SENEGAL LIGUE 1
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 83.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 85.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
83.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
85.7%
-
Probability Distribution
Gorée Win 66.3%
Draw 3.9%
Jaraaf Win 29.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gorée0.94
Jaraaf0.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gorée Gorée
WWDLW
25 GF / 9 GA
Jaraaf Jaraaf
WLDWL
15 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
0.68
0.41
Average Goals Conceded
0.64
5
BTTS Yes
7
5
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gorée Gorée 22 matches
Jaraaf Jaraaf 22 matches
Gorée Statistic Jaraaf
10 Wins 6
9 Draws 10
3 Losses 6
25 Goals For 15
9 Goals Against 14
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 0.68
0.41 Avg Goals Conceded 0.64
5 BTTS Yes 7
10 Over 1.5 10
5 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 0
14 Clean Sheets 9
9 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Jaraaf having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Jaraaf. Jaraaf arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Gorée Analysis

Gorée come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 39 points after 22 matches. With 10 wins, 9 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 25:9, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Jaraaf Analysis

Jaraaf sit 8 with 28 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 6 wins, 10 draws, and 6 defeats with a 15:14 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Gorée won 3 times, Jaraaf won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:15 from Gorée's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.1%)
H2H summary: Gorée wins 3, draws 4, Jaraaf wins 8
Last matches: Gorée
04.06.26
Lig
Gorée
Stade de Mbour
0
0
D
22.05.26
Lig
Gorée
Wally Daan
1
1
D
17.05.26
Lig
Gorée
AJEL
2
1
W
13.05.26
Lig
Gorée
Ouakam
0
2
L
10.05.26
Lig
Gorée
HLM
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
Gorée
AS Camberene
0
0
D
26.04.26
Lig
Gorée
Casa Sport
0
0
D
12.04.26
Lig
Gorée
Pikine
1
0
W
30.03.26
Lig
Gorée
Sonacos
2
1
W
25.03.26
Lig
Gorée
Génération Foot
0
0
D
15.03.26
Lig
Gorée
La Linguère
0
0
D
07.03.26
Lig
Gorée
DSC
1
0
W
01.03.26
Lig
Gorée
Guédiawaye
1
1
D
22.02.26
Lig
Gorée
Teungueth
0
1
L
15.02.26
Lig
Gorée
Stade de Mbour
1
0
W
07.02.26
Lig
Gorée
Wally Daan
1
1
D
31.01.26
Lig
Gorée
AJEL
0
1
L
24.01.26
Lig
Gorée
Ouakam
0
0
D
11.01.26
Lig
Gorée
HLM
5
0
W
07.01.26
Lig
Gorée
AS Camberene
3
0
W
Last matches: Jaraaf
04.06.26
Lig
Jaraaf
AS Camberene
2
0
W
22.05.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Casa Sport
0
0
D
17.05.26
Lig
Jaraaf
DSC
3
0
W
13.05.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Pikine
0
0
D
10.05.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Sonacos
0
0
D
02.05.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Génération Foot
0
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Jaraaf
La Linguère
1
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Guédiawaye
2
1
W
29.03.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Teungueth
0
1
L
25.03.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Stade de Mbour
2
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Wally Daan
0
1
L
08.03.26
Lig
Jaraaf
AJEL
0
1
L
01.03.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Ouakam
0
0
D
22.02.26
Lig
Jaraaf
HLM
0
0
D
15.02.26
Lig
Jaraaf
AS Camberene
1
1
D
08.02.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Casa Sport
1
1
D
01.02.26
Lig
Jaraaf
DSC
0
0
D
25.01.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Pikine
0
1
L
11.01.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Sonacos
0
0
D
08.01.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Génération Foot
1
1
D
H2H: Gorée vs Jaraaf
18.04.26
H2H
Gorée
Jaraaf
0
0
D
21.12.25
H2H
Jaraaf
Gorée
2
0
L
21.05.25
H2H
Jaraaf
Gorée
0
1
W
23.12.24
H2H
Gorée
Jaraaf
2
0
W
17.03.24
H2H
Jaraaf
Gorée
2
0
L
19.11.23
H2H
Gorée
Jaraaf
0
1
L
15.04.23
H2H
Gorée
Jaraaf
0
0
D
12.11.22
H2H
Jaraaf
Gorée
0
0
D
30.04.22
H2H
Jaraaf
Gorée
3
0
L
02.01.22
H2H
Gorée
Jaraaf
0
1
L
13.06.21
H2H
Jaraaf
Gorée
2
0
L
03.03.21
H2H
Gorée
Jaraaf
1
0
W
11.01.20
H2H
Gorée
Jaraaf
0
1
L
07.04.19
H2H
Jaraaf
Gorée
1
0
L
02.01.19
H2H
Gorée
Jaraaf
2
2
D
Last matches: Gorée
04.06.26
Lig
Gorée
Stade de Mbour
0
0
D
17.05.26
Lig
Gorée
AJEL
2
1
W
10.05.26
Lig
Gorée
HLM
1
1
D
30.03.26
Lig
Gorée
Sonacos
2
1
W
15.03.26
Lig
Gorée
La Linguère
0
0
D
07.03.26
Lig
Gorée
DSC
1
0
W
22.02.26
Lig
Gorée
Teungueth
0
1
L
07.02.26
Lig
Gorée
Wally Daan
1
1
D
24.01.26
Lig
Gorée
Ouakam
0
0
D
07.01.26
Lig
Gorée
AS Camberene
3
0
W
28.12.25
Lig
Gorée
Casa Sport
1
1
D
14.12.25
Lig
Gorée
Pikine
0
0
D
29.11.25
Lig
Gorée
Génération Foot
2
1
W
08.11.25
Lig
Gorée
Guédiawaye
1
0
W
H2H at home: Gorée
18.04.26
H2H
Gorée
Jaraaf
0
0
D
23.12.24
H2H
Gorée
Jaraaf
2
0
W
19.11.23
H2H
Gorée
Jaraaf
0
1
L
15.04.23
H2H
Gorée
Jaraaf
0
0
D
02.01.22
H2H
Gorée
Jaraaf
0
1
L
03.03.21
H2H
Gorée
Jaraaf
1
0
W
11.01.20
H2H
Gorée
Jaraaf
0
1
L
02.01.19
H2H
Gorée
Jaraaf
2
2
D
Last matches: Jaraaf
04.06.26
Lig
Jaraaf
AS Camberene
2
0
W
13.05.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Pikine
0
0
D
02.05.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Génération Foot
0
2
L
29.03.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Teungueth
0
1
L
25.03.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Stade de Mbour
2
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
Jaraaf
AJEL
0
1
L
22.02.26
Lig
Jaraaf
HLM
0
0
D
08.02.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Casa Sport
1
1
D
01.02.26
Lig
Jaraaf
DSC
0
0
D
11.01.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Sonacos
0
0
D
28.12.25
Lig
Jaraaf
La Linguère
1
0
W
14.12.25
Lig
Jaraaf
Guédiawaye
2
1
W
23.11.25
Lig
Jaraaf
Wally Daan
1
1
D
09.11.25
Lig
Jaraaf
Ouakam
0
1
L
H2H away: Jaraaf
18.04.26
H2H
Gorée
Jaraaf
0
0
D
23.12.24
H2H
Gorée
Jaraaf
2
0
L
19.11.23
H2H
Gorée
Jaraaf
0
1
W
15.04.23
H2H
Gorée
Jaraaf
0
0
D
02.01.22
H2H
Gorée
Jaraaf
0
1
W
03.03.21
H2H
Gorée
Jaraaf
1
0
L
11.01.20
H2H
Gorée
Jaraaf
0
1
W
02.01.19
H2H
Gorée
Jaraaf
2
2
D

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 13 15 2 21:6 15 54
?
2 30 15 9 6 27:19 8 54
?
3 30 13 9 8 37:22 15 48
?
4 30 11 15 4 29:14 15 48
?
5 30 10 14 6 29:24 5 44
?
6 30 8 18 4 23:16 7 42
?
7 30 9 14 7 21:16 5 41
?
8 30 7 19 4 29:20 9 40
?
9 30 7 13 10 20:19 1 34
?
10 30 5 18 7 18:21 -3 33
?
11 30 5 18 7 18:24 -6 33
?
12 30 5 16 9 24:37 -13 31
?
13 30 7 8 15 29:34 -5 28
?
14 30 3 16 11 22:36 -14 25
?
15 30 4 13 13 18:39 -21 25
?
16 30 3 15 12 16:34 -18 24
?
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation