03.05.2026 17:00
El-Gazel Stadium
Referee: T. Magdy
Ghazl El Mehalla
Match Timeline
Ismaily SC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
27'
M. Toure ↔ M. Abdelsalam
Ghazl El Mehalla
🔄
34'
A. Ayman ↔ A. Mohamed
Ismaily SC
🔄
35'
A. El Said ↔ I. El Nagaawy
Ismaily SC
🟨
41'
Nader Farag
Ismaily SC
🟨
45+5'
Abdel Karim Mostafa
Ismaily SC
🔄
46'
J. Mwanga ↔ Y. El Azab
Ghazl El Mehalla
🔄
56'
M. Ashraf ↔ A. Ineza
Ghazl El Mehalla
🔄
56'
A. Katkot ↔ M. Samir
Ismaily SC
🔄
78'
A. El Malawany ↔ A. El Dah
Ismaily SC
🟨
90+2'
Abdelrahim Amoory
Ghazl El Mehalla
🟨
90'
Yehia Zakaria
Ghazl El Mehalla
🔄
90'
A. Etman ↔ A. Magdy
Ghazl El Mehalla

Ghazl El Mehalla vs Ismaily SC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 87.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.3%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
87.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.9%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Ghazl El Mehalla Win 56.3%
Draw 19%
Ismaily SC Win 24.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ghazl El Mehalla0.93
Ismaily SC0.58
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla
WWDLW
20 GF / 20 GA
Ismaily SC Ismaily SC
WLDWL
13 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
0.74
Average Goals Scored
0.48
0.74
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
11
BTTS Yes
8
6
Over 2.5
7
2.3
Shots on Goal
2.52

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 27 matches
Ismaily SC Ismaily SC 27 matches
Ghazl El Mehalla Statistic Ismaily SC
4 Wins 4
18 Draws 5
5 Losses 18
20 Goals For 13
20 Goals Against 33
0.74 Avg Goals Scored 0.48
0.74 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22
11 BTTS Yes 8
13 Over 1.5 14
6 Over 2.5 7
4 Over 3.5 1
15 Clean Sheets 5
13 Failed To Score 17
2.3 Shots On Goal 2.52
8.44 Total Shots 7.52
3.33 Corners 3.96
46.3% Ball Possession 46%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Ghazl El Mehalla's more proactive style and Ismaily SC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Ismaily SC. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Ismaily SC arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Ghazl El Mehalla arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 14 with 30 points compared to Ismaily SC in 21 on 17, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Ghazl El Mehalla Analysis

With 30 points from 7 games and a place of 14, Ghazl El Mehalla still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 5 draws, and 0 defeats, and the 8:5 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Shousha (5 goals), M. Salah (4 goals), Abdelrahim Amoory (2 goals), with creative support from K. Saidi (3 assists), R. Arfaoui (2 assists), A. Shousha (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Ismaily SC Analysis

Ismaily SC sit 21 with 17 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats with a 2:5 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Mohamed Ammar (3 goals), A. Mohamed (2 goals), A. Mostafa (2 goals), with creative support from Eric Traore (2 assists), A. Mostafa (1 assists), M. Hamdi (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Ghazl El Mehalla won 2 times, Ismaily SC won 2 times, while 10 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:16 from Ghazl El Mehalla's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81%)
Predicted formations: Ghazl El Mehalla 4-2-3-1 / Ismaily SC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Ghazl El Mehalla wins 2, draws 10, Ismaily SC wins 2

Standings

Premier League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 13 4 3 32:13 19 43
L W W W W
2 20 13 4 3 33:15 18 43
W W L W W
3 20 11 7 2 33:19 14 40
L W D W W
4 20 11 5 4 29:16 13 38
D D D L W
5 20 8 8 4 29:20 9 32
L W L W D
6 20 8 7 5 21:13 8 31
W W L L L
7 20 7 9 4 20:16 4 30
W W W L D
8 20 7 8 5 23:20 3 29
D D W D L
9 20 7 8 5 21:16 5 29
W D L D D
10 20 6 10 4 16:15 1 28
W D W D L
11 20 5 11 4 18:14 4 26
L D L W D
12 20 5 10 5 21:23 -2 25
L D W D D
13 20 5 8 7 18:24 -6 23
L L D L D
14 20 5 7 8 14:24 -10 22
W W W D L
15 20 6 2 12 15:24 -9 20
L W L W W
16 20 2 13 5 12:15 -3 19
D L L D L
17 20 3 9 8 13:21 -8 18
L D D W L
18 20 4 5 11 15:29 -14 17
L L W L D
19 20 4 4 12 22:37 -15 16
L W D D L
20 20 2 9 9 8:22 -14 15
D L L D D
21 20 3 2 15 11:28 -17 11
L L D L L
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
Premier League (Relegation Group)