Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
64.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
72.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
53.5%
|
- |
Gillingham
Grimsby
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Gillingham
44 matches
Grimsby
46 matches
| Gillingham | Statistic | Grimsby |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 22 |
| 15 | Draws | 11 |
| 17 | Losses | 13 |
| 50 | Goals For | 73 |
| 63 | Goals Against | 51 |
| 1.14 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.59 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.11 |
| 24 | BTTS Yes | 22 |
| 31 | Over 1.5 | 31 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 22 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 16 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 17 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 4.16 | Shots On Goal | 4.58 |
| 12.95 | Total Shots | 13.58 |
| 5.19 | Corners | 6.16 |
| 47.1% | Ball Possession | 55.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Grimsby's more proactive style and Gillingham's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Grimsby carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 68 points while Gillingham sit 17 on 50, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Grimsby. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gillingham expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Grimsby in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Grimsby having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.
With 50 points from 43 games and a place of 17, Gillingham still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 12 wins, 14 draws, and 17 defeats, and the 48:60 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on B. Dack (7 goals), A. Little (5 goals), R. Hale (5 goals), with creative support from Max Clark (6 assists), R. Hutton (3 assists), Garath McCleary (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Grimsby sit 8 with 68 points after 42 league matches. Their overall return of 19 wins, 11 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 62:45 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Kabia (13 goals), K. Green (11 goals), C. Vernam (9 goals), with creative support from C. Vernam (9 assists), Darragh Burns (5 assists), J. Walker (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 8 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Gillingham won 1 times, Grimsby won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:12 from Gillingham's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.
Gillingham
3
6
6
3
0
5
Lineups
Gillingham
Ebbsfleet United
Gillingham
Millwall
Gillingham
Charlton
Gillingham
Dover
Gillingham
Shrewsbury
Gillingham
Barnet
Gillingham
Cheltenham
Gillingham
Salford City
Gillingham
Accrington ST
Gillingham
Walsall
Gillingham
Crawley Town
Gillingham
Bristol Rovers
Gillingham
Swindon Town
Gillingham
Cambridge United
Gillingham
Milton Keynes Dons
Gillingham
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Barrow
Gillingham
Oldham
Gillingham
Chesterfield
Gillingham
Crewe
Grimsby
Grimsby Borough
Grimsby
Wigan
Grimsby
Boston United
Grimsby
Lincoln
Grimsby
Hartlepool
Grimsby
Zorya Luhansk
Grimsby
Cleethorpes Town
Grimsby
Salford City
Grimsby
Salford City
Grimsby
Tranmere
Grimsby
Swindon Town
Grimsby
Cambridge United
Grimsby
Chesterfield
Grimsby
Crewe
Grimsby
Crawley Town
Grimsby
Harrogate Town
Grimsby
Barrow
Grimsby
Fleetwood Town
Grimsby
Oldham
Grimsby
Bromley
Gillingham
Millwall
Gillingham
Charlton
Gillingham
Shrewsbury
Gillingham
Accrington ST
Gillingham
Bristol Rovers
Gillingham
Swindon Town
Gillingham
Milton Keynes Dons
Gillingham
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Oldham
Gillingham
Tranmere
Gillingham
Bromley
Gillingham
Newport County
Gillingham
Colchester
Gillingham
Cambridge United
Gillingham
Barrow
Gillingham
Barnet
Gillingham
Crawley Town
Gillingham
Salford City
Gillingham
Cheltenham
Gillingham
Harrogate Town
Grimsby
Boston United
Grimsby
Hartlepool
Grimsby
Zorya Luhansk
Grimsby
Cleethorpes Town
Grimsby
Salford City
Grimsby
Tranmere
Grimsby
Cambridge United
Grimsby
Chesterfield
Grimsby
Crawley Town
Grimsby
Oldham
Grimsby
Notts County
Grimsby
Bristol Rovers
Grimsby
Newport County
Grimsby
Colchester
Grimsby
Cheltenham
Grimsby
Fleetwood Town
Grimsby
Bromley
Grimsby
Shrewsbury
Grimsby
Swindon Town
Grimsby
Barrow
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 |
Grimsby
Away
|
46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
| 8 | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 |
Gillingham
Home
|
46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
| 18 | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
L
L
L
W
L
|