BRAZIL SERIE B
16.05.2026 21:30
Estádio da Serrinha
Referee: D. Serafim
Goias
Match Timeline
Botafogo SP
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
28'
Jordan
Botafogo SP
🟨
45'
Patrick Brey
Botafogo SP
🔄
46'
Gege ↔ E. Garcia
Goias
🔄
46'
Jean Carlos ↔ Kadu
Goias
🔄
46'
Luizao ↔ Guilherme Queiroz
Botafogo SP
🟨
51'
Kadu
Goias
🔄
69'
Luquinhas ↔ Brayann
Goias
🟨
70'
Vilar
Botafogo SP
🔄
70'
Rafael Gava ↔ Thiago Moraes
Botafogo SP
73'
Kadu · Assist: E. Garcia
Goias
🔄
75'
Diego Caito ↔ Rodrigo Soares
Goias
🔄
77'
Kelvin ↔ Marcio Maranhao
Botafogo SP
🔄
77'
Marco Antonio ↔ Ze Hugo
Botafogo SP
🔄
83'
Everton Morelli ↔ Jefferson Nem
Botafogo SP
🟨
85'
Esli García
Goias
🔄
85'
Nicolas ↔ Djalma Silva
Goias
🟨
90+3'
Djalma
Goias
🟨
90'
Filipe Machado
Goias

Goias vs Botafogo SP Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 69%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
69%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
75.4%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Goias Win 71.9%
Draw 0%
Botafogo SP Win 28.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Goias1
Botafogo SP1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Goias Goias
WWDLW
8 GF / 12 GA
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP
WLDWL
10 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1
3
BTTS Yes
5
3
Over 2.5
3
2.13
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Goias Goias 8 matches
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 8 matches
Goias Statistic Botafogo SP
3 Wins 2
1 Draws 3
4 Losses 3
8 Goals For 10
12 Goals Against 8
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1
3 BTTS Yes 5
5 Over 1.5 6
3 Over 2.5 3
3 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 2
2.13 Shots On Goal 3
8.63 Total Shots 9.63
3.38 Corners 5.63
45.5% Ball Possession 41.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Botafogo SP's more proactive style and Goias's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Botafogo SP. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Goias expected to line up in 4-1-3-2 and Botafogo SP in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Botafogo SP having the stronger overall control. Goias have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Goias Analysis

Goias sit 11 with 10 points after 8 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 8:12, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Anselmo Ramon (3 goals), Gege (2 goals), Cadu (1 goals), with creative support from Anselmo Ramon (1 assists), Diego Caito (1 assists), Juninho (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Botafogo SP Analysis

With 9 points from 8 games and a place of 15, Botafogo SP still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 10:8, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Everton Morelli (5 goals), Hygor (2 goals), Luizão (1 goals), with creative support from Patrick Brey (3 assists), Rafael Gava (2 assists), Everton Morelli (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Goias won 3 times, Botafogo SP won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:4 from Goias's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Goias 4-1-3-2 / Botafogo SP 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Goias wins 3, draws 0, Botafogo SP wins 2

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 13 7 5 26:13 13 46
D W W D W
2 25 13 5 7 37:25 12 44
W D W W L
3 25 12 8 5 26:19 7 44
L L D W L
4 25 12 7 6 41:22 19 43
W W W D L
5 25 11 8 6 28:22 6 41
D W D D D
6 25 11 6 8 37:35 2 39
W L W D W
7 25 10 9 6 28:23 5 39
W W D L D
8 25 9 11 5 33:24 9 38
L W L W W
9 25 10 7 8 31:32 -1 37
D D L L L
10
Goias Home
25 10 6 9 25:30 -5 36
W D L L W
11 25 8 12 5 23:19 4 36
W D W W D
12 25 9 7 9 30:28 2 34
W D W D D
13 25 8 10 7 26:27 -1 34
L L L W W
14 25 8 8 9 34:29 5 32
L D D L W
15 25 8 7 10 29:28 1 31
L L D W W
16 25 8 5 12 27:31 -4 29
L W W W L
17 25 7 7 11 25:32 -7 28
L W L L W
18 25 5 7 13 29:36 -7 22
D L D L L
19 25 3 5 17 18:42 -24 14
W L L L L
20 25 2 4 19 16:52 -36 10
L L L D L
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation