Gornik Zabrze vs Korona Kielce Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
60.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
79.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72.9%
|
- |
Gornik Zabrze
Korona Kielce
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Gornik Zabrze
28 matches
Korona Kielce
28 matches
| Gornik Zabrze | Statistic | Korona Kielce |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 10 |
| 7 | Draws | 7 |
| 9 | Losses | 11 |
| 40 | Goals For | 36 |
| 33 | Goals Against | 34 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.32 | Shots On Goal | 3.82 |
| 15.54 | Total Shots | 14.93 |
| 5.46 | Corners | 5.14 |
| 50.9% | Ball Possession | 45.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gornik Zabrze expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Korona Kielce in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Korona Kielce having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Korona Kielce. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
Gornik Zabrze arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 43 points after 28 matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 40:33 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by O. Sow (7 goals), S. Liseth (7 goals), Patrik Hellebrand (4 goals), with creative support from J. Kubicki (4 assists), Lukáš Ambros (4 assists), Maksym Khlan (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 9 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Korona Kielce are currently 11 in the standings with 37 points from 28 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 7 draws, and 11 losses, while the 36:34 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Dawid Błanik (7 goals), K. Sotiriou (5 goals), M. Pieczek (4 goals), with creative support from Dawid Błanik (3 assists), K. Sotiriou (2 assists), M. Pieczek (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Gornik Zabrze won 8 times, Korona Kielce won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:14 from Gornik Zabrze's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 62:45 | 17 | 60 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Gornik Zabrze
Home
|
34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 50:38 | 12 | 56 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
| 3 | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 56:41 | 15 | 56 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 51:40 | 11 | 55 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51:45 | 6 | 50 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 42:37 | 5 | 49 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 45:38 | 7 | 48 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 34:38 | -4 | 46 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 47:49 | -2 | 45 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52:53 | -1 | 44 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 11 |
Korona Kielce
Away
|
34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 40:40 | 0 | 43 |
D
W
L
D
D
|
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 46:53 | -7 | 43 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 39:42 | -3 | 42 |
D
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 41:41 | 0 | 42 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:46 | -4 | 41 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 62:65 | -3 | 38 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 34:61 | -27 | 36 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 43:65 | -22 | 34 |
W
W
L
L
W
|