BELGIUM JUPILER PRO LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Cegeka Arena
Referee: Simon Bourdeaud'hui, Belgium
Genk
Match Timeline
KVC Westerlo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
20'
Joris Kayembe
Genk
🔄
33'
K. Karetsas ↔ N. Adedeji-Sternberg
Genk
🔄
45'
D. Heymans ↔ R. Mirisola
Genk
🟨
51'
Nacho Ferri
KVC Westerlo
64'
A. Bibout · Assist: J. Ito
Genk
🟨
67'
Bryan Reynolds
KVC Westerlo
69'
R. Mirisola
Genk
🔄
74'
I. Sakamoto ↔ A. Patrao
KVC Westerlo
🔄
74'
A. Sayyadmanesh ↔ S. Saito
KVC Westerlo
84'
J. Ito · Assist: N. Adedeji-Sternberg
Genk
🔄
87'
Nacho ↔ F. Goure
KVC Westerlo
🔄
87'
J. Alcocer ↔ N. Bohamdi-Kamoni
KVC Westerlo
🔄
88'
B. Heynen ↔ N. Sattlberger
Genk
🔄
88'
I. Bangoura ↔ A. De Wannemacker
Genk
🔄
88'
J. Ito ↔ A. Yokoyama
Genk

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 56.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
56.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Genk Win 38.3%
Draw 5.4%
KVC Westerlo Win 56.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Genk1.48
KVC Westerlo1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Genk Genk
WWDLW
77 GF / 72 GA
KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo
WLDWL
48 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
1.54
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
1.39
34
BTTS Yes
15
29
Over 2.5
15
5.62
Shots on Goal
4.72

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Genk Genk 50 matches
KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo 36 matches
Genk Statistic KVC Westerlo
21 Wins 13
14 Draws 10
15 Losses 13
77 Goals For 48
72 Goals Against 50
1.54 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 1.39
34 BTTS Yes 15
40 Over 1.5 28
29 Over 2.5 15
11 Over 3.5 9
9 Clean Sheets 13
9 Failed To Score 12
5.62 Shots On Goal 4.72
15.26 Total Shots 14.28
5.32 Corners 5.11
56.6% Ball Possession 48.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward KVC Westerlo. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Genk Analysis

Placed 2 with 30 points from 36 outings, Genk continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 12 draws, and 11 losses, while the 52:53 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on D. Heymans (10 goals), Z. El Ouahdi (8 goals), Oh Hyeon-Gyu (6 goals), with creative support from K. Karetsas (10 assists), J. Steuckers (6 assists), D. Heymans (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

KVC Westerlo Analysis

KVC Westerlo arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 30 points after 36 matches. The record of 13 wins, 10 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 48:50 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Nacho (11 goals), A. Sayyadmanesh (7 goals), E. Bayram (6 goals), with creative support from I. Sakamoto (4 assists), J. Alcocer (4 assists), Doğucan Haspolat (4 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Genk won 10 times, KVC Westerlo won 0 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 32:13 from Genk's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.6%)
Predicted formations: Genk 4-2-3-1 / KVC Westerlo 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Genk wins 10, draws 5, KVC Westerlo wins 0
Stats
Genk Genk
KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
4
6 Corner Kicks 3
12 Fouls 9
7 Offsides 1
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Goal 4
7 Shots off Goal 7
4 Blocked Shots 4
10 Shots insidebox 11
5 Shots outsidebox 4
4 Goalkeeper Saves 1
384 Total passes 390
320 Passes accurate 322
1.23 expected_goals 1.81
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Genk
Formation
KVC Westerlo
L. Brughmans
L. Brughmans
Z. El Ouahdi
Z. El Ouahdi
M. Smets
M. Smets
J. Kongolo
J. Kongolo
J. Kayembe
J. Kayembe
I. Bangoura
I. Bangoura
B. Heynen
B. Heynen
K. Karetsas
K. Karetsas
D. Heymans
D. Heymans
J. Ito
🎯
J. Ito
A. Bibout
A. Bibout
A. Jungdal
A. Jungdal
B. Reynolds
B. Reynolds
E. Bayram
E. Bayram
S. Kimura
S. Kimura
L. Mbamba-Muanda
L. Mbamba-Muanda
D. Haspolat
D. Haspolat
A. Piedfort
A. Piedfort
A. Sayyadmanesh
A. Sayyadmanesh
I. Sakamoto
I. Sakamoto
J. Alcocer
J. Alcocer
Nacho
Nacho
Genk 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
28
L. Brughmans
G
77
Z. El Ouahdi
D
6
M. Smets
D
44
J. Kongolo
D
18
J. Kayembe
🟨 20'
D
21
I. Bangoura
↓ 88'
M
8
B. Heynen
↓ 88'
M
20
K. Karetsas
↓ 33'
M
38
D. Heymans
↓ 45'
M
10
J. Ito
⚽ 84' 🎯 64' ↓ 88'
M
23
A. Bibout
⚽ 64'
F
Substitutes
1
H. Van Crombrugge
G
14
Y. Sor
F
24
N. Sattlberger
↑ 88'
M
29
R. Mirisola
⚽ 69' ↑ 45'
F
32
N. Adedeji-Sternberg
🎯 84' ↑ 33'
F
56
A. De Wannemacker
↑ 88'
M
7
J. Steuckers
F
30
A. Yokoyama
↑ 88'
F
34
A. Palacios
D
KVC Westerlo 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
99
A. Jungdal
G
22
B. Reynolds
🟨 67'
D
40
E. Bayram
D
5
S. Kimura
D
23
L. Mbamba-Muanda
D
34
D. Haspolat
M
46
A. Piedfort
M
7
A. Sayyadmanesh
↓ 74'
M
13
I. Sakamoto
↓ 74'
M
77
J. Alcocer
↓ 87'
M
90
Nacho
↓ 87' 🟨 51'
F
Substitutes
30
K. Van Langendonck
G
33
R. Neustadter
D
8
S. Sydorchuk
M
39
T. Van den Keybus
M
29
F. Goure
↑ 87'
F
4
A. Lapage
D
10
A. Patrao
↑ 74'
F
38
S. Saito
↑ 74'
F
11
N. Bohamdi-Kamoni
↑ 87'
Last matches: Genk
22.07.26
Fri
Genk
AZ Alkmaar
0
4
L
18.07.26
Fri
Genk
Falkirk
0
1
L
17.07.26
Fri
Genk
Motherwell
4
3
W
11.07.26
Fri
Genk
Fortuna Sittard
1
2
L
08.07.26
Fri
Genk
SK Beveren
2
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Genk
Eendracht Termien
5
1
W
31.05.26
Jup
Genk
Gent
0
0
D
23.05.26
Jup
Genk
OH Leuven
2
0
W
19.05.26
Jup
Genk
Antwerp
0
0
D
16.05.26
Jup
Genk
Standard Liege
0
0
D
02.05.26
Jup
Genk
Charleroi
0
2
L
25.04.26
Jup
Genk
Standard Liege
1
1
D
21.04.26
Jup
Genk
Charleroi
1
1
D
18.04.26
Jup
Genk
KVC Westerlo
2
1
W
12.04.26
Jup
Genk
OH Leuven
0
0
D
03.04.26
Jup
Genk
Antwerp
2
1
W
22.03.26
Jup
Genk
RAAL La Louvière
5
5
D
19.03.26
UEF
Genk
SC Freiburg
1
5
L
15.03.26
Jup
Genk
St. Truiden
1
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
Genk
SC Freiburg
1
0
W
Last matches: KVC Westerlo
22.07.26
Fri
KVC Westerlo
Al-Fayha
0
0
D
18.07.26
Fri
KVC Westerlo
Beerschot VA
0
2
L
12.07.26
Fri
KVC Westerlo
Helmond Sport
2
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
KVC Westerlo
PAOK
0
4
L
23.05.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Antwerp
0
2
L
19.05.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Standard Liege
1
2
L
16.05.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Charleroi
1
0
W
02.05.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
OH Leuven
3
3
D
25.04.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Antwerp
2
4
L
21.04.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
OH Leuven
2
0
W
18.04.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Genk
1
2
L
11.04.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Standard Liege
2
1
W
05.04.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Charleroi
2
0
W
22.03.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Standard Liege
0
0
D
14.03.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Club Brugge KV
1
2
L
07.03.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
OH Leuven
1
0
W
01.03.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Union St. Gilloise
0
0
D
22.02.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Charleroi
2
1
W
15.02.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Antwerp
2
0
W
06.02.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
St. Truiden
0
4
L
H2H: Genk vs KVC Westerlo
10.05.26
H2H
Genk
KVC Westerlo
3
0
W
18.04.26
H2H
KVC Westerlo
Genk
1
2
W
14.12.25
H2H
Genk
KVC Westerlo
1
1
D
02.11.25
H2H
KVC Westerlo
Genk
0
1
W
25.01.25
H2H
KVC Westerlo
Genk
1
2
W
30.08.24
H2H
Genk
KVC Westerlo
1
0
W
17.03.24
H2H
KVC Westerlo
Genk
1
1
D
01.10.23
H2H
Genk
KVC Westerlo
3
3
D
17.01.23
H2H
KVC Westerlo
Genk
2
3
W
09.11.22
H2H
KVC Westerlo
Genk
0
1
W
18.10.22
H2H
Genk
KVC Westerlo
6
1
W
24.08.20
H2H
Genk
KVC Westerlo
2
2
D
12.03.17
H2H
KVC Westerlo
Genk
0
4
W
29.10.16
H2H
Genk
KVC Westerlo
2
1
W
11.12.15
H2H
KVC Westerlo
Genk
0
0
D
Last matches: Genk
08.07.26
Fri
Genk
SK Beveren
2
1
W
19.05.26
Jup
Genk
Antwerp
0
0
D
25.04.26
Jup
Genk
Standard Liege
1
1
D
21.04.26
Jup
Genk
Charleroi
1
1
D
12.04.26
Jup
Genk
OH Leuven
0
0
D
15.03.26
Jup
Genk
St. Truiden
1
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
Genk
SC Freiburg
1
0
W
01.03.26
Jup
Genk
Gent
3
0
W
26.02.26
UEF
Genk
Dinamo Zagreb
3
3
D
22.02.26
Jup
Genk
Standard Liege
0
3
L
08.02.26
Jup
Genk
Anderlecht
2
0
W
29.01.26
UEF
Genk
Malmo FF
2
1
W
25.01.26
Jup
Genk
Cercle Brugge
1
1
D
09.01.26
Fri
Genk
Diosgyori VTK
3
4
L
26.12.25
Jup
Genk
Club Brugge KV
3
5
L
14.12.25
Jup
Genk
KVC Westerlo
1
1
D
30.11.25
Jup
Genk
OH Leuven
2
1
W
27.11.25
UEF
Genk
FC Basel 1893
2
1
W
23.11.25
Jup
Genk
KV Mechelen
0
1
L
26.10.25
Jup
Genk
RAAL La Louvière
1
1
D
H2H at home: Genk
10.05.26
H2H
Genk
KVC Westerlo
3
0
W
14.12.25
H2H
Genk
KVC Westerlo
1
1
D
30.08.24
H2H
Genk
KVC Westerlo
1
0
W
01.10.23
H2H
Genk
KVC Westerlo
3
3
D
18.10.22
H2H
Genk
KVC Westerlo
6
1
W
24.08.20
H2H
Genk
KVC Westerlo
2
2
D
29.10.16
H2H
Genk
KVC Westerlo
2
1
W
Last matches: KVC Westerlo
12.07.26
Fri
KVC Westerlo
Helmond Sport
2
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
KVC Westerlo
PAOK
0
4
L
23.05.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Antwerp
0
2
L
16.05.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Charleroi
1
0
W
21.04.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
OH Leuven
2
0
W
11.04.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Standard Liege
2
1
W
22.03.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Standard Liege
0
0
D
07.03.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
OH Leuven
1
0
W
15.02.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Antwerp
2
0
W
31.01.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Zulte Waregem
1
0
W
25.01.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
KV Mechelen
1
1
D
09.01.26
Fri
KVC Westerlo
Kasımpaşa
0
2
L
09.01.26
Fri
KVC Westerlo
Başakşehir
1
1
D
27.12.25
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Gent
0
2
L
14.12.25
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Genk
1
1
D
29.11.25
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Dender
2
2
D
08.11.25
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Charleroi
0
2
L
18.10.25
Jup
KVC Westerlo
RAAL La Louvière
0
0
D
27.09.25
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Union St. Gilloise
0
2
L
24.09.25
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Club Brugge KV
5
5
D
H2H away: KVC Westerlo
10.05.26
H2H
Genk
KVC Westerlo
3
0
L
14.12.25
H2H
Genk
KVC Westerlo
1
1
D
30.08.24
H2H
Genk
KVC Westerlo
1
0
L
01.10.23
H2H
Genk
KVC Westerlo
3
3
D
18.10.22
H2H
Genk
KVC Westerlo
6
1
L
24.08.20
H2H
Genk
KVC Westerlo
2
2
D
29.10.16
H2H
Genk
KVC Westerlo
2
1
L

Standings

Pro League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 9 2 50:17 33 66
W D L W L
2 30 20 3 7 59:36 23 63
W D W W W
3 30 18 3 9 47:35 12 57
W L D L W
4 30 13 6 11 49:43 6 45
W L D D D
5 30 12 9 9 39:37 2 45
L D D L W
6 30 12 8 10 43:39 4 44
L W D D L
7
Genk Home
30 11 9 10 46:47 -1 42
L W D D W
8 30 11 7 12 27:35 -8 40
L W D W W
9 30 10 9 11 36:40 -4 39
L L W L D
10 30 9 8 13 31:32 -1 35
W D L L L
11 30 9 7 14 38:42 -4 34
W D L W W
12 30 9 7 14 32:43 -11 34
L D W L D
13 30 8 8 14 38:47 -9 32
W W W W W
14 30 7 10 13 39:47 -8 31
L L W W W
15 30 6 13 11 30:37 -7 31
W L L L L
16 30 3 10 17 24:51 -27 19
D L L W L
Championship round
Qualifying round
Relegation Round