Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
60.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
79.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72.9%
|
- |
Gornik Zabrze
Korona Kielce
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Gornik Zabrze
28 matches
Korona Kielce
28 matches
| Gornik Zabrze | Statistic | Korona Kielce |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 10 |
| 7 | Draws | 7 |
| 9 | Losses | 11 |
| 40 | Goals For | 36 |
| 33 | Goals Against | 34 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.32 | Shots On Goal | 3.82 |
| 15.54 | Total Shots | 14.93 |
| 5.46 | Corners | 5.14 |
| 50.9% | Ball Possession | 45.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gornik Zabrze expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Korona Kielce in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Korona Kielce having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Korona Kielce. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
Gornik Zabrze arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 43 points after 28 matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 40:33 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by O. Sow (7 goals), S. Liseth (7 goals), Patrik Hellebrand (4 goals), with creative support from J. Kubicki (4 assists), Lukáš Ambros (4 assists), Maksym Khlan (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 9 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Korona Kielce are currently 11 in the standings with 37 points from 28 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 7 draws, and 11 losses, while the 36:34 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Dawid Błanik (7 goals), K. Sotiriou (5 goals), M. Pieczek (4 goals), with creative support from Dawid Błanik (3 assists), K. Sotiriou (2 assists), M. Pieczek (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Gornik Zabrze won 8 times, Korona Kielce won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:14 from Gornik Zabrze's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.
Gornik Zabrze
6
3
8
6
6
8
Lineups
Gornik Zabrze
Fenerbahçe
Gornik Zabrze
FC Nordsjaelland
Gornik Zabrze
WSG Wattens
Gornik Zabrze
Red Bull Salzburg
Gornik Zabrze
Hallescher FC
Gornik Zabrze
Puszcza Niepołomice
Gornik Zabrze
Radomiak Radom
Gornik Zabrze
Wisla Plock
Gornik Zabrze
Arka Gdynia
Gornik Zabrze
Zaglebie Lubin
Gornik Zabrze
Jagiellonia
Gornik Zabrze
Legia Warszawa
Gornik Zabrze
Cracovia Krakow
Gornik Zabrze
Górnik Zabrze II
Gornik Zabrze
Widzew Łódź
Gornik Zabrze
Raków Częstochowa
Gornik Zabrze
Motor Lublin
Gornik Zabrze
GKS Katowice
Gornik Zabrze
Pogon Szczecin
Gornik Zabrze
Nieciecza
Korona Kielce
Nieciecza
Korona Kielce
Stal Rzeszów
Korona Kielce
Omonia Nicosia
Korona Kielce
Zemplín Michalovce
Korona Kielce
Cracovia Krakow
Korona Kielce
Widzew Łódź
Korona Kielce
Raków Częstochowa
Korona Kielce
Piast Gliwice
Korona Kielce
GKS Katowice
Korona Kielce
Jagiellonia
Korona Kielce
Lechia Gdansk
Korona Kielce
Arka Gdynia
Korona Kielce
Pogon Szczecin
Korona Kielce
Nieciecza
Korona Kielce
Motor Lublin
Korona Kielce
Lech Poznan
Korona Kielce
Radomiak Radom
Korona Kielce
Zaglebie Lubin
Korona Kielce
Legia Warszawa
Korona Kielce
Dynamo Kyiv
Gornik Zabrze
Puszcza Niepołomice
Gornik Zabrze
Radomiak Radom
Gornik Zabrze
Zaglebie Lubin
Gornik Zabrze
Cracovia Krakow
Gornik Zabrze
Górnik Zabrze II
Gornik Zabrze
Raków Częstochowa
Gornik Zabrze
Pogon Szczecin
Gornik Zabrze
Lech Poznan
Gornik Zabrze
Piast Gliwice
Gornik Zabrze
Ried
Gornik Zabrze
Wisla Plock
Gornik Zabrze
Arka Gdynia
Gornik Zabrze
Jagiellonia
Gornik Zabrze
Legia Warszawa
Gornik Zabrze
Widzew Łódź
Gornik Zabrze
Motor Lublin
Gornik Zabrze
GKS Katowice
Gornik Zabrze
Nieciecza
Gornik Zabrze
Lechia Gdansk
Korona Kielce
Cracovia Krakow
Korona Kielce
Raków Częstochowa
Korona Kielce
Lechia Gdansk
Korona Kielce
Pogon Szczecin
Korona Kielce
Motor Lublin
Korona Kielce
Radomiak Radom
Korona Kielce
Legia Warszawa
Korona Kielce
CSKA Sofia
Korona Kielce
Widzew Łódź
Korona Kielce
Piast Gliwice
Korona Kielce
GKS Katowice
Korona Kielce
Jagiellonia
Korona Kielce
Arka Gdynia
Korona Kielce
Nieciecza
Korona Kielce
Lech Poznan
Korona Kielce
Zaglebie Lubin
Korona Kielce
Wisla Plock
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 62:45 | 17 | 60 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Gornik Zabrze
Home
|
34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 50:38 | 12 | 56 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
| 3 | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 56:41 | 15 | 56 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 51:40 | 11 | 55 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51:45 | 6 | 50 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 42:37 | 5 | 49 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 45:38 | 7 | 48 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 34:38 | -4 | 46 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 47:49 | -2 | 45 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52:53 | -1 | 44 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 11 |
Korona Kielce
Away
|
34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 40:40 | 0 | 43 |
D
W
L
D
D
|
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 46:53 | -7 | 43 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 39:42 | -3 | 42 |
D
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 41:41 | 0 | 42 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:46 | -4 | 41 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 62:65 | -3 | 38 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 34:61 | -27 | 36 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 43:65 | -22 | 34 |
W
W
L
L
W
|