Genk vs Charleroi Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
62.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
74.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
71.5%
|
- |
Genk
Charleroi
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Genk
47 matches
Charleroi
35 matches
| Genk | Statistic | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wins | 10 |
| 12 | Draws | 8 |
| 14 | Losses | 17 |
| 75 | Goals For | 42 |
| 68 | Goals Against | 49 |
| 1.6 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.2 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.4 |
| 32 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 37 | Over 1.5 | 27 |
| 29 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 5.62 | Shots On Goal | 4.17 |
| 14.91 | Total Shots | 12.23 |
| 5.04 | Corners | 5.29 |
| 56.5% | Ball Possession | 46.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Charleroi. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Genk expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Charleroi in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Charleroi having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Charleroi arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Genk come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 28 points after 33 matches. The return of 13 wins, 10 draws, and 10 defeats, together with goals at 48:48, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through D. Heymans (10 goals), Z. El Ouahdi (8 goals), Oh Hyeon-Gyu (6 goals), with creative support from K. Karetsas (10 assists), J. Steuckers (6 assists), D. Heymans (4 assists), while their defending has remained quite vulnerable. At home, the split of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.
Charleroi sit 5 with 20 points after 33 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 7 draws, and 16 defeats, and the 40:45 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on P. Guiagon (8 goals), A. Bernier (5 goals), Y. Titraoui (4 goals), with creative support from P. Guiagon (5 assists), Etienne Camara (3 assists), Jakob Napoleon Romsaas (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Genk won 5 times, Charleroi won 3 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:21 from Genk's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 50:17 | 33 | 66 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 59:36 | 23 | 63 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 18 | 3 | 9 | 47:35 | 12 | 57 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 49:43 | 6 | 45 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 39:37 | 2 | 45 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 43:39 | 4 | 44 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 7 |
Genk
Home
|
30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 46:47 | -1 | 42 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
| 8 | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 27:35 | -8 | 40 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 36:40 | -4 | 39 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 |
Charleroi
Away
|
30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 38:42 | -4 | 34 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
| 12 | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 32:43 | -11 | 34 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 38:47 | -9 | 32 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39:47 | -8 | 31 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 31 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 24:51 | -27 | 19 |
D
L
L
W
L
|