Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
59.2%
|
3.11 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75%
|
2.05 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
2.55 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
91.5%
|
1.49 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
5.00 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
12.00 |
Gimnasia M.
Union Santa Fe
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Gimnasia M.
19 matches
Union Santa Fe
21 matches
| Gimnasia M. | Statistic | Union Santa Fe |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 7 |
| 5 | Draws | 7 |
| 8 | Losses | 7 |
| 15 | Goals For | 30 |
| 23 | Goals Against | 27 |
| 0.79 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.43 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 3.67 | Shots On Goal | 5.32 |
| 10.94 | Total Shots | 16.32 |
| 3.39 | Corners | 5.05 |
| 42.9% | Ball Possession | 49.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Union Santa Fe's more proactive style and Gimnasia M.'s more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Union Santa Fe. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gimnasia M. expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Union Santa Fe in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Union Santa Fe having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
From their first 16 matches, Gimnasia M. have collected 19 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Their overall return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 14:22 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Agustín Modica (2 goals), Facundo Lencioni (1 goals), Luciano Cingolani (1 goals), with creative support from Ignacio Sabatini (2 assists), Facundo Lencioni (1 assists), Luciano Cingolani (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 16 matches, Union Santa Fe have collected 21 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Their overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 24:20 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Cristian Tarragona (2 goals), Marcelo Estigarribia (2 goals), Julián Palacios (1 goals), with creative support from Julián Palacios (3 assists), Mateo Del Blanco (1 assists), Lautaro Vargas (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Gimnasia M. won 1 times, Union Santa Fe won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:5 from Gimnasia M.'s perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.
Gimnasia M.
7
4
3
6
5
3
Lineups
Gimnasia M.
San Lorenzo
Gimnasia M.
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Gimnasia M.
Defensa Y Justicia
Gimnasia M.
Independ. Rivadavia
Gimnasia M.
Lanus
Gimnasia M.
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Gimnasia M.
Platense
Gimnasia M.
Velez Sarsfield
Gimnasia M.
Newells Old Boys
Gimnasia M.
Estudiantes L.P.
Gimnasia M.
Deportivo Riestra
Gimnasia M.
Boca Juniors
Gimnasia M.
Independiente
Gimnasia M.
Gimnasia L.P.
Gimnasia M.
Talleres Cordoba
Gimnasia M.
Instituto Cordoba
Gimnasia M.
Union Santa Fe
Gimnasia M.
San Lorenzo
Gimnasia M.
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Union Santa Fe
Platense
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
Belgrano Cordoba
Union Santa Fe
Independ. Rivadavia
Union Santa Fe
Talleres Cordoba
Union Santa Fe
Velez Sarsfield
Union Santa Fe
Newells Old Boys
Union Santa Fe
Estudiantes L.P.
Union Santa Fe
Deportivo Riestra
Union Santa Fe
Agropecuario
Union Santa Fe
Defensa Y Justicia
Union Santa Fe
Boca Juniors
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
Instituto Cordoba
Union Santa Fe
Sarmiento Junin
Union Santa Fe
Aldosivi
Union Santa Fe
San Lorenzo
Union Santa Fe
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Union Santa Fe
Gimnasia M.
Union Santa Fe
Lanus
Gimnasia M.
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Gimnasia M.
Defensa Y Justicia
Gimnasia M.
Lanus
Gimnasia M.
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Gimnasia M.
Velez Sarsfield
Gimnasia M.
Estudiantes L.P.
Gimnasia M.
Independiente
Gimnasia M.
Gimnasia L.P.
Gimnasia M.
Instituto Cordoba
Gimnasia M.
San Lorenzo
Union Santa Fe
Platense
Union Santa Fe
Belgrano Cordoba
Union Santa Fe
Independ. Rivadavia
Union Santa Fe
Velez Sarsfield
Union Santa Fe
Estudiantes L.P.
Union Santa Fe
Defensa Y Justicia
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
Instituto Cordoba
Union Santa Fe
Sarmiento Junin
Union Santa Fe
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Union Santa Fe
Lanus
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 12 | 31 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 30 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 28 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 4 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 24 |
W
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 8 |
Union Santa Fe
Away
|
16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
| 9 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 |
Gimnasia M.
Home
|
16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
| 12 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 14 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 |
L
W
D
W
L
|