Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
70.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
63.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
80.6%
|
- |
GO Ahead Eagles
AZ Alkmaar
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
GO Ahead Eagles
38 matches
AZ Alkmaar
48 matches
| GO Ahead Eagles | Statistic | AZ Alkmaar |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 25 |
| 13 | Draws | 8 |
| 15 | Losses | 15 |
| 56 | Goals For | 89 |
| 59 | Goals Against | 64 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.85 |
| 1.55 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
| 21 | BTTS Yes | 24 |
| 32 | Over 1.5 | 39 |
| 23 | Over 2.5 | 32 |
| 16 | Over 3.5 | 21 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 18 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.84 | Shots On Goal | 6.06 |
| 11.08 | Total Shots | 15.65 |
| 5.03 | Corners | 5.75 |
| 49.5% | Ball Possession | 53.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. GO Ahead Eagles appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward AZ Alkmaar. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward AZ Alkmaar. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with GO Ahead Eagles expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and AZ Alkmaar in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward AZ Alkmaar having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.
From their first 30 matches, GO Ahead Eagles have collected 36 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 12 draws, and 10 losses, while the 50:45 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Suray (11 goals), J. Breum (6 goals), M. Meulensteen (6 goals), with creative support from J. Breum (5 assists), Victor Kaj Edvardsen (5 assists), Mats Deijl (5 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with G. Nauber, P. Saathof, R. Weijenberg unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
So far, AZ Alkmaar have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 48 points from 30 matches. Their overall return of 14 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 52:45 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by T. Parrott (16 goals), S. Mijnans (10 goals), S. Resink (6 goals), with creative support from Mees de Wit (6 assists), S. Mijnans (5 assists), S. Resink (5 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with J. Clasie, J. Hornkamp unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, GO Ahead Eagles won 0 times, AZ Alkmaar won 10 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:40 from GO Ahead Eagles's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.
GO Ahead Eagles
4
4
4
12
7
7
Lineups
GO Ahead Eagles
Lommel United
GO Ahead Eagles
Apollon Limassol
GO Ahead Eagles
Almere City FC
GO Ahead Eagles
FC OSS
GO Ahead Eagles
NEC Nijmegen
GO Ahead Eagles
PSV Eindhoven
GO Ahead Eagles
Sparta Rotterdam
GO Ahead Eagles
Groningen
GO Ahead Eagles
PEC Zwolle
GO Ahead Eagles
Utrecht
GO Ahead Eagles
NAC Breda
GO Ahead Eagles
Twente
GO Ahead Eagles
Excelsior
GO Ahead Eagles
Heracles
GO Ahead Eagles
Feyenoord
GO Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
GO Ahead Eagles
Telstar
GO Ahead Eagles
FC Volendam
GO Ahead Eagles
SC Braga
GO Ahead Eagles
Nice
AZ Alkmaar
Genk
AZ Alkmaar
Zulte Waregem
AZ Alkmaar
Anderlecht
AZ Alkmaar
Almere City FC
AZ Alkmaar
Gent
AZ Alkmaar
NAC Breda
AZ Alkmaar
Feyenoord
AZ Alkmaar
Twente
AZ Alkmaar
Shakhtar Donetsk
AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar
Shakhtar Donetsk
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
AZ Alkmaar
Groningen
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Praha
AZ Alkmaar
Heracles
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Praha
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar
FC Noah
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Rotterdam
GO Ahead Eagles
Apollon Limassol
GO Ahead Eagles
Almere City FC
GO Ahead Eagles
FC OSS
GO Ahead Eagles
PSV Eindhoven
GO Ahead Eagles
PEC Zwolle
GO Ahead Eagles
NAC Breda
GO Ahead Eagles
Twente
GO Ahead Eagles
Heracles
GO Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
GO Ahead Eagles
Telstar
GO Ahead Eagles
SC Braga
GO Ahead Eagles
Fortuna Sittard
GO Ahead Eagles
Groningen
GO Ahead Eagles
Utrecht
GO Ahead Eagles
VfB Stuttgart
GO Ahead Eagles
Feyenoord
GO Ahead Eagles
Excelsior
GO Ahead Eagles
Aston Villa
GO Ahead Eagles
NEC Nijmegen
GO Ahead Eagles
FCSB
AZ Alkmaar
Zulte Waregem
AZ Alkmaar
Feyenoord
AZ Alkmaar
Shakhtar Donetsk
AZ Alkmaar
Groningen
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Praha
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar
FC Noah
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Telstar
AZ Alkmaar
PEC Zwolle
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
AZ Alkmaar
Drita
AZ Alkmaar
Twente
AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar
Crystal Palace
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Rotterdam
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
AEK Larnaca
AZ Alkmaar
NEC Nijmegen
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 101:45 | 56 | 84 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70:44 | 26 | 65 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 77:53 | 24 | 59 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 59:40 | 19 | 58 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 62:41 | 21 | 56 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 55:42 | 13 | 53 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 |
AZ Alkmaar
Away
|
34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 58:51 | 7 | 52 |
D
D
D
D
W
|
| 8 | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57:53 | 4 | 51 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49:45 | 4 | 48 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 40:62 | -22 | 43 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 49:63 | -14 | 39 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 12 |
GO Ahead Eagles
Home
|
34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 54:53 | 1 | 38 |
L
L
D
D
D
|
| 13 | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43:56 | -13 | 38 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 49:55 | -6 | 37 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 44:71 | -27 | 37 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35:55 | -20 | 32 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35:58 | -23 | 29 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:85 | -50 | 19 |
L
L
L
L
L
|