PORTUGAL PRIMEIRA LIGA
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69%
Odds 1.73
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 2.30
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69%
1.73
BTTS Yes
71%
2.10
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
2.30
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87%
1.24
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.75
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
GIL Vicente Win 69%
Draw 6.2%
Casa Pia Win 24.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
GIL Vicente2.03
Casa Pia0.78
Recent Form (Last 5)
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
WWDLW
5 GF / 3 GA
Casa Pia Casa Pia
WLDWL
4 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
0.8
0.75
Average Goals Conceded
3.2
2
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
3
4
Shots on Goal
2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 4 matches
Casa Pia Casa Pia 5 matches
GIL Vicente Statistic Casa Pia
2 Wins 1
2 Draws 0
0 Losses 4
5 Goals For 4
3 Goals Against 16
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 0.8
0.75 Avg Goals Conceded 3.2
2 BTTS Yes 2
2 Over 1.5 3
1 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 3
4 Shots On Goal 2
12 Total Shots 6
5 Corners 3.5
64% Ball Possession 48.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, GIL Vicente won 4 times, Casa Pia won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:5 from GIL Vicente's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.8%)
Predicted formations: GIL Vicente 4-3-3 / Casa Pia 4-3-3
H2H summary: GIL Vicente wins 4, draws 4, Casa Pia wins 1
Last matches: GIL Vicente
09.08.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Rio Ave
1
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
GIL Vicente
Moreirense
2
2
D
22.07.26
Fri
GIL Vicente
FC Porto
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
GIL Vicente
Felgueiras 1932
1
1
D
16.05.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Sporting CP
0
3
L
11.05.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Arouca
1
3
L
03.05.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Rio Ave
0
0
D
27.04.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Casa Pia
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Vitória SC
0
1
L
13.04.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Tondela
2
2
D
03.04.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
AVS
3
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Santa Clara
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Alverca
2
2
D
08.03.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Estrela
2
2
D
02.03.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Benfica
1
2
L
22.02.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Estoril
1
3
L
14.02.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
SC Braga
2
1
W
07.02.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Moreirense
2
1
W
01.02.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Famalicao
5
0
W
26.01.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
FC Porto
0
3
L
Last matches: Casa Pia
17.08.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Benfica
0
7
L
08.08.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Maritimo
0
1
L
01.08.26
Fri
Casa Pia
Leixoes
2
6
L
25.07.26
Fri
Casa Pia
Benfica B
0
1
L
18.07.26
Fri
Casa Pia
Estrela
2
1
W
28.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Torreense
2
0
W
20.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Torreense
0
0
D
16.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
1
1
D
11.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Vitória SC
1
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Tondela
0
1
L
27.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
GIL Vicente
1
2
L
23.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
SC Braga
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Santa Clara
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Alverca
1
3
L
06.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Benfica
1
1
D
20.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Estrela
0
4
L
07.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Estoril
0
0
D
01.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Moreirense
1
1
D
23.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Famalicao
0
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Arouca
3
2
W
H2H: GIL Vicente vs Casa Pia
27.04.26
H2H
GIL Vicente
Casa Pia
2
1
W
13.12.25
H2H
Casa Pia
GIL Vicente
1
1
D
22.02.25
H2H
Casa Pia
GIL Vicente
1
0
L
22.09.24
H2H
GIL Vicente
Casa Pia
1
1
D
03.03.24
H2H
Casa Pia
GIL Vicente
0
0
D
02.10.23
H2H
GIL Vicente
Casa Pia
2
0
W
27.05.23
H2H
GIL Vicente
Casa Pia
1
0
W
22.01.23
H2H
Casa Pia
GIL Vicente
1
3
W
16.10.16
H2H
GIL Vicente
Casa Pia
0
0
D
Last matches: GIL Vicente
09.08.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Rio Ave
1
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
GIL Vicente
Moreirense
2
2
D
22.07.26
Fri
GIL Vicente
FC Porto
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
GIL Vicente
Felgueiras 1932
1
1
D
11.05.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Arouca
1
3
L
27.04.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Casa Pia
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Vitória SC
0
1
L
03.04.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
AVS
3
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Alverca
2
2
D
02.03.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Benfica
1
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
SC Braga
2
1
W
01.02.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Famalicao
5
0
W
17.01.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Nacional
2
1
W
02.01.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Sporting CP
1
1
D
20.12.25
Pri
GIL Vicente
Rio Ave
2
2
D
29.11.25
Pri
GIL Vicente
Tondela
0
1
L
03.11.25
Pri
GIL Vicente
Santa Clara
1
0
W
04.10.25
Pri
GIL Vicente
Estrela
2
0
W
21.09.25
Pri
GIL Vicente
Estoril
2
0
W
29.08.25
Pri
GIL Vicente
Moreirense
2
0
W
H2H at home: GIL Vicente
27.04.26
H2H
GIL Vicente
Casa Pia
2
1
W
22.09.24
H2H
GIL Vicente
Casa Pia
1
1
D
02.10.23
H2H
GIL Vicente
Casa Pia
2
0
W
27.05.23
H2H
GIL Vicente
Casa Pia
1
0
W
16.10.16
H2H
GIL Vicente
Casa Pia
0
0
D
Last matches: Casa Pia
08.08.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Maritimo
0
1
L
01.08.26
Fri
Casa Pia
Leixoes
2
6
L
25.07.26
Fri
Casa Pia
Benfica B
0
1
L
18.07.26
Fri
Casa Pia
Estrela
2
1
W
20.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Torreense
0
0
D
11.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Vitória SC
1
0
W
27.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
GIL Vicente
1
2
L
12.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Alverca
1
3
L
20.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Estrela
0
4
L
07.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Estoril
0
0
D
23.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Famalicao
0
2
L
08.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Nacional
0
0
D
16.01.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Sporting CP
0
3
L
04.01.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
1
3
L
21.12.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Tondela
2
1
W
06.12.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Santa Clara
0
1
L
09.11.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Benfica
2
2
D
26.10.25
Pri
Casa Pia
SC Braga
0
4
L
27.09.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Moreirense
1
2
L
14.09.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Arouca
2
0
W
H2H away: Casa Pia
27.04.26
H2H
GIL Vicente
Casa Pia
2
1
L
22.09.24
H2H
GIL Vicente
Casa Pia
1
1
D
02.10.23
H2H
GIL Vicente
Casa Pia
2
0
L
27.05.23
H2H
GIL Vicente
Casa Pia
1
0
L
16.10.16
H2H
GIL Vicente
Casa Pia
0
0
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.15
Draw 3.55
Home 1.73
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.57
Draw 2.14
Home 2.43
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.41
Over 1.75 1.52
Over 2.0 1.70
Over 2.25 2.01
Over 2.5 2.30
Over 2.75 2.71
Over 3.5 4.30
Under 1.5 2.94
Under 1.75 2.58
Under 2.0 2.20
Under 2.25 1.85
Under 2.5 1.65
Under 2.75 1.48
Under 3.5 1.22
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.25
Draw 3.50
Home 1.70
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.00
Draw 2.10
Home 2.38
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 2.30
Home 2.10
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.08
Over 1.5 1.40
Over 2.5 2.30
Over 3.5 4.33
Over 4.5 10.00
Over 5.5 21.00
Over 6.5 51.00
Under 0.5 8.00
Under 1.5 2.75
Under 2.5 1.60
Under 3.5 1.20
Under 4.5 1.06
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.09
Draw 3.62
Home 1.79
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.60
Draw 2.01
Home 2.33
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.90
Draw 2.34
Home 2.11
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 0.75 1.06
Over 1.0 1.08
Over 1.25 1.23
Over 1.5 1.39
Over 1.75 1.51
Over 2.0 1.69
Over 2.25 2.08
Over 2.5 2.38
Over 2.75 2.65
Over 3.0 3.44
Over 3.25 3.78
Over 3.5 4.15
Over 3.75 5.14
Over 4.0 7.30
Over 4.25 7.65
Over 4.5 8.00
Over 5.5 15.00
Over 6.5 50.00
Under 0.5 6.95
Under 0.75 6.34
Under 1.0 5.70
Under 1.25 3.42
Under 1.5 2.61
Under 1.75 2.34
Under 2.0 2.01
Under 2.25 1.82
Under 2.5 1.64
Under 2.75 1.40
Under 3.0 1.25
Under 3.25 1.20
Under 3.5 1.16
Under 3.75 1.10
Under 4.0 1.03
Under 4.25 1.02
Under 4.5 1.02
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.60
Draw 3.55
Home 1.67
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.50
Draw 2.05
Home 2.18
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.10
Draw 2.38
Home 2.07
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.07
Over 1.5 1.42
Over 1.75 1.54
Over 2.0 1.74
Over 2.25 2.02
Over 2.5 2.32
Over 2.75 2.75
Over 3.5 4.30
Under 0.5 6.25
Under 1.5 2.60
Under 1.75 2.28
Under 2.0 1.95
Under 2.25 1.67
Under 2.5 1.52
Under 2.75 1.38
Under 3.5 1.17