
9
Over 2.5
13
3.61
Shots on Goal
4.5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Gremio
20 matches
Cruzeiro
25 matches
| Gremio | Statistic | Cruzeiro |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 10 |
| 6 | Draws | 8 |
| 8 | Losses | 7 |
| 23 | Goals For | 34 |
| 26 | Goals Against | 31 |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.36 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.24 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.61 | Shots On Goal | 4.5 |
| 11.33 | Total Shots | 13.63 |
| 3.89 | Corners | 4.75 |
| 49.4% | Ball Possession | 55.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Gremio won 5 times, Cruzeiro won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:17 from Gremio's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.
1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.8%)
Predicted formations: Gremio 4-2-3-1 / Cruzeiro 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Gremio wins 5, draws 4, Cruzeiro wins 6
Last matches: Gremio
04.07.26
Fri
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
2
L
27.06.26
Fri
Gremio
Cascavel
2
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Corinthians
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Santos
3
2
W
17.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Bahia
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Flamengo
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Coritiba
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Cruzeiro
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Internacional
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Remo
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Palmeiras
1
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
19.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vitoria
2
0
W
16.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
13.03.26
Ser
Gremio
RB Bragantino
1
1
D
26.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico-MG
2
1
W
12.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Sao Paulo
0
2
L
05.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Botafogo
5
3
W
28.01.26
Ser
Gremio
Fluminense
1
2
L
Last matches: Cruzeiro
04.07.26
Fri
Cruzeiro
Defensor Sporting
2
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Fluminense
1
1
D
29.05.26
CON
Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
4
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc
2
1
W
20.05.26
CON
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Bahia
2
1
W
07.05.26
CON
Cruzeiro
U. Catolica
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Atletico-MG
1
3
L
29.04.26
CON
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Remo
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Gremio
2
0
W
15.04.26
CON
Cruzeiro
U. Catolica
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
08.04.26
CON
Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
1
4
L
01.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Vitoria
3
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Santos
0
0
D
18.03.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
1
2
L
15.03.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Vasco DA Gama
3
3
D
H2H: Gremio vs Cruzeiro
18.04.26
H2H
Cruzeiro
Gremio
2
0
L
05.11.25
H2H
Gremio
Cruzeiro
0
1
L
13.07.25
H2H
Cruzeiro
Gremio
4
1
L
28.11.24
H2H
Cruzeiro
Gremio
1
1
D
10.07.24
H2H
Gremio
Cruzeiro
0
2
L
27.08.23
H2H
Gremio
Cruzeiro
3
0
W
31.05.23
H2H
Cruzeiro
Gremio
0
1
W
17.05.23
H2H
Gremio
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
23.04.23
H2H
Cruzeiro
Gremio
1
0
L
21.08.22
H2H
Gremio
Cruzeiro
2
2
D
08.05.22
H2H
Cruzeiro
Gremio
1
0
L
05.12.19
H2H
Gremio
Cruzeiro
2
0
W
08.09.19
H2H
Cruzeiro
Gremio
1
4
W
23.08.18
H2H
Gremio
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
14.04.18
H2H
Cruzeiro
Gremio
0
1
W
Last matches: Gremio
04.07.26
Fri
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Corinthians
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Santos
3
2
W
10.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Flamengo
0
1
L
26.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Coritiba
1
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Remo
0
0
D
19.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vitoria
2
0
W
13.03.26
Ser
Gremio
RB Bragantino
1
1
D
26.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico-MG
2
1
W
05.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Botafogo
5
3
W
H2H at home: Gremio
05.11.25
H2H
Gremio
Cruzeiro
0
1
L
10.07.24
H2H
Gremio
Cruzeiro
0
2
L
27.08.23
H2H
Gremio
Cruzeiro
3
0
W
17.05.23
H2H
Gremio
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
21.08.22
H2H
Gremio
Cruzeiro
2
2
D
05.12.19
H2H
Gremio
Cruzeiro
2
0
W
23.08.18
H2H
Gremio
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
Last matches: Cruzeiro
20.05.26
CON
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Bahia
2
1
W
07.05.26
CON
Cruzeiro
U. Catolica
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Remo
1
0
W
08.04.26
CON
Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
1
4
L
18.03.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
1
2
L
12.03.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
0
2
L
11.02.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Mirassol
2
2
D
30.01.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Botafogo
0
4
L
H2H away: Cruzeiro
05.11.25
H2H
Gremio
Cruzeiro
0
1
W
10.07.24
H2H
Gremio
Cruzeiro
0
2
W
27.08.23
H2H
Gremio
Cruzeiro
3
0
L
17.05.23
H2H
Gremio
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
21.08.22
H2H
Gremio
Cruzeiro
2
2
D
05.12.19
H2H
Gremio
Cruzeiro
2
0
L
23.08.18
H2H
Gremio
Cruzeiro
1
1
D