NETHERLANDS EREDIVISIE
--.--.---- --:--
De Adelaarshorst
Referee: J. Manschot
GO Ahead Eagles
Match Timeline
AZ Alkmaar
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
15'
Melle Meulensteen
GO Ahead Eagles
🔄
63'
M. Chavez Garcia ↔ D. Kasius
AZ Alkmaar
🔄
63'
M. Sin ↔ K. Smit
AZ Alkmaar
🔄
64'
S. Tengstedt ↔ T. Baeten
GO Ahead Eagles
🔄
64'
S. I. Sigurdarson ↔ F. Stokkers
GO Ahead Eagles
🟨
66'
Julius Dirksen
GO Ahead Eagles
🔄
74'
A. Sampsted ↔ D. James
GO Ahead Eagles
🔄
74'
Weslley Patati ↔ R. Daal
AZ Alkmaar
🔄
74'
M. Meerdink ↔ B. Kovacs
AZ Alkmaar
🟨
80'
Denso Kasius
AZ Alkmaar
🔄
86'
R. Ichihara ↔ W. Goes
AZ Alkmaar
🔄
89'
V. Edvardsen ↔ K. Goudmijn
GO Ahead Eagles
🔄
89'
J. Breum ↔ O. Sivertsen
GO Ahead Eagles

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 80.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
63.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
80.6%
-
Probability Distribution
GO Ahead Eagles Win 70.4%
Draw 0%
AZ Alkmaar Win 29.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
GO Ahead Eagles1.41
AZ Alkmaar1.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles
WWDLW
56 GF / 59 GA
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
WLDWL
89 GF / 64 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
1.85
1.55
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
21
BTTS Yes
24
23
Over 2.5
32
4.84
Shots on Goal
6.06

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 38 matches
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 48 matches
GO Ahead Eagles Statistic AZ Alkmaar
10 Wins 25
13 Draws 8
15 Losses 15
56 Goals For 89
59 Goals Against 64
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 1.85
1.55 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
21 BTTS Yes 24
32 Over 1.5 39
23 Over 2.5 32
16 Over 3.5 21
9 Clean Sheets 18
10 Failed To Score 7
4.84 Shots On Goal 6.06
11.08 Total Shots 15.65
5.03 Corners 5.75
49.5% Ball Possession 53.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. GO Ahead Eagles appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward AZ Alkmaar. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward AZ Alkmaar. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with GO Ahead Eagles expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and AZ Alkmaar in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward AZ Alkmaar having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

GO Ahead Eagles Analysis

From their first 30 matches, GO Ahead Eagles have collected 36 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 12 draws, and 10 losses, while the 50:45 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Suray (11 goals), J. Breum (6 goals), M. Meulensteen (6 goals), with creative support from J. Breum (5 assists), Victor Kaj Edvardsen (5 assists), Mats Deijl (5 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with G. Nauber, P. Saathof, R. Weijenberg unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

AZ Alkmaar Analysis

So far, AZ Alkmaar have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 48 points from 30 matches. Their overall return of 14 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 52:45 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by T. Parrott (16 goals), S. Mijnans (10 goals), S. Resink (6 goals), with creative support from Mees de Wit (6 assists), S. Mijnans (5 assists), S. Resink (5 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with J. Clasie, J. Hornkamp unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, GO Ahead Eagles won 0 times, AZ Alkmaar won 10 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:40 from GO Ahead Eagles's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: GO Ahead Eagles 4-2-3-1 / AZ Alkmaar 3-4-3
Missing players: GO Ahead Eagles 3, AZ Alkmaar 1
H2H summary: GO Ahead Eagles wins 0, draws 5, AZ Alkmaar wins 10
Stats
GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
12
Blocked Shots
7
Blocked Shots
7
5 Corner Kicks 10
9 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 1
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Goal 4
4 Shots off Goal 12
7 Blocked Shots 7
8 Shots insidebox 13
7 Shots outsidebox 10
4 Goalkeeper Saves 4
369 Total passes 364
293 Passes accurate 286
1.33 expected_goals 1.42
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

GO Ahead Eagles
Formation
AZ Alkmaar
J. De Busser
J. De Busser
A. Sampsted
A. Sampsted
J. Dirksen
J. Dirksen
J. Kramer
J. Kramer
A. Adelgaard
A. Adelgaard
M. Meulensteen
M. Meulensteen
J. Breum
J. Breum
S. Tengstedt
S. Tengstedt
V. Edvardsen
V. Edvardsen
M. Suray
M. Suray
S. I. Sigurdarson
S. I. Sigurdarson
R. Owusu-Oduro
R. Owusu-Oduro
R. Ichihara
R. Ichihara
Penetra
Penetra
B. van Duijl
B. van Duijl
E. Dijkstra
E. Dijkstra
M. Sin
M. Sin
S. Mijnans
S. Mijnans
M. Chavez Garcia
M. Chavez Garcia
Weslley Patati
Weslley Patati
M. Meerdink
M. Meerdink
I. Jensen
I. Jensen
GO Ahead Eagles 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
22
J. De Busser
G
2
A. Sampsted
↓ 74'
D
26
J. Dirksen
🟨 66'
D
4
J. Kramer
D
29
A. Adelgaard
D
21
M. Meulensteen
🟨 15'
M
7
J. Breum
↓ 89'
M
10
S. Tengstedt
↓ 64'
M
16
V. Edvardsen
↓ 89'
M
17
M. Suray
M
9
S. I. Sigurdarson
↓ 64'
F
Substitutes
1
L. Plogmann
G
18
R. Margaret
F
23
T. Baeten
↑ 64'
F
25
G. van Zwam
D
20
E. Waayers
D
34
Y. Salah Rahmouni
M
27
F. Stokkers
↑ 64'
F
24
K. Goudmijn
↑ 89'
M
8
E. Linthorst
M
5
D. James
↑ 74'
D
11
O. Sivertsen
↑ 89'
F
19
J. Slory
F
AZ Alkmaar 3-4-3
Starting XI
1
R. Owusu-Oduro
G
18
R. Ichihara
↓ 86'
D
5
Penetra
D
23
B. van Duijl
D
22
E. Dijkstra
M
33
M. Sin
↓ 63'
M
10
S. Mijnans
M
15
M. Chavez Garcia
↓ 63'
M
7
Weslley Patati
↓ 74'
F
35
M. Meerdink
↓ 74'
F
17
I. Jensen
F
Substitutes
12
H. Verhulst
G
31
D. Deen
30
D. Kasius
↑ 63' 🟨 80'
D
2
S. Maikuma
D
4
M. Dekker
D
27
R. Daal
↑ 74'
F
3
W. Goes
↑ 86'
D
26
K. Smit
↑ 63'
M
24
A. Oufkir
F
11
I. Sadiq
F
45
B. Kovacs
↑ 74'
F
20
K. Boogaard
M
Last matches: GO Ahead Eagles
18.07.26
Fri
GO Ahead Eagles
Lommel United
1
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
GO Ahead Eagles
Apollon Limassol
0
3
L
08.07.26
Fri
GO Ahead Eagles
Almere City FC
2
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
GO Ahead Eagles
FC OSS
4
1
W
17.05.26
Ere
GO Ahead Eagles
NEC Nijmegen
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ere
GO Ahead Eagles
PSV Eindhoven
1
4
L
03.05.26
Ere
GO Ahead Eagles
Sparta Rotterdam
2
2
D
11.04.26
Ere
GO Ahead Eagles
Groningen
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ere
GO Ahead Eagles
PEC Zwolle
5
0
W
22.03.26
Ere
GO Ahead Eagles
Utrecht
0
2
L
15.03.26
Ere
GO Ahead Eagles
NAC Breda
6
0
W
08.03.26
Ere
GO Ahead Eagles
Twente
1
4
L
01.03.26
Ere
GO Ahead Eagles
Excelsior
1
0
W
22.02.26
Ere
GO Ahead Eagles
Heracles
4
0
W
15.02.26
Ere
GO Ahead Eagles
Feyenoord
0
1
L
11.02.26
Ere
GO Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
1
3
L
08.02.26
Ere
GO Ahead Eagles
Telstar
1
1
D
01.02.26
Ere
GO Ahead Eagles
FC Volendam
1
1
D
29.01.26
UEF
GO Ahead Eagles
SC Braga
0
0
D
22.01.26
UEF
GO Ahead Eagles
Nice
1
3
L
Last matches: AZ Alkmaar
22.07.26
Fri
AZ Alkmaar
Genk
4
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
AZ Alkmaar
Zulte Waregem
1
1
D
15.07.26
Fri
AZ Alkmaar
Anderlecht
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
AZ Alkmaar
Almere City FC
2
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
AZ Alkmaar
Gent
3
3
D
17.05.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
NAC Breda
3
3
D
10.05.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Feyenoord
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Twente
2
2
D
16.04.26
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
2
D
12.04.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen
3
0
W
09.04.26
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
3
L
04.04.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
2
0
W
22.03.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Groningen
0
3
L
19.03.26
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Praha
4
0
W
15.03.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Heracles
4
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Praha
2
1
W
07.03.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
1
2
L
01.03.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Utrecht
0
2
L
26.02.26
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
FC Noah
4
0
W
22.02.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Rotterdam
3
1
W
H2H: GO Ahead Eagles vs AZ Alkmaar
23.04.26
H2H
GO Ahead Eagles
AZ Alkmaar
0
0
D
07.12.25
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
GO Ahead Eagles
2
2
D
04.05.25
H2H
GO Ahead Eagles
AZ Alkmaar
0
3
L
21.04.25
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
GO Ahead Eagles
1
1
D
27.10.24
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
GO Ahead Eagles
2
2
D
12.05.24
H2H
GO Ahead Eagles
AZ Alkmaar
0
3
L
13.08.23
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
GO Ahead Eagles
5
1
L
25.01.23
H2H
GO Ahead Eagles
AZ Alkmaar
1
4
L
07.08.22
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
GO Ahead Eagles
2
0
L
13.02.22
H2H
GO Ahead Eagles
AZ Alkmaar
1
4
L
26.09.21
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
GO Ahead Eagles
5
0
L
13.01.17
H2H
GO Ahead Eagles
AZ Alkmaar
1
3
L
24.09.16
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
GO Ahead Eagles
2
2
D
21.02.15
H2H
GO Ahead Eagles
AZ Alkmaar
0
2
L
06.12.14
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
GO Ahead Eagles
2
0
L
Last matches: GO Ahead Eagles
11.07.26
Fri
GO Ahead Eagles
Apollon Limassol
0
3
L
08.07.26
Fri
GO Ahead Eagles
Almere City FC
2
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
GO Ahead Eagles
FC OSS
4
1
W
10.05.26
Ere
GO Ahead Eagles
PSV Eindhoven
1
4
L
05.04.26
Ere
GO Ahead Eagles
PEC Zwolle
5
0
W
15.03.26
Ere
GO Ahead Eagles
NAC Breda
6
0
W
08.03.26
Ere
GO Ahead Eagles
Twente
1
4
L
22.02.26
Ere
GO Ahead Eagles
Heracles
4
0
W
11.02.26
Ere
GO Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
1
3
L
08.02.26
Ere
GO Ahead Eagles
Telstar
1
1
D
29.01.26
UEF
GO Ahead Eagles
SC Braga
0
0
D
11.01.26
Ere
GO Ahead Eagles
Fortuna Sittard
2
2
D
21.12.25
Ere
GO Ahead Eagles
Groningen
1
1
D
30.11.25
Ere
GO Ahead Eagles
Utrecht
2
2
D
27.11.25
UEF
GO Ahead Eagles
VfB Stuttgart
0
4
L
09.11.25
Ere
GO Ahead Eagles
Feyenoord
2
1
W
26.10.25
Ere
GO Ahead Eagles
Excelsior
2
0
W
23.10.25
UEF
GO Ahead Eagles
Aston Villa
2
1
W
05.10.25
Ere
GO Ahead Eagles
NEC Nijmegen
1
1
D
25.09.25
UEF
GO Ahead Eagles
FCSB
0
1
L
H2H at home: GO Ahead Eagles
23.04.26
H2H
GO Ahead Eagles
AZ Alkmaar
0
0
D
04.05.25
H2H
GO Ahead Eagles
AZ Alkmaar
0
3
L
12.05.24
H2H
GO Ahead Eagles
AZ Alkmaar
0
3
L
25.01.23
H2H
GO Ahead Eagles
AZ Alkmaar
1
4
L
13.02.22
H2H
GO Ahead Eagles
AZ Alkmaar
1
4
L
13.01.17
H2H
GO Ahead Eagles
AZ Alkmaar
1
3
L
21.02.15
H2H
GO Ahead Eagles
AZ Alkmaar
0
2
L
Last matches: AZ Alkmaar
18.07.26
Fri
AZ Alkmaar
Zulte Waregem
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Feyenoord
1
1
D
09.04.26
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
3
L
22.03.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Groningen
0
3
L
19.03.26
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Praha
4
0
W
07.03.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
1
2
L
01.03.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Utrecht
0
2
L
19.02.26
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
FC Noah
0
1
L
14.02.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
2
1
W
25.01.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Telstar
1
0
W
17.01.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
PEC Zwolle
1
3
L
21.12.25
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
3
4
L
11.12.25
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
Drita
3
0
W
30.11.25
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Twente
0
1
L
23.11.25
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen
1
3
L
06.11.25
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
Crystal Palace
1
3
L
02.11.25
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Rotterdam
1
0
W
18.10.25
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
2
0
W
02.10.25
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
AEK Larnaca
0
4
L
28.09.25
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
NEC Nijmegen
1
2
L
H2H away: AZ Alkmaar
23.04.26
H2H
GO Ahead Eagles
AZ Alkmaar
0
0
D
04.05.25
H2H
GO Ahead Eagles
AZ Alkmaar
0
3
W
12.05.24
H2H
GO Ahead Eagles
AZ Alkmaar
0
3
W
25.01.23
H2H
GO Ahead Eagles
AZ Alkmaar
1
4
W
13.02.22
H2H
GO Ahead Eagles
AZ Alkmaar
1
4
W
13.01.17
H2H
GO Ahead Eagles
AZ Alkmaar
1
3
W
21.02.15
H2H
GO Ahead Eagles
AZ Alkmaar
0
2
W

Standings

Eredivisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 27 3 4 101:45 56 84
W W D W W
2 34 19 8 7 70:44 26 65
W D W W D
3 34 16 11 7 77:53 24 59
W L D D D
4 34 15 13 6 59:40 19 58
L W D D W
5 34 14 14 6 62:41 21 56
D L D W W
6 34 15 8 11 55:42 13 53
W W W L W
7 34 14 10 10 58:51 7 52
D D D D W
8 34 14 9 11 57:53 4 51
D L W W L
9 34 14 6 14 49:45 4 48
W W L L D
10 34 12 7 15 40:62 -22 43
L L D L L
11 34 11 6 17 49:63 -14 39
L W L L D
12 34 8 14 12 54:53 1 38
L L D D D
13 34 10 8 16 43:56 -13 38
W D W W D
14 34 9 10 15 49:55 -6 37
W W D W L
15 34 9 10 15 44:71 -27 37
L L W L D
16 34 8 8 18 35:55 -20 32
L D L W L
17 34 6 11 17 35:58 -23 29
D W L L D
18 34 5 4 25 35:85 -50 19
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Eerste Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie

Missing Players

GO Ahead Eagles 3 missing
-
G. Nauber
Missing Fixture Broken Leg
OUT
-
P. Saathof
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
R. Weijenberg
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
AZ Alkmaar 1 missing
-
J. Hornkamp
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT