ARGENTINA LIGA PROFESIONAL ARGENTINA
--.--.---- --:--
Víctor Legrotaglie
Referee: Juan Pablo Loustau, Argentina
Gimnasia M.
Match Timeline
Union Santa Fe
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
7'
E. Fernandez
Gimnasia M.
🟨
14'
F. Lencioni
Gimnasia M.
45+5'
A. Modica
Gimnasia M.
🔄
46'
E. Fernandez ↔ G. Guiffrey
Gimnasia M.
🔄
46'
S. Rodriguez ↔ L. Cingolani
Gimnasia M.
50'
A. Modica · Assist: F. Lencioni
Gimnasia M.
🔄
59'
J. Mosqueira ↔ M. Estigarribia
Union Santa Fe
🔄
67'
L. Vargas ↔ J. Pintado
Union Santa Fe
🔄
67'
L. Ayala ↔ B. Pitton
Union Santa Fe
🔄
76'
F. Antonini ↔ N. Barboza
Gimnasia M.
🔄
80'
I. Malcorra ↔ E. Ramirez
Union Santa Fe
🔄
80'
A. Modica ↔ I. Sabatini
Gimnasia M.
🔄
80'
M. Aguirre ↔ B. Cuello
Union Santa Fe
🔄
88'
J. Franco ↔ L. Paredes
Gimnasia M.

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.2%
Odds 3.11
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 2.05
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 2.55
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.2%
3.11
BTTS Yes
75%
2.05
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
2.55
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
91.5%
1.49
HT / FT Home / Home
-
5.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
12.00
Probability Distribution
Gimnasia M. Win 59.2%
Draw 8.1%
Union Santa Fe Win 32.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gimnasia M.0.99
Union Santa Fe1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M.
WWDLW
15 GF / 23 GA
Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe
WLDWL
30 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
0.79
Average Goals Scored
1.43
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
8
BTTS Yes
11
6
Over 2.5
10
3.67
Shots on Goal
5.32

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M. 19 matches
Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 21 matches
Gimnasia M. Statistic Union Santa Fe
6 Wins 7
5 Draws 7
8 Losses 7
15 Goals For 30
23 Goals Against 27
0.79 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
8 BTTS Yes 11
9 Over 1.5 17
6 Over 2.5 10
3 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 6
7 Failed To Score 6
3.67 Shots On Goal 5.32
10.94 Total Shots 16.32
3.39 Corners 5.05
42.9% Ball Possession 49.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Union Santa Fe's more proactive style and Gimnasia M.'s more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Union Santa Fe. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gimnasia M. expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Union Santa Fe in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Union Santa Fe having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Gimnasia M. Analysis

From their first 16 matches, Gimnasia M. have collected 19 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Their overall return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 14:22 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Agustín Modica (2 goals), Facundo Lencioni (1 goals), Luciano Cingolani (1 goals), with creative support from Ignacio Sabatini (2 assists), Facundo Lencioni (1 assists), Luciano Cingolani (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Union Santa Fe Analysis

From their first 16 matches, Union Santa Fe have collected 21 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Their overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 24:20 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Cristian Tarragona (2 goals), Marcelo Estigarribia (2 goals), Julián Palacios (1 goals), with creative support from Julián Palacios (3 assists), Mateo Del Blanco (1 assists), Lautaro Vargas (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Gimnasia M. won 1 times, Union Santa Fe won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:5 from Gimnasia M.'s perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.9%)
Predicted formations: Gimnasia M. 4-3-3 / Union Santa Fe 4-4-2
H2H summary: Gimnasia M. wins 1, draws 0, Union Santa Fe wins 1
Stats
Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M.
Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
3
9 Corner Kicks 5
14 Fouls 15
0 Offsides 5
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Goal 4
3 Shots off Goal 6
5 Blocked Shots 3
10 Shots insidebox 7
5 Shots outsidebox 6
4 Goalkeeper Saves 5
372 Total passes 339
286 Passes accurate 269
1.71 expected_goals 1.43
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Gimnasia M.
Formation
Union Santa Fe
Cesar Rigamonti
Cesar Rigamonti
Juan Franco
Juan Franco
Lautaro Carrera
Lautaro Carrera
Ezequiel Muñoz
Ezequiel Muñoz
Matias Recalde
Matias Recalde
Esteban Fernández
Esteban Fernández
Fermin Antonini
Fermin Antonini
Julian Ceballos
Julian Ceballos
Facundo Lencioni
🎯
Facundo Lencioni
Santiago Rodríguez
Santiago Rodríguez
Agustín Modica
⚽ 2
Agustín Modica
Matías Mansilla
Matías Mansilla
Lautaro Vargas
Lautaro Vargas
Tomás Fagioli
Tomás Fagioli
Juan Pablo Ludueña
Juan Pablo Ludueña
Lucas Ayala
Lucas Ayala
Lucas Menossi
Lucas Menossi
Julián Palacios
Julián Palacios
Joaquin Mosqueira
Joaquin Mosqueira
Ignacio Malcorra
Ignacio Malcorra
Cristian Tarragona
Cristian Tarragona
Misael Aguirre
Misael Aguirre
Gimnasia M. 4-3-1-2
Starting XI
23
Cesar Rigamonti
G
22
Juan Franco
↓ 88'
D
42
Lautaro Carrera
D
4
Ezequiel Muñoz
D
3
Matias Recalde
D
30
Esteban Fernández
↓ 46' 🟨 7'
M
21
Fermin Antonini
↓ 76'
M
19
Julian Ceballos
M
26
Facundo Lencioni
🎯 50' 🟨 14'
M
11
Santiago Rodríguez
↓ 46'
F
9
Agustín Modica
⚽ 45+5' ⚽ 50' ↓ 80'
F
Substitutes
16
Germán Guiffrey
↑ 46'
D
7
Luciano Cingolani
↑ 46'
F
5
Nahuel Barboza
↑ 76'
M
17
Ignacio Sabatini
↑ 80'
F
32
Luciano Paredes
↑ 88'
D
31
Lautaro Petruchi
G
41
Gerónimo Patritti
M
10
Nicolás Romano
F
28
Tomás O'Connor
M
33
Brian Andrada
F
15
Ulises Sánchez
M
35
Valentino Simoni
F
Union Santa Fe 4-1-3-2
Starting XI
21
Matías Mansilla
G
35
Lautaro Vargas
↓ 67'
D
44
Tomás Fagioli
D
26
Juan Pablo Ludueña
D
18
Lucas Ayala
↓ 67'
D
5
Lucas Menossi
M
20
Julián Palacios
M
17
Joaquin Mosqueira
↓ 59'
M
10
Ignacio Malcorra
↓ 80'
M
25
Cristian Tarragona
F
31
Misael Aguirre
↓ 80'
F
Substitutes
19
Marcelo Estigarribia
↑ 59'
F
15
Juan Pintado
↑ 67'
D
12
Bruno Pittón
↑ 67'
D
22
Brahian Cuello
↑ 80'
M
43
Eric Ramírez
↑ 80'
F
40
Lucas Meuli
G
33
Ignacio Isla
D
38
Valentín Cerrudo
F
36
Mateo Aimar
D
8
Emilio Giaccone
M
46
Santiago Grella
M
29
Santino Vera
M
Last matches: Gimnasia M.
28.07.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
San Lorenzo
0
1
L
24.07.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Central Cordoba de Santiago
1
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Defensa Y Justicia
2
1
W
26.04.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Independ. Rivadavia
1
5
L
21.04.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Lanus
1
0
W
15.04.26
Cop
Gimnasia M.
Gimnasia Y Tiro
0
0
D
12.04.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Platense
1
1
D
03.04.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Velez Sarsfield
3
2
W
21.03.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Newells Old Boys
0
1
L
18.03.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Estudiantes L.P.
1
2
L
12.03.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Deportivo Riestra
0
0
D
28.02.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Boca Juniors
1
1
D
25.02.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Independiente
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Gimnasia L.P.
0
1
L
14.02.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Talleres Cordoba
1
2
L
09.02.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Instituto Cordoba
1
0
W
03.02.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Union Santa Fe
0
4
L
27.01.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
San Lorenzo
0
1
L
23.01.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Central Cordoba de Santiago
1
0
W
Last matches: Union Santa Fe
25.07.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Platense
2
2
D
22.05.26
Cop
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
0
2
L
12.05.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Belgrano Cordoba
0
2
L
10.05.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Independ. Rivadavia
2
1
W
02.05.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Talleres Cordoba
1
1
D
27.04.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Velez Sarsfield
2
2
D
17.04.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Newells Old Boys
2
3
L
11.04.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Estudiantes L.P.
1
2
L
03.04.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Deportivo Riestra
2
0
W
31.03.26
Cop
Union Santa Fe
Agropecuario
2
0
W
21.03.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Defensa Y Justicia
0
2
L
16.03.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Boca Juniors
1
1
D
10.03.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
4
4
D
01.03.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Instituto Cordoba
2
1
W
26.02.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Sarmiento Junin
3
1
W
23.02.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Aldosivi
1
0
W
14.02.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
San Lorenzo
0
0
D
07.02.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Central Cordoba de Santiago
0
1
L
03.02.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Gimnasia M.
4
0
W
29.01.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Lanus
1
2
L
H2H: Gimnasia M. vs Union Santa Fe
03.02.26
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Gimnasia M.
4
0
L
18.04.24
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Gimnasia M.
1
2
W
Last matches: Gimnasia M.
24.07.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Central Cordoba de Santiago
1
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Defensa Y Justicia
2
1
W
21.04.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Lanus
1
0
W
15.04.26
Cop
Gimnasia M.
Gimnasia Y Tiro
0
0
D
03.04.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Velez Sarsfield
3
2
W
18.03.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Estudiantes L.P.
1
2
L
25.02.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Independiente
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Gimnasia L.P.
0
1
L
09.02.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Instituto Cordoba
1
0
W
27.01.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
San Lorenzo
0
1
L
Last matches: Union Santa Fe
25.07.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Platense
2
2
D
12.05.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Belgrano Cordoba
0
2
L
10.05.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Independ. Rivadavia
2
1
W
27.04.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Velez Sarsfield
2
2
D
11.04.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Estudiantes L.P.
1
2
L
21.03.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Defensa Y Justicia
0
2
L
10.03.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
4
4
D
01.03.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Instituto Cordoba
2
1
W
26.02.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Sarmiento Junin
3
1
W
07.02.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Central Cordoba de Santiago
0
1
L
29.01.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Lanus
1
2
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.57
Draw 2.96
Home 3.11
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.33
Draw 2.01
Home 3.86
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.45
Over 1.75 1.59
Over 2.0 1.84
Over 2.25 2.20
Over 2.5 2.55
Over 3.5 5.01
Under 1.5 2.76
Under 1.75 2.38
Under 2.0 2.00
Under 2.25 1.69
Under 2.5 1.52
Under 3.5 1.17
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.40
Draw 3.00
Home 3.25
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.25
Draw 1.95
Home 3.75
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.88
Draw 2.20
Home 3.25
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.11
Over 1.5 1.44
Over 2.5 2.50
Over 3.5 5.00
Over 4.5 11.00
Over 5.5 26.00
Over 6.5 51.00
Under 0.5 6.50
Under 1.5 2.62
Under 2.5 1.50
Under 3.5 1.17
Under 4.5 1.05
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.49
Draw 3.16
Home 3.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.14
Draw 1.93
Home 3.74
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.82
Draw 2.22
Home 3.34
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 0.75 1.07
Over 1.0 1.09
Over 1.25 1.30
Over 1.5 1.46
Over 1.75 1.60
Over 2.0 1.75
Over 2.25 2.11
Over 2.5 2.40
Over 2.75 2.74
Over 3.0 3.58
Over 3.25 4.05
Over 3.5 4.45
Over 3.75 5.69
Over 4.0 8.30
Over 4.5 9.00
Over 5.5 21.00
Over 6.5 50.00
Under 0.5 7.00
Under 0.75 6.43
Under 1.0 5.75
Under 1.25 3.43
Under 1.5 2.65
Under 1.75 2.34
Under 2.0 1.93
Under 2.25 1.73
Under 2.5 1.57
Under 2.75 1.35
Under 3.0 1.21
Under 3.25 1.17
Under 3.5 1.14
Under 3.75 1.08
Under 4.0 1.01
Under 4.5 1.00
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.63
Draw 3.05
Home 2.90
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.30
Draw 1.98
Home 3.45
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.90
Draw 2.30
Home 3.25
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.08
Over 1.5 1.46
Over 1.75 1.61
Over 2.0 1.83
Over 2.25 2.15
Over 2.5 2.48
Over 2.75 2.95
Over 3.0 3.90
Over 3.5 4.80
Over 4.5 9.50
Under 0.5 7.00
Under 1.5 2.60
Under 1.75 2.28
Under 2.0 1.93
Under 2.25 1.67
Under 2.5 1.50
Under 2.75 1.37
Under 3.0 1.22
Under 3.5 1.17
Under 4.5 1.03

Standings

Apertura - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 9 4 3 19:7 12 31
L L W D W
2 16 8 6 2 22:9 13 30
L L W W W
3 16 7 7 2 18:12 6 28
W W L D D
4 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
L L L D D
5 16 6 6 4 24:20 4 24
W W L W L
6 16 6 6 4 18:15 3 24
W L D D L
7 16 5 7 4 14:14 0 22
W L L L W
8 16 5 6 5 24:20 4 21
D L W D D
9 16 6 3 7 17:17 0 21
W L W D L
10 16 4 7 5 18:21 -3 19
W D L L L
11 16 5 4 7 14:22 -8 19
L W W L W
12 16 3 7 6 10:15 -5 16
L D L L L
13 16 4 4 8 11:21 -10 16
L L L D W
14 16 3 6 7 15:27 -12 15
L W D D W
15 16 1 8 7 5:12 -7 11
L W D W L
Knockout Phase