Gillingham vs Grimsby Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
64.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
72.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
53.5%
|
- |
Gillingham
Grimsby
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Gillingham
44 matches
Grimsby
46 matches
| Gillingham | Statistic | Grimsby |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 22 |
| 15 | Draws | 11 |
| 17 | Losses | 13 |
| 50 | Goals For | 73 |
| 63 | Goals Against | 51 |
| 1.14 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.59 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.11 |
| 24 | BTTS Yes | 22 |
| 31 | Over 1.5 | 31 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 22 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 16 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 17 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 4.16 | Shots On Goal | 4.58 |
| 12.95 | Total Shots | 13.58 |
| 5.19 | Corners | 6.16 |
| 47.1% | Ball Possession | 55.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Grimsby's more proactive style and Gillingham's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Grimsby carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 68 points while Gillingham sit 17 on 50, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Grimsby. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gillingham expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Grimsby in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Grimsby having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.
With 50 points from 43 games and a place of 17, Gillingham still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 12 wins, 14 draws, and 17 defeats, and the 48:60 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on B. Dack (7 goals), A. Little (5 goals), R. Hale (5 goals), with creative support from Max Clark (6 assists), R. Hutton (3 assists), Garath McCleary (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Grimsby sit 8 with 68 points after 42 league matches. Their overall return of 19 wins, 11 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 62:45 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Kabia (13 goals), K. Green (11 goals), C. Vernam (9 goals), with creative support from C. Vernam (9 assists), Darragh Burns (5 assists), J. Walker (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 8 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Gillingham won 1 times, Grimsby won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:12 from Gillingham's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 |
Grimsby
Away
|
46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
| 8 | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 |
Gillingham
Home
|
46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
| 18 | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
L
L
L
W
L
|