TURKEY SüPER LIG
16.05.2026 17:00
Gaziantep Stadyumu
Referee: O. F. Gultekin
Gaziantep FK
Match Timeline
Başakşehir
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
D. Selke · Assist: A. Fayzullaev
Başakşehir
22'
E. Shomurodov
Başakşehir
🔄
26'
D. Selke ↔ N. Da Costa
Başakşehir
🟨
52'
Nazım Sangaré
Gaziantep FK
59'
C. Lungoyi · Assist: D. Sorescu
Gaziantep FK
🔄
60'
A. Harit ↔ I. Brnic
Başakşehir
🔄
60'
M. Crespo ↔ O. Ergun
Başakşehir
🟨
65'
Kazımcan Karataş
Başakşehir
🟨
75'
Deian Sorescu
Gaziantep FK
🔄
80'
V. Gidado ↔ O. Ozcicek
Gaziantep FK
🔄
80'
C. Lungoyi ↔ A. O. Kalin
Gaziantep FK
🔄
81'
A. Fayzullaev ↔ H. Gureler
Başakşehir
🔄
81'
O. Sahiner ↔ O. Bulut
Başakşehir
🔄
86'
N. Mujakic ↔ M. Kabasakal
Gaziantep FK
🟨
90+4'
Alexandru Maxim
Gaziantep FK
🟨
90+1'
Muhammed Şengezer
Başakşehir

Gaziantep FK vs Başakşehir Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 12.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
12.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Gaziantep FK Win 31.3%
Draw 15.2%
Başakşehir Win 53.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gaziantep FK1.18
Başakşehir1.71
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK
WWDLW
42 GF / 56 GA
Başakşehir Başakşehir
WLDWL
67 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1.72
1.7
Average Goals Conceded
1.05
20
BTTS Yes
22
22
Over 2.5
24
4.42
Shots on Goal
4.54

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 33 matches
Başakşehir Başakşehir 39 matches
Gaziantep FK Statistic Başakşehir
9 Wins 18
10 Draws 10
14 Losses 11
42 Goals For 67
56 Goals Against 41
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.72
1.7 Avg Goals Conceded 1.05
20 BTTS Yes 22
30 Over 1.5 32
22 Over 2.5 24
9 Over 3.5 11
6 Clean Sheets 15
9 Failed To Score 6
4.42 Shots On Goal 4.54
13.18 Total Shots 12.9
5 Corners 4.64
49.7% Ball Possession 53.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Başakşehir's more proactive style and Gaziantep FK's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Başakşehir. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gaziantep FK expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Başakşehir in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Başakşehir having the stronger overall control. Gaziantep FK have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Gaziantep FK Analysis

Gaziantep FK sit 12 with 37 points after 33 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 9 wins, 10 draws, and 14 defeats with a 42:56 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Bayo (15 goals), Kacper Kozłowski (6 goals), Alexandru Maxim (5 goals), with creative support from Alexandru Maxim (7 assists), Drissa Camara (6 assists), M. Bayo (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Başakşehir Analysis

From their first 33 matches, Başakşehir have collected 54 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 15 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses, while the 56:34 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on E. Shomurodov (21 goals), D. Selke (9 goals), B. Yildirim (7 goals), with creative support from Yusuf Sarı (6 assists), E. Shomurodov (5 assists), Miguel Crespo (5 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Gaziantep FK won 4 times, Başakşehir won 10 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:29 from Gaziantep FK's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.9%)
Predicted formations: Gaziantep FK 3-4-2-1 / Başakşehir 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Gaziantep FK 4, Başakşehir 0
H2H summary: Gaziantep FK wins 4, draws 1, Başakşehir wins 10

Standings

Super Lig
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 5 5 77:30 47 77
L W L W W
2 34 21 11 2 77:37 40 74
D W W L D
3 34 20 9 5 61:39 22 69
L W D L D
4 34 17 9 8 59:40 19 60
D L W D L
5 34 16 9 9 58:35 23 57
W W L W D
6 34 14 13 7 42:32 10 55
L W D W D
7 34 13 12 9 46:45 1 51
W L W W W
8 34 10 11 13 46:52 -6 41
D L W L D
9 34 10 10 14 43:50 -7 40
L L L W W
10 34 9 10 15 26:38 -12 37
L L D L D
11 34 7 16 11 41:41 0 37
L W D L L
12 34 9 10 15 43:58 -15 37
L L L L W
13 34 8 11 15 33:49 -16 35
W L D L W
14 34 9 7 18 36:47 -11 34
W W L W L
15 34 8 9 17 33:48 -15 33
D W D W W
16 34 8 8 18 33:55 -22 32
W L D L L
17 34 6 12 16 27:62 -35 30
W L D W L
18 34 8 6 20 31:54 -23 30
W W W D L
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation