BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Goiatuba EC
Match Timeline
Capital Brasilia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
30'
Mika
Capital Brasilia
83'
Daniel Costa
Goiatuba EC
VAR
86'
Goiatuba EC
Goiatuba EC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Goiatuba EC Win 56.1%
Draw 6.6%
Capital Brasilia Win 37.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Goiatuba EC1.09
Capital Brasilia0.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
Goiatuba EC Goiatuba EC
WWDLW
10 GF / 5 GA
Capital Brasilia Capital Brasilia
WLDWL
8 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
1.14
0.71
Average Goals Conceded
0.57
2
BTTS Yes
3
2
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Goiatuba EC Goiatuba EC 7 matches
Capital Brasilia Capital Brasilia 7 matches
Goiatuba EC Statistic Capital Brasilia
4 Wins 5
2 Draws 1
1 Losses 1
10 Goals For 8
5 Goals Against 4
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
0.71 Avg Goals Conceded 0.57
2 BTTS Yes 3
3 Over 1.5 3
2 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 0
4 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Capital Brasilia. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Capital Brasilia having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Goiatuba EC Analysis

Goiatuba EC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 14 points after 7 matches. They have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, with a 10:5 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Gabriel Silva (3 goals), Thalles (3 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Capital Brasilia Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 16 points from 7 games, Capital Brasilia bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 8:4, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Yann Rolim (2 goals), Cesinha (1 goals), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Goiatuba EC won 1 times, Capital Brasilia won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Goiatuba EC's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.5%)
H2H summary: Goiatuba EC wins 1, draws 1, Capital Brasilia wins 0
Last matches: Goiatuba EC
26.07.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Ferroviario
2
1
W
18.07.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Ferroviario
3
0
W
12.07.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Manauara
2
1
W
04.07.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Manauara
0
1
L
27.06.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Brasiliense
1
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Brasiliense
0
0
D
07.06.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
CEOV Operário
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Ceilândia
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Mixto
0
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
União Rondonópolis
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
União Rondonópolis
5
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Mixto
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Capital Brasilia
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Ceilândia
1
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
CEOV Operário
2
2
D
06.09.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
30.08.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Inter De Limeira
0
0
D
23.08.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Aparecidense
2
0
W
17.08.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Aparecidense
2
3
L
09.08.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Sao Jose
2
1
W
Last matches: Capital Brasilia
12.07.26
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Nacional AM
1
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Nacional AM
0
1
L
27.06.26
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Aparecidense
4
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Aparecidense
1
1
D
07.06.26
Ser
Capital Brasilia
União Rondonópolis
2
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Capital Brasilia
CEOV Operário
5
1
W
16.05.26
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Ceilândia
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Mixto
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Mixto
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Ceilândia
2
1
W
19.04.26
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Goiatuba EC
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Capital Brasilia
CEOV Operário
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Capital Brasilia
União Rondonópolis
1
0
W
26.07.25
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Aparecidense
1
2
L
20.07.25
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Porto Velho
3
0
W
13.07.25
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Ceilândia
2
2
D
05.07.25
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Mixto
0
1
L
28.06.25
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Luverdense
1
2
L
15.06.25
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Goianésia
1
1
D
07.06.25
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Goiânia
1
1
D
H2H: Goiatuba EC vs Capital Brasilia
23.05.26
H2H
Goiatuba EC
Capital Brasilia
1
1
D
19.04.26
H2H
Capital Brasilia
Goiatuba EC
0
1
W
Last matches: Goiatuba EC
18.07.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Ferroviario
3
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Manauara
0
1
L
27.06.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Brasiliense
1
0
W
07.06.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
CEOV Operário
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
União Rondonópolis
5
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Mixto
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Ceilândia
1
0
W
30.08.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Inter De Limeira
0
0
D
17.08.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Aparecidense
2
3
L
02.08.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Sao Jose
1
1
D
19.07.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Cascavel
0
0
D
05.07.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Uberlandia
1
1
D
07.06.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Cianorte
3
1
W
24.05.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Monte Azul
1
1
D
18.05.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Operario Ferroviario
2
0
W
04.05.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Itabirito
0
0
D
20.04.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Inter De Limeira
1
3
L
H2H at home: Goiatuba EC
23.05.26
H2H
Goiatuba EC
Capital Brasilia
1
1
D
Last matches: Capital Brasilia
04.07.26
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Nacional AM
0
1
L
20.06.26
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Aparecidense
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Capital Brasilia
CEOV Operário
5
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Mixto
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Ceilândia
2
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
Capital Brasilia
União Rondonópolis
1
0
W
26.07.25
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Aparecidense
1
2
L
05.07.25
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Mixto
0
1
L
28.06.25
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Luverdense
1
2
L
07.06.25
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Goiânia
1
1
D
25.05.25
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Goianésia
1
0
W
03.05.25
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Ceilândia
0
1
L
26.04.25
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Porto Velho
1
0
W
H2H away: Capital Brasilia
23.05.26
H2H
Goiatuba EC
Capital Brasilia
1
1
D

Standings

Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)