BRAZIL SERIE B
20.09.2026 19:00
Estádio da Serrinha
Referee: Marianna Nanni Batalha

Goias vs Avai Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 66.9%
Odds 1.18
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 2.20
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds 1.56
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
66.9%
1.18
BTTS Yes
62.8%
2.20
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
1.56
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
83.8%
1.17
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
4.50
Correct Score 1-1
-
6.50
Probability Distribution
Goias Win 45.5%
Draw 21.4%
Avai Win 33.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Goias1.12
Avai1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Goias Goias
WWDLW
28 GF / 34 GA
Avai Avai
WLDWL
29 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.04
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
11
BTTS Yes
14
9
Over 2.5
12
3.57
Shots on Goal
3.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Goias Goias 28 matches
Avai Avai 28 matches
Goias Statistic Avai
11 Wins 8
6 Draws 6
11 Losses 14
28 Goals For 29
34 Goals Against 36
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.04
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
11 BTTS Yes 14
18 Over 1.5 19
9 Over 2.5 12
6 Over 3.5 5
7 Clean Sheets 7
10 Failed To Score 9
3.57 Shots On Goal 3.25
11.18 Total Shots 11.29
4.39 Corners 3.71
51.1% Ball Possession 46.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Avai.

Goias Analysis

Goias approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 36 points from 27 matches. Their record of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 25:33, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Kadu (6 goals), Anselmo Ramon (5 goals), Gegê (2 goals), with creative support from Esli García (3 assists), Diego Caito (2 assists), Djalma Silva (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Avai Analysis

With 29 points from 27 games and a place of 17, Avai still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 14 defeats with a 28:35 goal balance points toward mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Daniel Penha (3 goals), Walace dos Santos França (3 goals), Jean Lucas (2 goals), with creative support from Jean Lucas (4 assists), Thayllon Roberth (2 assists), Daniel Penha (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Goias won 7 times, Avai won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:16 from Goias's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.6%)
Predicted formations: Goias 4-2-3-1 / Avai 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Goias wins 7, draws 3, Avai wins 5

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 15 6 8 41:31 10 51
W D W L W
2 29 14 8 7 49:27 22 50
L D W W W
3 29 14 8 7 31:19 12 50
L L W D D
4 28 13 9 6 31:23 8 48
D W W D W
5 28 13 8 7 28:25 3 47
L L W L L
6 29 12 10 7 36:27 9 46
L W W D W
7 28 13 6 9 42:40 2 45
W L W W L
8 28 12 8 8 39:36 3 44
D W W D D
9 29 11 11 7 39:29 10 44
W L W L L
10 29 11 8 10 40:31 9 41
W W L W L
11 29 10 11 8 34:31 3 41
D W L W L
12 28 9 13 6 27:22 5 40
D W L W D
13
Goias Home
28 11 6 11 28:34 -6 39
W L L W D
14 28 10 8 10 35:33 2 38
D L W W D
15 29 9 8 12 31:37 -6 35
W D L W L
16 29 8 8 13 32:36 -4 32
D L L L L
17
Avai Away
28 8 6 14 29:36 -7 30
D L L L W
18 28 7 7 14 38:39 -1 28
W W L D L
19 29 4 5 20 21:49 -28 17
L L W L W
20 28 2 4 22 16:62 -46 10
L L L L L
Promotion
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