12.03.2026 20:00
Cegeka Arena
Referee: Chris Kavanagh, England
Genk
Match Timeline
SC Freiburg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
10'
Johan Manzambi
SC Freiburg
⚽
24'
Z. El Ouahdi · Assist: B. Heynen
Genk
🔄
63'
V. Grifo ↔ D. Scherhant
SC Freiburg
🔄
63'
J. Beste ↔ C. Irie
SC Freiburg
🔄
71'
Y. Suzuki ↔ L. Holer
SC Freiburg
🟨
74'
Zakaria El Ouahdi
Genk
🔄
77'
N. Adedeji-Sternberg ↔ Y. Sor
Genk
🔄
77'
J. Kongolo ↔ M. Sadick
Genk
🔄
77'
J. Kayembe ↔ Y. Medina
Genk
🟨
80'
Bruno Ogbus
SC Freiburg
🔄
83'
A. Bibout ↔ R. Mirisola
Genk

Genk vs SC Freiburg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Genk Win 0%
Draw 0%
SC Freiburg Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Genk1.5
SC Freiburg1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Genk Genk
WWDLW
63 GF / 56 GA
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
WLDWL
47 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1.58
Average Goals Scored
1.42
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.39
28
BTTS Yes
18
25
Over 2.5
18
5.78
Shots on Goal
4.45

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Genk Genk 40 matches
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 33 matches
Genk Statistic SC Freiburg
17 Wins 14
10 Draws 9
13 Losses 10
63 Goals For 47
56 Goals Against 46
1.58 Avg Goals Scored 1.42
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.39
28 BTTS Yes 18
33 Over 1.5 25
25 Over 2.5 18
9 Over 3.5 10
6 Clean Sheets 9
7 Failed To Score 9
5.78 Shots On Goal 4.45
15.15 Total Shots 13.03
5.23 Corners 4.64
58.1% Ball Possession 47.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Genk won 1 times, SC Freiburg won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:5 from Genk's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Genk 4-1-4-1 / SC Freiburg 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Genk wins 1, draws 0, SC Freiburg wins 1

Standings

UEFA Europa League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 0 1 18:5 13 21
W W W W L
2 8 7 0 1 14:6 8 21
W W W W W
3 8 6 1 1 18:8 10 19
W D W L W
4 8 5 2 1 13:7 6 17
W L W W W
5 8 5 2 1 13:7 6 17
W D W W D
6 8 5 2 1 11:5 6 17
D W W D L
7 8 5 2 1 10:4 6 17
L W W D W
8 8 5 1 2 13:6 7 16
D W W W W
9
Genk Home
8 5 1 2 11:7 4 16
W W L W W
10 8 4 3 1 14:7 7 15
W D W W D
11 8 5 0 3 15:9 6 15
W L W W W
12 8 4 3 1 12:11 1 15
L D W D W
13 8 4 2 2 15:7 8 14
W L W W D
14 8 3 5 0 8:3 5 14
W D D D D
15 8 4 2 2 7:6 1 14
D W W W W
16 8 4 1 3 15:11 4 13
D W L L W
17 8 3 3 2 17:14 3 12
L W D D W
18 8 4 0 4 12:9 3 12
W L L W L
19 8 3 3 2 10:7 3 12
D L W D D
20 8 3 3 2 11:9 2 12
D D D W W
21 8 3 2 3 13:15 -2 11
W D L W L
22 8 3 1 4 12:15 -3 10
W L D W L
23 8 3 1 4 12:16 -4 10
L W L L L
24 8 2 3 3 9:11 -2 9
L D L D D
25 8 3 0 5 10:16 -6 9
L L W L L
26 8 2 1 5 5:11 -6 7
W L L L D
27 8 2 1 5 9:16 -7 7
D L W L L
28 8 2 1 5 6:14 -8 7
D L L L L
29 8 2 0 6 11:15 -4 6
L W L L L
30 8 2 0 6 9:13 -4 6
L L L L W
31 8 2 0 6 10:15 -5 6
L W L L W
32 8 1 1 6 5:14 -9 4
L W L D L
33 8 1 0 7 7:15 -8 3
L W L L L
34 8 0 1 7 5:15 -10 1
L L L L D
35 8 0 1 7 4:15 -11 1
L L L L L
36 8 0 1 7 2:22 -20 1
L L L L L
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)