24.07.2026 19:45
Victor Legrotaglie
Referee: A. Gariano
Gimnasia M.
Match Timeline
Central Cordoba de Santiago
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
24'
A. Aguerre ↔ J. Vallejos
Central Cordoba de Santiago
🔄
46'
B. Armoa ↔ J. Ceballos
Gimnasia M.
🔄
64'
E. Fernandez ↔ L. Cingolani
Gimnasia M.
66'
A. Modica · Assist: L. Cingolani
Gimnasia M.
🟨
70'
Santiago Moyano
Central Cordoba de Santiago
🔄
70'
S. Moyano ↔ J. Gomez
Central Cordoba de Santiago
🔄
70'
F. Martinez ↔ A. Laprida
Central Cordoba de Santiago
🔄
78'
M. Vera ↔ L. Gonzalez
Central Cordoba de Santiago
🔄
78'
E. Naya ↔ M. Cuitino
Central Cordoba de Santiago
🔄
82'
F. Antonini ↔ N. Barboza
Gimnasia M.
🔄
82'
L. Paredes ↔ V. Simoni
Gimnasia M.
🔄
83'
A. Modica ↔ L. Carrera
Gimnasia M.

Gimnasia M. vs Central Cordoba de Santiago Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 75.5%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
75.5%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
71.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Gimnasia M. Win 75.5%
Draw 14.7%
Central Cordoba de Santiago Win 9.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gimnasia M.1.03
Central Cordoba de Santiago0.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M.
WWDLW
14 GF / 22 GA
Central Cordoba de Santiago Central Cordoba de Santiago
WLDWL
13 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
0.82
Average Goals Scored
0.76
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
8
BTTS Yes
5
6
Over 2.5
5
3.5
Shots on Goal
2.31

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M. 17 matches
Central Cordoba de Santiago Central Cordoba de Santiago 17 matches
Gimnasia M. Statistic Central Cordoba de Santiago
5 Wins 4
5 Draws 5
7 Losses 8
14 Goals For 13
22 Goals Against 23
0.82 Avg Goals Scored 0.76
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35
8 BTTS Yes 5
9 Over 1.5 9
6 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 9
3.5 Shots On Goal 2.31
10.13 Total Shots 7.75
3.25 Corners 2.81
41.3% Ball Possession 38%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Central Cordoba de Santiago arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gimnasia M. expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Central Cordoba de Santiago in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Central Cordoba de Santiago having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Central Cordoba de Santiago.

Gimnasia M. Analysis

Gimnasia M. are currently 11 in the standings with 19 points from 16 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 14:22 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Agustín Modica (4 goals), E. Munoz (2 goals), F. Lencioni (2 goals), with creative support from F. Lencioni (5 assists), I. Sabatini (2 assists), S. Rodriguez (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Central Cordoba de Santiago Analysis

Central Cordoba de Santiago sit 13 with 16 points after 16 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 11:21, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through M. Santos (4 goals), D. Barrera (3 goals), E. Naya (2 goals), with creative support from M. Santos (2 assists), H. Tijanovich (2 assists), Alejandro Maciel (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Gimnasia M. won 3 times, Central Cordoba de Santiago won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:1 from Gimnasia M.'s perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (90.1%)
Predicted formations: Gimnasia M. 4-3-3 / Central Cordoba de Santiago 4-4-2
H2H summary: Gimnasia M. wins 3, draws 1, Central Cordoba de Santiago wins 0

Standings

Apertura - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 9 4 3 19:7 12 31
W L D L W
2 16 8 6 2 22:9 13 30
W W D W D
3 16 7 7 2 18:12 6 28
W D W D D
4 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
L W L D D
5 16 6 6 4 24:20 4 24
W D W L D
6 16 6 6 4 18:15 3 24
W W L D L
7 16 5 7 4 14:14 0 22
L D W L D
8 16 5 6 5 24:20 4 21
L L W W W
9 16 6 3 7 17:17 0 21
W W L W D
10 16 4 7 5 18:21 -3 19
D W L W W
11 16 5 4 7 14:22 -8 19
D L D W W
12 16 3 7 6 10:15 -5 16
L L D L W
13 16 4 4 8 11:21 -10 16
D L L D L
14 16 3 6 7 15:27 -12 15
W D D D W
15 16 1 8 7 5:12 -7 11
D L D D D
Knockout Phase