Goias vs São Bernardo Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
50.1%
|
1.88 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.8%
|
2.00 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
52.4%
|
2.28 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.16 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.00 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
Goias
São Bernardo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Goias
24 matches
São Bernardo
24 matches
| Goias | Statistic | São Bernardo |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 8 |
| 6 | Draws | 8 |
| 9 | Losses | 8 |
| 23 | Goals For | 33 |
| 29 | Goals Against | 27 |
| 0.96 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.13 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 3.5 | Shots On Goal | 4.33 |
| 10.92 | Total Shots | 11.96 |
| 4.17 | Corners | 4.58 |
| 50.8% | Ball Possession | 48.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with São Bernardo's more proactive style and Goias's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward São Bernardo. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Goias expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and São Bernardo in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward São Bernardo having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Goias approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 32 points from 23 matches. Their record of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 22:28, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Anselmo Ramon (5 goals), Kadu (5 goals), Gegê (2 goals), with creative support from Esli García (3 assists), Diego Caito (2 assists), Cadu (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
São Bernardo sit 13 with 31 points after 23 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 7 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 32:26 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Pedro Vitor (3 goals), Rodrigo Ferreira (3 goals), Dudu Miraíma (2 goals), with creative support from Romisson (4 assists), Dudu Miraíma (3 assists), Pedro Vitor (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Goias won 0 times, São Bernardo won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:1 from Goias's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 48:25 | 23 | 50 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 30:17 | 13 | 50 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 31:23 | 8 | 48 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 39:30 | 9 | 47 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 47 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 46 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 36:33 | 3 | 43 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 40:39 | 1 | 42 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 27 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 41 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 33:30 | 3 | 40 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 27:22 | 5 | 40 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 32:30 | 2 | 37 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 13 |
Goias
Home
|
27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 25:33 | -8 | 36 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
| 14 |
São Bernardo
Away
|
27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 37:31 | 6 | 35 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
| 15 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:36 | -7 | 32 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 30:32 | -2 | 31 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 28:35 | -7 | 29 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 32:39 | -7 | 25 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 21:46 | -25 | 17 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 27 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 16:56 | -40 | 10 |
L
L
L
L
L
|