SPAIN › LA LIGA
23.05.2026 19:00
Estadio Municipal de Montilivi
Referee: A. Hernandez
Girona
Match Timeline
Elche
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
7'
Buba Sangare
Elche
⚽
39'
A. Rodriguez · Assist: P. Bigas
Elche
🟨
45+2'
Bryan Gil
Girona
🔄
46'
Buba Sangare ↔ J. Donald
Elche
🟨
47'
David Affengruber
Elche
⚽
48'
A. Martinez
Girona
🔄
58'
B. Gil ↔ C. Stuani
Girona
🔄
58'
A. Witsel ↔ F. Beltran
Girona
🔄
58'
A. Martinez ↔ H. Rincon
Girona
🟨
60'
Vitor Reis
Girona
🔄
67'
J. Roca ↔ C. Echeverri
Girona
🔄
75'
A. Rodriguez ↔ Andre Silva
Elche
🔄
75'
G. Villar ↔ A. Pedrosa
Elche
🔄
77'
D. Lopez ↔ T. Lemar
Girona
🟨
83'
Claudio Echeverri
Girona
🔄
84'
A. Febas ↔ H. Fort
Elche
🟨
85'
Thomas Lemar
Girona
🟨
85'
Marc Aguado
Elche
🟨
85'
Germán Valera
Elche
🔄
90'
G. Valera ↔ L. Petrot
Elche

Girona vs Elche Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
75.1%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Girona Win 39.9%
Draw 24.9%
Elche Win 35.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Girona1.22
Elche1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Girona Girona
WWDLW
42 GF / 58 GA
Elche Elche
WLDWL
56 GF / 59 GA
Key Stats
1.08
Average Goals Scored
1.37
1.49
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
24
BTTS Yes
28
19
Over 2.5
25
3.97
Shots on Goal
3.73

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Girona Girona 39 matches
Elche Elche 41 matches
Girona Statistic Elche
10 Wins 13
13 Draws 12
16 Losses 16
42 Goals For 56
58 Goals Against 59
1.08 Avg Goals Scored 1.37
1.49 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
24 BTTS Yes 28
31 Over 1.5 32
19 Over 2.5 25
7 Over 3.5 16
6 Clean Sheets 10
10 Failed To Score 5
3.97 Shots On Goal 3.73
11.13 Total Shots 10.65
4.15 Corners 3.78
49.5% Ball Possession 56.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Elche. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Girona expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Elche in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Elche having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Girona have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Girona Analysis

Girona sit 18 with 40 points after 37 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 9 wins, 13 draws, and 15 defeats with a 38:54 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on V. Vanat (9 goals), V. Tsygankov (6 goals), Azzedine Ounahi (5 goals), with creative support from V. Tsygankov (5 assists), Arnau Martínez (3 assists), Bryan Gil (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Elche Analysis

Elche approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 42 points from 37 matches. The overall return of 10 wins, 12 draws, and 15 defeats with a 48:56 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Andre Silva (10 goals), R. Mir (8 goals), A. Rodriguez (6 goals), with creative support from A. Rodriguez (5 assists), G. Valera (5 assists), M. Neto (5 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 13 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Girona won 4 times, Elche won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:11 from Girona's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.91 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (75.1%)
Predicted formations: Girona 4-2-3-1 / Elche 3-5-2
Missing players: Girona 5, Elche 2
H2H summary: Girona wins 4, draws 2, Elche wins 5

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 31 1 6 95:36 59 94
L W L W W
2 38 27 5 6 77:35 42 86
W W W L W
3 38 22 6 10 72:46 26 72
W L L D W
4 38 21 6 11 62:44 18 69
L W W L W
5 38 15 15 8 59:48 11 60
W L W D W
6 38 14 12 12 53:48 5 54
W D L W W
7 38 15 6 17 32:38 -6 51
W L W D L
8 38 12 14 12 41:44 -3 50
W W D D W
9 38 13 10 15 46:55 -9 49
W W D W L
10 38 11 13 14 59:61 -2 46
D L D D L
11 38 12 10 16 43:55 -12 46
D W W L L
12 38 13 6 19 43:58 -15 45
L D L L W
13 38 12 7 19 46:60 -14 43
L L W W W
14 38 11 10 17 44:56 -12 43
L W W D L
15
Elche Away
38 10 13 15 49:57 -8 43
D W L D L
16 38 11 9 18 47:61 -14 42
L W W W L
17 38 11 9 18 44:50 -6 42
L L L L L
18 38 11 9 18 47:57 -10 42
W L L D W
19 38 9 14 15 39:55 -16 41
D L D D L
20 38 6 11 21 26:60 -34 29
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2