ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
26.07.2026 21:00
Estadio El Gigante del Norte
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Match Timeline
Deportivo Maipu
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
18'
T. Banega
Gimnasia Y Tiro
🔄
58'
J. de la Reta ↔ N. Fernandez
Deportivo Maipu
🔄
58'
J. Giacone ↔ M. Viguet
Deportivo Maipu
🔄
62'
T. Banega ↔ M. Birge
Gimnasia Y Tiro
🔄
62'
N. Contin ↔ L. Gordillo
Gimnasia Y Tiro
🔄
65'
T. Silva ↔ M. Bonfigli
Deportivo Maipu
🔄
68'
W. Montoya ↔ N. Rinaldi
Gimnasia Y Tiro
🟨
72'
E. Perez
Deportivo Maipu
🟨
72'
M. Viguet
Deportivo Maipu
🟥
73'
M. Viguet
Deportivo Maipu
🟥
76'
E. Perez
Deportivo Maipu
79'
L. Gordillo
Gimnasia Y Tiro
🔄
84'
J. Gobetto ↔ J. Vera
Deportivo Maipu
🔄
90+2'
J. Aguirre ↔ R. Villarreal
Gimnasia Y Tiro
🔄
90+2'
F. Rojas ↔ J. Capano
Gimnasia Y Tiro

Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Deportivo Maipu Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 47.4%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
47.4%
-
BTTS No
60.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Gimnasia Y Tiro Win 37.6%
Draw 15%
Deportivo Maipu Win 47.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gimnasia Y Tiro0.9
Deportivo Maipu1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro
WWDLW
19 GF / 23 GA
Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu
WLDWL
28 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
0.86
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
0.96
11
BTTS Yes
10
6
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro 22 matches
Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 23 matches
Gimnasia Y Tiro Statistic Deportivo Maipu
6 Wins 9
8 Draws 5
8 Losses 9
19 Goals For 28
23 Goals Against 22
0.86 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
1.05 Avg Goals Conceded 0.96
11 BTTS Yes 10
14 Over 1.5 12
6 Over 2.5 10
2 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 8
8 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Deportivo Maipu's more proactive style and Gimnasia Y Tiro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Deportivo Maipu having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Deportivo Maipu. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Gimnasia Y Tiro Analysis

From their first 20 matches, Gimnasia Y Tiro have collected 25 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. The record of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 19:21 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportivo Maipu Analysis

So far, Deportivo Maipu have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 29 points from 21 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, while the 27:21 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Gimnasia Y Tiro won 4 times, Deportivo Maipu won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:8 from Gimnasia Y Tiro's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.11 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85%)
Predicted formations: Gimnasia Y Tiro - / Deportivo Maipu 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Gimnasia Y Tiro wins 4, draws 3, Deportivo Maipu wins 2

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 14 11 4 31:15 16 53
D D W L W
2 30 14 11 5 36:24 12 53
W D W W W
3 30 15 8 7 45:36 9 53
D W W D D
4 29 15 3 11 34:28 6 48
W W L L W
5 30 13 8 9 34:25 9 47
W W L L W
6 30 12 9 9 33:27 6 45
W D L W W
7 30 12 9 9 31:27 4 45
L D W W L
8 30 11 9 10 25:26 -1 42
W L L W D
9 30 11 8 11 37:31 6 41
D D D L W
10 30 11 7 12 29:30 -1 40
L W L W W
11 30 9 12 9 32:30 2 39
L W L D W
12 30 9 9 12 26:34 -8 36
W L W D L
13 30 9 8 13 28:27 1 35
L W L L L
14 30 9 8 13 26:36 -10 35
L D L W D
15 29 8 8 13 21:28 -7 32
L W L L L
16 29 5 15 9 23:30 -7 30
D D L W D
17 30 8 6 16 22:31 -9 30
W L L L L
18 30 5 8 17 23:51 -28 23
L L L D D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation