POLAND EKSTRAKLASA
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla
Referee: S. Marciniak
Gornik Zabrze
Match Timeline
Zaglebie Lubin
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
40'
M. Sacek ↔ P. Olkowski
Gornik Zabrze
🔄
46'
Y. Ikia Dimi ↔ O. Zmrzly
Gornik Zabrze
🔄
46'
J. Kubicki ↔ M. Rakoczy
Gornik Zabrze
🔄
59'
M. Kosidis ↔ L. Szabo
Zaglebie Lubin
63'
J. Kolan · Assist: L. Szabo
Zaglebie Lubin
🟨
72'
Levente Szabó
Zaglebie Lubin
🔄
74'
A. Radwanski ↔ J. Sypek
Zaglebie Lubin
🔄
74'
M. Regula ↔ M. Dziewiatowski
Zaglebie Lubin
74'
L. Szabo · Assist: J. Sypek
Zaglebie Lubin
🔄
76'
S. Liseth ↔ L. Podolski
Gornik Zabrze
🔄
76'
E. Janza ↔ K. Lukoszek
Gornik Zabrze
🔄
85'
D. Dabrowski ↔ L. Lucic
Zaglebie Lubin
🔄
85'
J. Kolan ↔ T. Makowski
Zaglebie Lubin

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 35.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
35.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
84.4%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Gornik Zabrze Win 70.2%
Draw 0%
Zaglebie Lubin Win 29.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gornik Zabrze1.32
Zaglebie Lubin1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze
WWDLW
43 GF / 34 GA
Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin
WLDWL
43 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
1.39
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.16
16
BTTS Yes
16
15
Over 2.5
15
4.37
Shots on Goal
3.58

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 30 matches
Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 31 matches
Gornik Zabrze Statistic Zaglebie Lubin
14 Wins 12
7 Draws 9
9 Losses 10
43 Goals For 43
34 Goals Against 36
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 1.39
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 1.16
16 BTTS Yes 16
21 Over 1.5 21
15 Over 2.5 15
7 Over 3.5 10
8 Clean Sheets 10
8 Failed To Score 9
4.37 Shots On Goal 3.58
15.53 Total Shots 11.97
5.37 Corners 3.71
50.7% Ball Possession 40%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gornik Zabrze expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Zaglebie Lubin in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Zaglebie Lubin having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Zaglebie Lubin arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Zaglebie Lubin.

Gornik Zabrze Analysis

Gornik Zabrze approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 49 points after 30 outings. The return of 14 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats, together with goals at 43:34, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through O. Sow (7 goals), S. Liseth (7 goals), Patrik Hellebrand (4 goals), with creative support from J. Kubicki (4 assists), Lukáš Ambros (4 assists), Maksym Khlan (3 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, they have managed 10 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Zaglebie Lubin Analysis

Zaglebie Lubin sit 6 with 45 points after 31 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 12 wins, 9 draws, and 10 defeats with a 43:36 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Kosidis (6 goals), M. Regula (5 goals), A. Radwanski (4 goals), with creative support from A. Radwanski (6 assists), M. Regula (3 assists), K. Szmyt (3 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with M. Grzybek unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Gornik Zabrze won 4 times, Zaglebie Lubin won 10 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:24 from Gornik Zabrze's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Gornik Zabrze 4-3-3 / Zaglebie Lubin 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Gornik Zabrze 0, Zaglebie Lubin 1
H2H summary: Gornik Zabrze wins 4, draws 1, Zaglebie Lubin wins 10

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 16 12 6 62:45 17 60
D W D W W
2 34 16 8 10 50:38 12 56
W W D L W
3 34 15 11 8 56:41 15 56
W D W W L
4 34 16 7 11 51:40 11 55
W W L W W
5 34 14 8 12 51:45 6 50
D D D W D
6 34 12 13 9 42:37 5 49
W W W W L
7 34 13 9 12 45:38 7 48
L L W D L
8 34 12 10 12 34:38 -4 46
D L L L L
9 34 13 6 15 47:49 -2 45
D W L W D
10 34 11 11 12 52:53 -1 44
L L D W W
11 34 11 10 13 40:40 0 43
D W L D D
12 34 10 13 11 46:53 -7 43
L D W L L
13 34 9 15 10 39:42 -3 42
D D D D D
14 34 12 6 16 41:41 0 42
W L W L W
15 34 11 8 15 42:46 -4 41
L L D D W
16 34 12 7 15 62:65 -3 38
L L L L L
17 34 9 9 16 34:61 -27 36
L L D D L
18 34 9 7 18 43:65 -22 34
W W L L W
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation