BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio da Serrinha
Referee: B. Correia
Goias
Match Timeline
Cuiaba
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
5'
Filipe Machado
Goias
🟨
8'
Eric
Cuiaba
🔄
46'
Filipe Machado ↔ Luquinhas
Goias
🔄
46'
Lucas Ribeiro ↔ Cadu
Goias
🟨
50'
Hernandes
Cuiaba
🔄
61'
Lucas Lima ↔ Brayann
Goias
🔄
62'
Rodrigo Rodrigues ↔ Eliel
Cuiaba
🔄
70'
Gege ↔ Djalma Silva
Goias
🔄
71'
David Miguel ↔ Weverson
Cuiaba
75'
Hernades · Assist: Eliel
Cuiaba
🔄
78'
Nicolas ↔ Bruno Savio
Goias
🔄
78'
Calebe Costa ↔ Luiz Otavio
Cuiaba
🔄
78'
Pepe ↔ Luis Soares
Cuiaba
🔄
78'
Eric Melo ↔ Lorenzo
Cuiaba
82'
Hernades · Assist: Weverson
Cuiaba
🟨
90+6'
Bruno Sávio
Goias

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 81.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 56.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 78%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
81.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
56.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
78%
-
Probability Distribution
Goias Win 81.7%
Draw 0%
Cuiaba Win 18.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Goias1.1
Cuiaba0.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Goias Goias
WWDLW
6 GF / 5 GA
Cuiaba Cuiaba
WLDWL
0 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
0
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
2
BTTS Yes
0
2
Over 2.5
0
2.5
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Goias Goias 4 matches
Cuiaba Cuiaba 4 matches
Goias Statistic Cuiaba
2 Wins 0
1 Draws 3
1 Losses 1
6 Goals For 0
5 Goals Against 2
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 0
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 0.5
2 BTTS Yes 0
3 Over 1.5 1
2 Over 2.5 0
2 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 4
2.5 Shots On Goal 3
9.75 Total Shots 11
4 Corners 0.5
51.3% Ball Possession 47.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Goias's more proactive style and Cuiaba's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Goias arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 7 points compared to Cuiaba in 17 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Goias expected to line up in 4-1-3-2 and Cuiaba in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cuiaba having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Cuiaba. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Goias Analysis

Goias are currently 6 in the standings with 7 points from 4 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 6:5 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Anselmo Ramon (2 goals), Cadu (1 goals), E. Garcia (1 goals), with creative support from Anselmo Ramon (1 assists), Juninho (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Cuiaba Analysis

Cuiaba approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 3 points from 4 matches. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats, and the 0:2 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Goias won 7 times, Cuiaba won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:11 from Goias's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Goias 4-1-3-2 / Cuiaba 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Goias wins 7, draws 2, Cuiaba wins 5
Stats
Goias Goias
Cuiaba Cuiaba
Shots on Goal
0
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
2
4 Corner Kicks 4
15 Fouls 26
2 Offsides 0
66% Ball Possession 34%
8 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Goal 4
4 Shots off Goal 5
4 Blocked Shots 2
2 Shots insidebox 6
6 Shots outsidebox 5
2 Goalkeeper Saves 0
515 Total passes 269
442 Passes accurate 197
0.23 expected_goals 1.44
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Goias
Formation
Cuiaba
Tadeu
Tadeu
Luisao
Luisao
Luiz Felipe
Luiz Felipe
Lucas Ribeiro
Lucas Ribeiro
Nicolas
Nicolas
Filipe Machado
Filipe Machado
Jean Carlos
Jean Carlos
Lourenco
Lourenco
Gege
Gege
Lucas Lima
Lucas Lima
Anselmo Ramon
Anselmo Ramon
Marcelo Carne
Marcelo Carne
Joao Basso
Joao Basso
Raul
Raul
Vitor Mendes
Vitor Mendes
Raylan
Raylan
Calebe Costa
Calebe Costa
Pepe
Pepe
Eric Melo
Eric Melo
David Miguel
David Miguel
Rodrigo Rodrigues
Rodrigo Rodrigues
Hernades
⚽ 2
Hernades
Goias 4-1-3-2
Starting XI
23
Tadeu
G
25
Luisao
D
3
Luiz Felipe
D
14
Lucas Ribeiro
↓ 46'
D
6
Nicolas
↓ 78'
D
5
Filipe Machado
↓ 46' 🟨 5'
M
21
Jean Carlos
97
Lourenco
M
28
Gege
↓ 70'
M
10
Lucas Lima
↓ 61'
F
9
Anselmo Ramon
F
Substitutes
1
Thiago Rodrigues
G
4
Ramon Menezes
D
11
Bruno Savio
↑ 78' 🟨 90+6'
F
54
Djalma Silva
↑ 70'
D
17
Pedrinho
F
88
Brayann
↑ 61'
M
35
Luquinhas
↑ 46'
M
8
Juninho
M
55
Baldoria
M
18
Cadu
↑ 46'
F
40
Kadu
F
16
H. Farias
Cuiaba 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
31
Marcelo Carne
G
13
Joao Basso
D
30
Raul
D
4
Vitor Mendes
D
37
Raylan
M
5
Calebe Costa
↓ 78'
M
8
Pepe
↓ 78'
M
14
Eric Melo
↓ 78' 🟨 8'
M
88
David Miguel
↓ 71'
F
27
Rodrigo Rodrigues
↓ 62'
F
10
Hernades
⚽ 75' ⚽ 82' 🟨 50'
F
Substitutes
1
Joao Carlos
G
97
Luiz Otavio
↑ 78'
53
Weverson
🎯 82' ↑ 71'
M
11
Eliel
🎯 75' ↑ 62'
F
91
Luis Soares
↑ 78'
D
36
Lorenzo
↑ 78'
D
2
Nino Paraiba
D
7
Y. Asad
F
29
Vinicius Peixoto
F
41
Kauan Cristtyan
F
Last matches: Goias
22.07.26
Ser
Goias
Sport Recife
1
1
D
18.07.26
Ser
Goias
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
12.07.26
Ser
Goias
CRB
2
2
D
04.07.26
Ser
Goias
Ceara
2
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Goias
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Goias
Operario-PR
0
3
L
14.06.26
Ser
Goias
Athletic Club
1
1
D
10.06.26
Ser
Goias
Novorizontino
0
4
L
30.05.26
Ser
Goias
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Goias
Avai
2
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Goias
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Goias
Vila Nova
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Goias
Fortaleza EC
1
4
L
26.04.26
Ser
Goias
São Bernardo
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Goias
Juventude
0
2
L
07.04.26
Ser
Goias
Criciuma
1
0
W
01.04.26
Ser
Goias
Londrina
2
2
D
22.03.26
Ser
Goias
America Mineiro
3
1
W
Last matches: Cuiaba
23.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
L
17.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Juventude
0
2
L
12.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
São Bernardo
2
2
D
02.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
America Mineiro
1
0
W
25.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Londrina
2
2
D
21.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Avai
0
1
L
14.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Vila Nova
1
0
W
09.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
CRB
2
0
W
22.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Nautico Recife
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Novorizontino
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Athletic Club
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Criciuma
1
1
D
23.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Operario-PR
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Ceara
0
2
L
31.03.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
21.03.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Sport Recife
0
0
D
H2H: Goias vs Cuiaba
19.04.26
H2H
Goias
Cuiaba
0
2
L
08.11.25
H2H
Cuiaba
Goias
0
1
W
19.07.25
H2H
Goias
Cuiaba
3
1
W
23.05.24
H2H
Cuiaba
Goias
1
0
L
03.05.24
H2H
Goias
Cuiaba
1
0
W
21.10.23
H2H
Cuiaba
Goias
1
1
D
04.06.23
H2H
Goias
Cuiaba
0
1
L
29.03.23
H2H
Goias
Cuiaba
2
0
W
26.03.23
H2H
Cuiaba
Goias
1
0
L
23.10.22
H2H
Cuiaba
Goias
1
2
W
26.06.22
H2H
Goias
Cuiaba
1
0
W
01.08.20
H2H
Goias
Cuiaba
0
2
L
17.03.17
H2H
Cuiaba
Goias
1
1
D
08.03.17
H2H
Goias
Cuiaba
4
0
W
Last matches: Goias
22.07.26
Ser
Goias
Sport Recife
1
1
D
04.07.26
Ser
Goias
Ceara
2
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Goias
Operario-PR
0
3
L
10.06.26
Ser
Goias
Novorizontino
0
4
L
16.05.26
Ser
Goias
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Goias
Vila Nova
1
0
W
07.04.26
Ser
Goias
Criciuma
1
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Goias
America Mineiro
3
1
W
H2H at home: Goias
19.04.26
H2H
Goias
Cuiaba
0
2
L
19.07.25
H2H
Goias
Cuiaba
3
1
W
03.05.24
H2H
Goias
Cuiaba
1
0
W
04.06.23
H2H
Goias
Cuiaba
0
1
L
29.03.23
H2H
Goias
Cuiaba
2
0
W
26.06.22
H2H
Goias
Cuiaba
1
0
W
01.08.20
H2H
Goias
Cuiaba
0
2
L
08.03.17
H2H
Goias
Cuiaba
4
0
W
Last matches: Cuiaba
17.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Juventude
0
2
L
12.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
São Bernardo
2
2
D
21.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Avai
0
1
L
09.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
22.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Nautico Recife
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Athletic Club
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Operario-PR
0
0
D
31.03.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
H2H away: Cuiaba
19.04.26
H2H
Goias
Cuiaba
0
2
W
19.07.25
H2H
Goias
Cuiaba
3
1
L
03.05.24
H2H
Goias
Cuiaba
1
0
L
04.06.23
H2H
Goias
Cuiaba
0
1
W
29.03.23
H2H
Goias
Cuiaba
2
0
L
26.06.22
H2H
Goias
Cuiaba
1
0
L
01.08.20
H2H
Goias
Cuiaba
0
2
W
08.03.17
H2H
Goias
Cuiaba
4
0
L

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 11 6 2 23:12 11 39
W W W W W
2 19 10 5 4 27:22 5 35
W D W W W
3 19 10 4 5 27:22 5 34
W L L W L
4 19 9 5 5 21:12 9 32
L W W D W
5 19 9 4 6 22:19 3 31
L W L W W
6 19 8 6 5 28:18 10 30
L L L W W
7
Goias Home
19 8 5 6 21:25 -4 29
D W D W W
8 19 7 7 5 20:19 1 28
W D W L W
9 19 6 10 3 24:18 6 28
D D D L L
10 19 7 6 6 25:19 6 27
L D D L L
11 19 6 9 4 18:17 1 27
W D D L W
12 19 7 5 7 29:32 -3 26
W W D L W
13 19 7 3 9 24:24 0 24
W L L D L
14 19 6 6 7 24:20 4 24
W D D W L
15 19 5 9 5 14:14 0 24
L L D W D
16 19 5 5 9 26:27 -1 20
L D D W D
17 19 5 5 9 21:26 -5 20
W D W L L
18 19 4 7 8 16:22 -6 19
L D D L L
19 19 2 2 15 14:38 -24 8
L L L L L
20 19 1 5 13 13:31 -18 8
L D D L L
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation