NETHERLANDS EREDIVISIE
23.04.2026 16:45
De Adelaarshorst
Referee: J. Manschot
GO Ahead Eagles
Match Timeline
AZ Alkmaar
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
15'
Melle Meulensteen
GO Ahead Eagles
🔄
63'
M. Chavez Garcia ↔ D. Kasius
AZ Alkmaar
🔄
63'
M. Sin ↔ K. Smit
AZ Alkmaar
🔄
64'
S. Tengstedt ↔ T. Baeten
GO Ahead Eagles
🔄
64'
S. I. Sigurdarson ↔ F. Stokkers
GO Ahead Eagles
🟨
66'
Julius Dirksen
GO Ahead Eagles
🔄
74'
A. Sampsted ↔ D. James
GO Ahead Eagles
🔄
74'
Weslley Patati ↔ R. Daal
AZ Alkmaar
🔄
74'
M. Meerdink ↔ B. Kovacs
AZ Alkmaar
🟨
80'
Denso Kasius
AZ Alkmaar
🔄
86'
R. Ichihara ↔ W. Goes
AZ Alkmaar
🔄
89'
V. Edvardsen ↔ K. Goudmijn
GO Ahead Eagles
🔄
89'
J. Breum ↔ O. Sivertsen
GO Ahead Eagles

GO Ahead Eagles vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 80.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
63.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
80.6%
-
Probability Distribution
GO Ahead Eagles Win 70.4%
Draw 0%
AZ Alkmaar Win 29.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
GO Ahead Eagles1.41
AZ Alkmaar1.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles
WWDLW
56 GF / 59 GA
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
WLDWL
89 GF / 64 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
1.85
1.55
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
21
BTTS Yes
24
23
Over 2.5
32
4.84
Shots on Goal
6.06

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 38 matches
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 48 matches
GO Ahead Eagles Statistic AZ Alkmaar
10 Wins 25
13 Draws 8
15 Losses 15
56 Goals For 89
59 Goals Against 64
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 1.85
1.55 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
21 BTTS Yes 24
32 Over 1.5 39
23 Over 2.5 32
16 Over 3.5 21
9 Clean Sheets 18
10 Failed To Score 7
4.84 Shots On Goal 6.06
11.08 Total Shots 15.65
5.03 Corners 5.75
49.5% Ball Possession 53.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. GO Ahead Eagles appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward AZ Alkmaar. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward AZ Alkmaar. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with GO Ahead Eagles expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and AZ Alkmaar in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward AZ Alkmaar having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

GO Ahead Eagles Analysis

From their first 30 matches, GO Ahead Eagles have collected 36 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 12 draws, and 10 losses, while the 50:45 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Suray (11 goals), J. Breum (6 goals), M. Meulensteen (6 goals), with creative support from J. Breum (5 assists), Victor Kaj Edvardsen (5 assists), Mats Deijl (5 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with G. Nauber, P. Saathof, R. Weijenberg unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

AZ Alkmaar Analysis

So far, AZ Alkmaar have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 48 points from 30 matches. Their overall return of 14 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 52:45 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by T. Parrott (16 goals), S. Mijnans (10 goals), S. Resink (6 goals), with creative support from Mees de Wit (6 assists), S. Mijnans (5 assists), S. Resink (5 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with J. Clasie, J. Hornkamp unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, GO Ahead Eagles won 0 times, AZ Alkmaar won 10 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:40 from GO Ahead Eagles's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: GO Ahead Eagles 4-2-3-1 / AZ Alkmaar 3-4-3
Missing players: GO Ahead Eagles 3, AZ Alkmaar 1
H2H summary: GO Ahead Eagles wins 0, draws 5, AZ Alkmaar wins 10

Standings

Eredivisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 27 3 4 101:45 56 84
W W D W W
2 34 19 8 7 70:44 26 65
W D W W D
3 34 16 11 7 77:53 24 59
W L D D D
4 34 15 13 6 59:40 19 58
L W D D W
5 34 14 14 6 62:41 21 56
D L D W W
6 34 15 8 11 55:42 13 53
W W W L W
7 34 14 10 10 58:51 7 52
D D D D W
8 34 14 9 11 57:53 4 51
D L W W L
9 34 14 6 14 49:45 4 48
W W L L D
10 34 12 7 15 40:62 -22 43
L L D L L
11 34 11 6 17 49:63 -14 39
L W L L D
12 34 8 14 12 54:53 1 38
L L D D D
13 34 10 8 16 43:56 -13 38
W D W W D
14 34 9 10 15 49:55 -6 37
W W D W L
15 34 9 10 15 44:71 -27 37
L L W L D
16 34 8 8 18 35:55 -20 32
L D L W L
17 34 6 11 17 35:58 -23 29
D W L L D
18 34 5 4 25 35:85 -50 19
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Eerste Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie