BELGIUM JUPILER PRO LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Cegeka Arena
Referee: B. Van Driessche
Genk
Match Timeline
Antwerp
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
R. Mirisola ↔ J. Erabi
Genk
🔄
61'
G. Hairemans ↔ A. Valencia
Antwerp
🔄
61'
G. Vandeplas ↔ G. Kerk
Antwerp
🔄
71'
A. Yokoyama ↔ Y. Sor
Genk
🔄
71'
N. Sattlberger ↔ A. De Wannemacker
Genk
🔄
72'
T. Somers ↔ E. Tuypens
Antwerp
🔄
72'
D. Foulon ↔ S. Renders
Antwerp
🟨
75'
Yuto Tsunashima
Antwerp
🟨
78'
Eran Tuypens
Antwerp
🔄
81'
↔ M. Fofana
Antwerp
🔄
90'
M. Smets ↔ M. Sadick
Genk
🔄
90'
J. Ito ↔ J. Steuckers
Genk

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 33.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 35.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
33.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
35.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Genk Win 57.5%
Draw 9.2%
Antwerp Win 33.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Genk1.43
Antwerp1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Genk Genk
WWDLW
80 GF / 72 GA
Antwerp Antwerp
WLDWL
41 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
1.54
Average Goals Scored
1.08
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
34
BTTS Yes
17
30
Over 2.5
16
5.58
Shots on Goal
4.21

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Genk Genk 52 matches
Antwerp Antwerp 38 matches
Genk Statistic Antwerp
22 Wins 12
15 Draws 8
15 Losses 18
80 Goals For 41
72 Goals Against 48
1.54 Avg Goals Scored 1.08
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
34 BTTS Yes 17
41 Over 1.5 28
30 Over 2.5 16
11 Over 3.5 6
11 Clean Sheets 8
10 Failed To Score 15
5.58 Shots On Goal 4.21
15.38 Total Shots 11.95
5.31 Corners 4.66
56.3% Ball Possession 49.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Genk's more proactive style and Antwerp's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Antwerp. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Genk expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Antwerp in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Antwerp having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Antwerp arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Genk Analysis

Placed 1 with 34 points from 38 outings, Genk continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 14 wins, 13 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 55:53 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by D. Heymans (10 goals), Z. El Ouahdi (8 goals), A. Bibout (6 goals), with creative support from K. Karetsas (10 assists), J. Steuckers (6 assists), J. Ito (5 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Antwerp Analysis

Antwerp sit 5 with 27 points after 38 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 12 wins, 8 draws, and 18 defeats, and the 41:48 goal record continues to suggest mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Vincent Janssen (10 goals), Christopher Scott (6 goals), A. Valencia (4 goals), with creative support from Vincent Janssen (7 assists), Gyrano Kerk (4 assists), D. Foulon (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Genk won 5 times, Antwerp won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:17 from Genk's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.8%)
Predicted formations: Genk 4-2-3-1 / Antwerp 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Genk wins 5, draws 5, Antwerp wins 5
Stats
Genk Genk
Antwerp Antwerp
Shots on Goal
13
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
13
Blocked Shots
5
11 Corner Kicks 3
8 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 1
62% Ball Possession 38%
34 Total Shots 13
13 Shots on Goal 1
8 Shots off Goal 7
13 Blocked Shots 5
22 Shots insidebox 8
12 Shots outsidebox 5
1 Goalkeeper Saves 12
573 Total passes 359
490 Passes accurate 281
2.67 expected_goals 0.68
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Genk
Formation
Antwerp
L. Brughmans
L. Brughmans
Z. El Ouahdi
Z. El Ouahdi
M. Smets
M. Smets
J. Kongolo
J. Kongolo
J. Kayembe
J. Kayembe
N. Sattlberger
N. Sattlberger
B. Heynen
B. Heynen
J. Ito
J. Ito
R. Mirisola
R. Mirisola
A. Yokoyama
A. Yokoyama
A. Bibout
A. Bibout
T. Nozawa
T. Nozawa
Y. Tsunashima
Y. Tsunashima
J. Ahoka
J. Ahoka
R. Van Helden
R. Van Helden
T. Somers
T. Somers
M. Benitez
M. Benitez
X. Dierckx
X. Dierckx
D. Foulon
D. Foulon
G. Hairemans
G. Hairemans
C. Scott
C. Scott
G. Vandeplas
G. Vandeplas
Genk 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
28
L. Brughmans
G
77
Z. El Ouahdi
D
6
M. Smets
↓ 90'
D
44
J. Kongolo
D
18
J. Kayembe
D
24
N. Sattlberger
↓ 71'
M
8
B. Heynen
M
10
J. Ito
↓ 90'
M
29
R. Mirisola
↓ 46'
M
30
A. Yokoyama
↓ 71'
M
23
A. Bibout
F
Substitutes
26
T. Lawal
G
27
K. Nkuba
D
14
Y. Sor
↑ 71'
F
56
A. De Wannemacker
↑ 71'
M
3
M. Sadick
↑ 90'
D
99
J. Erabi
↑ 46'
F
7
J. Steuckers
↑ 90'
F
34
A. Palacios
D
19
Y. Medina
D
Antwerp 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
41
T. Nozawa
G
4
Y. Tsunashima
🟨 75'
D
6
J. Ahoka
D
20
R. Van Helden
D
24
T. Somers
↓ 72'
M
16
M. Benitez
M
78
X. Dierckx
M
5
D. Foulon
↓ 72'
M
11
G. Hairemans
↓ 61'
F
30
C. Scott
F
79
G. Vandeplas
↓ 61'
F
Substitutes
15
Y. Thoelen
G
14
A. Valencia
↑ 61'
F
7
G. Kerk
↑ 61'
F
56
E. Tuypens
↑ 72'
17
S. Renders
↑ 72'
D
22
F. Adekami
M
82
L. Van Gelder
M
70
L. Schelfhout
D
58
M. Fofana
↑ 81'
M
Last matches: Genk
31.05.26
Jup
Genk
Gent
0
0
D
23.05.26
Jup
Genk
OH Leuven
2
0
W
16.05.26
Jup
Genk
Standard Liege
0
0
D
10.05.26
Jup
Genk
KVC Westerlo
3
0
W
02.05.26
Jup
Genk
Charleroi
0
2
L
25.04.26
Jup
Genk
Standard Liege
1
1
D
21.04.26
Jup
Genk
Charleroi
1
1
D
18.04.26
Jup
Genk
KVC Westerlo
2
1
W
12.04.26
Jup
Genk
OH Leuven
0
0
D
03.04.26
Jup
Genk
Antwerp
2
1
W
22.03.26
Jup
Genk
RAAL La Louvière
5
5
D
19.03.26
UEF
Genk
SC Freiburg
1
5
L
15.03.26
Jup
Genk
St. Truiden
1
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
Genk
SC Freiburg
1
0
W
07.03.26
Jup
Genk
Union St. Gilloise
1
2
L
01.03.26
Jup
Genk
Gent
3
0
W
26.02.26
UEF
Genk
Dinamo Zagreb
3
3
D
22.02.26
Jup
Genk
Standard Liege
0
3
L
19.02.26
UEF
Genk
Dinamo Zagreb
3
1
W
13.02.26
Jup
Genk
KV Mechelen
3
2
W
Last matches: Antwerp
23.05.26
Jup
Antwerp
KVC Westerlo
2
0
W
15.05.26
Jup
Antwerp
OH Leuven
0
3
L
10.05.26
Jup
Antwerp
Charleroi
0
1
L
03.05.26
Jup
Antwerp
Standard Liege
0
5
L
25.04.26
Jup
Antwerp
KVC Westerlo
4
2
W
21.04.26
Jup
Antwerp
Standard Liege
2
1
W
18.04.26
Jup
Antwerp
OH Leuven
2
0
W
10.04.26
Jup
Antwerp
Charleroi
1
2
L
03.04.26
Jup
Antwerp
Genk
1
2
L
22.03.26
Jup
Antwerp
OH Leuven
0
1
L
15.03.26
Jup
Antwerp
Standard Liege
1
1
D
06.03.26
Jup
Antwerp
RAAL La Louvière
0
0
D
28.02.26
Jup
Antwerp
St. Truiden
1
0
W
21.02.26
Jup
Antwerp
Union St. Gilloise
1
2
L
15.02.26
Jup
Antwerp
KVC Westerlo
0
2
L
08.02.26
Jup
Antwerp
KV Mechelen
0
2
L
31.01.26
Jup
Antwerp
Cercle Brugge
4
0
W
25.01.26
Jup
Antwerp
Charleroi
0
2
L
18.01.26
Jup
Antwerp
Dender
0
1
L
27.12.25
Jup
Antwerp
Zulte Waregem
2
1
W
H2H: Genk vs Antwerp
19.05.26
H2H
Genk
Antwerp
0
0
D
03.04.26
H2H
Antwerp
Genk
1
2
W
07.12.25
H2H
Antwerp
Genk
3
0
L
03.08.25
H2H
Genk
Antwerp
1
1
D
27.04.25
H2H
Genk
Antwerp
0
1
L
23.04.25
H2H
Antwerp
Genk
1
1
D
26.12.24
H2H
Antwerp
Genk
2
2
D
03.11.24
H2H
Genk
Antwerp
2
0
W
20.05.24
H2H
Genk
Antwerp
1
0
W
06.04.24
H2H
Antwerp
Genk
0
1
W
26.12.23
H2H
Genk
Antwerp
3
0
W
04.11.23
H2H
Antwerp
Genk
3
2
L
04.06.23
H2H
Genk
Antwerp
2
2
D
07.05.23
H2H
Antwerp
Genk
2
1
L
12.02.23
H2H
Genk
Antwerp
0
1
L
Last matches: Genk
10.05.26
Jup
Genk
KVC Westerlo
3
0
W
25.04.26
Jup
Genk
Standard Liege
1
1
D
21.04.26
Jup
Genk
Charleroi
1
1
D
12.04.26
Jup
Genk
OH Leuven
0
0
D
15.03.26
Jup
Genk
St. Truiden
1
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
Genk
SC Freiburg
1
0
W
01.03.26
Jup
Genk
Gent
3
0
W
26.02.26
UEF
Genk
Dinamo Zagreb
3
3
D
22.02.26
Jup
Genk
Standard Liege
0
3
L
08.02.26
Jup
Genk
Anderlecht
2
0
W
29.01.26
UEF
Genk
Malmo FF
2
1
W
25.01.26
Jup
Genk
Cercle Brugge
1
1
D
09.01.26
Fri
Genk
Diosgyori VTK
3
4
L
26.12.25
Jup
Genk
Club Brugge KV
3
5
L
14.12.25
Jup
Genk
KVC Westerlo
1
1
D
30.11.25
Jup
Genk
OH Leuven
2
1
W
27.11.25
UEF
Genk
FC Basel 1893
2
1
W
23.11.25
Jup
Genk
KV Mechelen
0
1
L
26.10.25
Jup
Genk
RAAL La Louvière
1
1
D
23.10.25
UEF
Genk
Real Betis
0
0
D
H2H at home: Genk
19.05.26
H2H
Genk
Antwerp
0
0
D
03.08.25
H2H
Genk
Antwerp
1
1
D
27.04.25
H2H
Genk
Antwerp
0
1
L
03.11.24
H2H
Genk
Antwerp
2
0
W
20.05.24
H2H
Genk
Antwerp
1
0
W
26.12.23
H2H
Genk
Antwerp
3
0
W
04.06.23
H2H
Genk
Antwerp
2
2
D
12.02.23
H2H
Genk
Antwerp
0
1
L
Last matches: Antwerp
15.05.26
Jup
Antwerp
OH Leuven
0
3
L
25.04.26
Jup
Antwerp
KVC Westerlo
4
2
W
21.04.26
Jup
Antwerp
Standard Liege
2
1
W
10.04.26
Jup
Antwerp
Charleroi
1
2
L
22.03.26
Jup
Antwerp
OH Leuven
0
1
L
06.03.26
Jup
Antwerp
RAAL La Louvière
0
0
D
21.02.26
Jup
Antwerp
Union St. Gilloise
1
2
L
08.02.26
Jup
Antwerp
KV Mechelen
0
2
L
31.01.26
Jup
Antwerp
Cercle Brugge
4
0
W
18.01.26
Jup
Antwerp
Dender
0
1
L
14.12.25
Jup
Antwerp
Gent
2
0
W
30.11.25
Jup
Antwerp
Club Brugge KV
1
0
W
02.11.25
Jup
Antwerp
St. Truiden
0
1
L
20.10.25
Jup
Antwerp
Standard Liege
0
1
L
27.09.25
Jup
Antwerp
Zulte Waregem
0
2
L
20.09.25
Jup
Antwerp
Anderlecht
0
0
D
30.08.25
Jup
Antwerp
KVC Westerlo
0
2
L
17.08.25
Jup
Antwerp
Charleroi
1
1
D
03.08.25
Jup
Antwerp
Genk
1
1
D
H2H away: Antwerp
19.05.26
H2H
Genk
Antwerp
0
0
D
03.08.25
H2H
Genk
Antwerp
1
1
D
27.04.25
H2H
Genk
Antwerp
0
1
W
03.11.24
H2H
Genk
Antwerp
2
0
L
20.05.24
H2H
Genk
Antwerp
1
0
L
26.12.23
H2H
Genk
Antwerp
3
0
L
04.06.23
H2H
Genk
Antwerp
2
2
D
12.02.23
H2H
Genk
Antwerp
0
1
W

Standings

Pro League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 9 2 50:17 33 66
W D L W L
2 30 20 3 7 59:36 23 63
W D W W W
3 30 18 3 9 47:35 12 57
W L D L W
4 30 13 6 11 49:43 6 45
W L D D D
5 30 12 9 9 39:37 2 45
L D D L W
6 30 12 8 10 43:39 4 44
L W D D L
7
Genk Home
30 11 9 10 46:47 -1 42
L W D D W
8 30 11 7 12 27:35 -8 40
L W D W W
9 30 10 9 11 36:40 -4 39
L L W L D
10 30 9 8 13 31:32 -1 35
W D L L L
11 30 9 7 14 38:42 -4 34
W D L W W
12 30 9 7 14 32:43 -11 34
L D W L D
13 30 8 8 14 38:47 -9 32
W W W W W
14 30 7 10 13 39:47 -8 31
L L W W W
15 30 6 13 11 30:37 -7 31
W L L L L
16 30 3 10 17 24:51 -27 19
D L L W L
Championship round
Qualifying round
Relegation Round