BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
GAS
Match Timeline
Nacional AM
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
63'
Caio Mancha
Nacional AM

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 91.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
91.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
GAS Win 8.4%
Draw 0%
Nacional AM Win 91.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
GAS0.83
Nacional AM1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
GAS GAS
WWDLW
5 GF / 11 GA
Nacional AM Nacional AM
WLDWL
10 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
0.71
Average Goals Scored
1.43
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
1
3
BTTS Yes
2
3
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

GAS GAS 7 matches
Nacional AM Nacional AM 7 matches
GAS Statistic Nacional AM
0 Wins 4
2 Draws 1
5 Losses 2
5 Goals For 10
11 Goals Against 7
0.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1
3 BTTS Yes 2
4 Over 1.5 4
3 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Nacional AM's more proactive style and GAS's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Nacional AM having the stronger overall control. Nacional AM carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 13 points while GAS sit 6 on 2, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Nacional AM. GAS have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

GAS Analysis

With 2 points from 7 games and a place of 6, GAS still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 5:11, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Vanilson (4 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Nacional AM Analysis

Placed 2 with 13 points from 7 outings, Nacional AM continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 10:7 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Anderson Alagoano (2 goals), Ryan Luka (2 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, GAS won 0 times, Nacional AM won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:7 from GAS's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: GAS wins 0, draws 0, Nacional AM wins 3
Last matches: GAS
14.06.26
Ser
GAS
Manaus FC
3
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
GAS
Sao Raimundo
0
4
L
16.05.26
Ser
GAS
Monte Roraima
2
3
L
10.05.26
Ser
GAS
Manauara
0
0
D
04.05.26
Ser
GAS
Manauara
1
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
GAS
Monte Roraima
0
0
D
19.04.26
Ser
GAS
Nacional AM
2
3
L
12.04.26
Ser
GAS
Sao Raimundo
0
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
GAS
Manaus FC
0
1
L
27.07.25
Ser
GAS
Águia de Marabá
1
1
D
19.07.25
Ser
GAS
Manauara
0
3
L
12.07.25
Ser
GAS
Trem
3
1
W
05.07.25
Ser
GAS
Independência
1
2
L
28.06.25
Ser
GAS
Humaitá
2
1
W
15.06.25
Ser
GAS
Manaus FC
2
1
W
07.06.25
Ser
GAS
Tuna Luso
0
0
D
01.06.25
Ser
GAS
Tuna Luso
0
3
L
24.05.25
Ser
GAS
Manaus FC
1
2
L
18.05.25
Ser
GAS
Humaitá
4
2
W
10.05.25
Ser
GAS
Independência
1
4
L
Last matches: Nacional AM
18.07.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Iguatu
1
1
D
12.07.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Capital Brasilia
0
1
L
04.07.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Capital Brasilia
1
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Araguaína
0
0
D
21.06.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Araguaína
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Monte Roraima
3
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Manaus FC
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Manauara
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Sao Raimundo
2
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Sao Raimundo
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Manauara
2
4
L
19.04.26
Ser
Nacional AM
GAS
3
2
W
12.04.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Manaus FC
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Monte Roraima
1
0
W
H2H: GAS vs Nacional AM
23.05.26
H2H
GAS
Nacional AM
0
1
L
19.04.26
H2H
Nacional AM
GAS
3
2
L
15.04.26
H2H
GAS
Nacional AM
0
3
L
Last matches: GAS
14.06.26
Ser
GAS
Manaus FC
3
1
W
16.05.26
Ser
GAS
Monte Roraima
2
3
L
04.05.26
Ser
GAS
Manauara
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
GAS
Sao Raimundo
0
2
L
27.07.25
Ser
GAS
Águia de Marabá
1
1
D
05.07.25
Ser
GAS
Independência
1
2
L
28.06.25
Ser
GAS
Humaitá
2
1
W
07.06.25
Ser
GAS
Tuna Luso
0
0
D
24.05.25
Ser
GAS
Manaus FC
1
2
L
03.05.25
Ser
GAS
Trem
1
1
D
26.04.25
Ser
GAS
Manauara
1
2
L
H2H at home: GAS
23.05.26
H2H
GAS
Nacional AM
0
1
L
15.04.26
H2H
GAS
Nacional AM
0
3
L
Last matches: Nacional AM
12.07.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Capital Brasilia
0
1
L
21.06.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Araguaína
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Manaus FC
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Sao Raimundo
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Manauara
2
4
L
04.04.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Monte Roraima
1
0
W
H2H away: Nacional AM
23.05.26
H2H
GAS
Nacional AM
0
1
W
15.04.26
H2H
GAS
Nacional AM
0
3
W

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6
GAS Home
10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)