ARGENTINA LIGA PROFESIONAL ARGENTINA
--.--.---- --:--
Víctor Legrotaglie
Referee: Bruno Amiconi, Argentina
Gimnasia M.
Match Timeline
Defensa Y Justicia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
9'
David Martínez
Defensa Y Justicia
12'
A. Portillo · Assist: J. Gutierrez
Defensa Y Justicia
🔄
18'
B. Armoa ↔ L. Cingolani
Gimnasia M.
30'
E. Munoz
Gimnasia M.
🟨
34'
Esteban Fernández
Gimnasia M.
🔄
46'
E. Fernandez ↔ J. Ceballos
Gimnasia M.
🔄
46'
D. Martinez ↔ D. Fernandez
Defensa Y Justicia
🟨
57'
Matias Recalde
Gimnasia M.
🔄
60'
C. Perez ↔ A. Hausch
Defensa Y Justicia
🔄
60'
D. Caceres ↔ L. Gonzalez
Defensa Y Justicia
🔄
62'
B. Andrada ↔ A. Modica
Gimnasia M.
🔄
63'
V. Simoni ↔ L. Carrera
Gimnasia M.
🔄
71'
S. Sosa ↔ E. Banega
Defensa Y Justicia
🔄
72'
F. Lencioni ↔ I. Sabatini
Gimnasia M.
🔄
72'
R. Botta ↔ D. Barbona
Defensa Y Justicia
73'
L. Cingolani · Assist: I. Sabatini
Gimnasia M.
🟨
90+1'
Emiliano Amor
Defensa Y Justicia

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 56.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
56.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
83%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Gimnasia M. Win 32.8%
Draw 10.5%
Defensa Y Justicia Win 56.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gimnasia M.0.92
Defensa Y Justicia1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M.
WWDLW
12 GF / 21 GA
Defensa Y Justicia Defensa Y Justicia
WLDWL
20 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
1.18
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
7
BTTS Yes
9
5
Over 2.5
6
3.53
Shots on Goal
3.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M. 16 matches
Defensa Y Justicia Defensa Y Justicia 17 matches
Gimnasia M. Statistic Defensa Y Justicia
4 Wins 6
5 Draws 7
7 Losses 4
12 Goals For 20
21 Goals Against 20
0.75 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18
7 BTTS Yes 9
8 Over 1.5 12
5 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 5
3.53 Shots On Goal 3.6
10.27 Total Shots 9.8
3.33 Corners 4
41.4% Ball Possession 49.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Defensa Y Justicia carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 16 with 115 points while Gimnasia M. sit 26 on 16, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gimnasia M. expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Defensa Y Justicia in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Defensa Y Justicia having the stronger overall control. Defensa Y Justicia arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Defensa Y Justicia.

Gimnasia M. Analysis

Gimnasia M. sit 26 with 16 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of - wins, - draws, and - losses, together with goals at 0:0, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through A. Modica (4 goals), F. Lencioni (2 goals), B. Armoa (1 goals), with creative support from F. Lencioni (5 assists), S. Rodriguez (1 assists), F. Antonini (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Defensa Y Justicia Analysis

With 115 points from 88 games and a place of 16, Defensa Y Justicia still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted - wins, - draws, and - defeats, and the 0:0 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Molinas (3 goals), Juan Manuel Gutiérrez (3 goals), A. Portillo (2 goals), with creative support from A. Molinas (4 assists), Juan Manuel Gutiérrez (2 assists), A. Portillo (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Gimnasia M. won 1 times, Defensa Y Justicia won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Gimnasia M.'s perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.6%)
Predicted formations: Gimnasia M. 4-3-3 / Defensa Y Justicia 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Gimnasia M. wins 1, draws 0, Defensa Y Justicia wins 0
Stats
Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M.
Defensa Y Justicia Defensa Y Justicia
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
0
2 Corner Kicks 7
10 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 1
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Goal 4
3 Shots off Goal 7
2 Blocked Shots 0
6 Shots insidebox 6
2 Shots outsidebox 5
3 Goalkeeper Saves 1
278 Total passes 393
186 Passes accurate 305
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Gimnasia M.
Formation
Defensa Y Justicia
C. Rigamonti
C. Rigamonti
L. Paredes
L. Paredes
D. Mondino
D. Mondino
E. Munoz
E. Munoz
M. Recalde
M. Recalde
E. Fernandez
E. Fernandez
F. Antonini
F. Antonini
F. Lencioni
F. Lencioni
B. Armoa
B. Armoa
V. Simoni
V. Simoni
B. Andrada
B. Andrada
C. Fiermarin
C. Fiermarin
A. Portillo
A. Portillo
L. Souto
L. Souto
E. Amor
E. Amor
D. Martinez
D. Martinez
D. Caceres
D. Caceres
C. Perez
C. Perez
S. Sosa
S. Sosa
A. Molinas
A. Molinas
J. Gutierrez
🎯
J. Gutierrez
R. Botta
R. Botta
Gimnasia M. 4-3-3
Starting XI
23
C. Rigamonti
G
32
L. Paredes
D
2
D. Mondino
D
4
E. Munoz
⚽ 30'
D
3
M. Recalde
🟨 57'
D
30
E. Fernandez
↓ 46' 🟨 34'
M
21
F. Antonini
M
26
F. Lencioni
↓ 72'
M
27
B. Armoa
↓ 18'
F
35
V. Simoni
↓ 63'
F
33
B. Andrada
↓ 62'
F
Substitutes
31
L. Petruchi
G
7
L. Cingolani
⚽ 73' ↑ 18'
F
42
L. Carrera
↑ 63'
M
29
A. Modica
↑ 62'
F
19
J. Ceballos
↑ 46'
M
11
S. Rodriguez
F
18
J. Alvarez
M
15
U. Sanchez
M
5
N. Barboza
M
36
I. Cortez
D
17
I. Sabatini
🎯 73' ↑ 72'
F
41
G. Patritti
M
Defensa Y Justicia 5-4-1
Starting XI
22
C. Fiermarin
G
16
A. Portillo
⚽ 12'
D
33
L. Souto
D
6
E. Amor
🟨 90+1'
D
21
D. Martinez
↓ 46' 🟨 9'
D
26
D. Caceres
↓ 60'
D
8
C. Perez
↓ 60'
M
15
S. Sosa
↓ 71'
M
10
A. Molinas
M
24
J. Gutierrez
🎯 12'
M
20
R. Botta
↓ 72'
F
Substitutes
36
L. Amade
G
11
E. Banega
↑ 71'
M
17
A. Hausch
↑ 60'
F
9
L. Gonzalez
↑ 60'
F
32
N. Roselli
D
19
D. Barbona
↑ 72'
F
27
E. Pereyra
D
29
D. Fernandez
↑ 46'
D
2
S. Lucero
D
30
D. Fernandez
F
23
M. Aguiar
M
31
A. Coria
F
Last matches: Gimnasia M.
09.08.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Instituto Cordoba
0
1
L
01.08.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Union Santa Fe
2
0
W
28.07.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
San Lorenzo
0
1
L
24.07.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Central Cordoba de Santiago
1
0
W
26.04.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Independ. Rivadavia
1
5
L
21.04.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Lanus
1
0
W
15.04.26
Cop
Gimnasia M.
Gimnasia Y Tiro
0
0
D
12.04.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Platense
1
1
D
03.04.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Velez Sarsfield
3
2
W
21.03.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Newells Old Boys
0
1
L
18.03.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Estudiantes L.P.
1
2
L
12.03.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Deportivo Riestra
0
0
D
28.02.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Boca Juniors
1
1
D
25.02.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Independiente
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Gimnasia L.P.
0
1
L
14.02.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Talleres Cordoba
1
2
L
09.02.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Instituto Cordoba
1
0
W
03.02.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Union Santa Fe
0
4
L
27.01.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
San Lorenzo
0
1
L
23.01.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Central Cordoba de Santiago
1
0
W
Last matches: Defensa Y Justicia
09.08.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Newells Old Boys
2
1
W
01.08.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Estudiantes L.P.
0
3
L
29.07.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Deportivo Riestra
2
1
W
24.07.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Aldosivi
1
1
D
16.07.26
Cop
Defensa Y Justicia
Racing Club
1
4
L
23.04.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Boca Juniors
0
4
L
18.04.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Independiente
1
3
L
13.04.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Talleres Cordoba
1
2
L
07.04.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Instituto Cordoba
0
2
L
01.04.26
Cop
Defensa Y Justicia
Chaco For Ever
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Union Santa Fe
2
0
W
16.03.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
San Lorenzo
5
2
W
12.03.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Central Cordoba de Santiago
1
1
D
02.03.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Lanus
1
1
D
24.02.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Platense
0
0
D
20.02.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Belgrano Cordoba
1
1
D
14.02.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Velez Sarsfield
1
1
D
08.02.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Newells Old Boys
3
2
W
02.02.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Estudiantes L.P.
0
0
D
29.01.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Deportivo Riestra
1
0
W
H2H: Gimnasia M. vs Defensa Y Justicia
04.05.26
H2H
Gimnasia M.
Defensa Y Justicia
2
1
W
Last matches: Gimnasia M.
01.08.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Union Santa Fe
2
0
W
24.07.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Central Cordoba de Santiago
1
0
W
21.04.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Lanus
1
0
W
15.04.26
Cop
Gimnasia M.
Gimnasia Y Tiro
0
0
D
03.04.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Velez Sarsfield
3
2
W
18.03.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Estudiantes L.P.
1
2
L
25.02.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Independiente
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Gimnasia L.P.
0
1
L
09.02.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Instituto Cordoba
1
0
W
27.01.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
San Lorenzo
0
1
L
H2H at home: Gimnasia M.
04.05.26
H2H
Gimnasia M.
Defensa Y Justicia
2
1
W
Last matches: Defensa Y Justicia
01.08.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Estudiantes L.P.
0
3
L
16.07.26
Cop
Defensa Y Justicia
Racing Club
1
4
L
18.04.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Independiente
1
3
L
07.04.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Instituto Cordoba
0
2
L
16.03.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
San Lorenzo
5
2
W
24.02.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Platense
0
0
D
08.02.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Newells Old Boys
3
2
W
29.01.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Deportivo Riestra
1
0
W
22.01.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Aldosivi
0
0
D
08.01.26
Fri
Defensa Y Justicia
Santa Cruz
1
0
W
H2H away: Defensa Y Justicia
04.05.26
H2H
Gimnasia M.
Defensa Y Justicia
2
1
L