JAPAN J1 LEAGUE
02.05.2026 06:00
Panasonic Stadium Suita
Referee: K. Nagamine
Gamba Osaka
Match Timeline
Vissel Kobe
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
22'
H. Minamino · Assist: R. Hatsuse
Gamba Osaka
36'
G. Miura · Assist: S. Nakatani
Gamba Osaka
🟨
45+1'
Yoshinori Muto
Vissel Kobe
🔄
46'
R. Komatsu ↔ Y. Osako
Vissel Kobe
🔄
46'
Y. Goke ↔ M. Thuler
Vissel Kobe
52'
H. Minamino · Assist: R. Hatsuse
Gamba Osaka
🔄
60'
R. Mito ↔ T. Suzuki
Gamba Osaka
🔄
60'
T. Usami ↔ K. Okunuki
Gamba Osaka
🔄
60'
T. Kishimoto ↔ G. Ikegaya
Gamba Osaka
🔄
66'
D. Sasaki ↔ K. Hamasaki
Vissel Kobe
🔄
67'
Y. Ideguchi ↔ Jean Patric
Vissel Kobe
🔄
71'
H. Minamino ↔ D. Hummet
Gamba Osaka
🔄
77'
R. Yamashita ↔ J. Nakamura
Gamba Osaka
🔄
77'
K. Nagato ↔ T. Inui
Vissel Kobe
80'
K. Okunuki
Gamba Osaka
82'
D. Hummet · Assist: R. Meshino
Gamba Osaka

Gamba Osaka vs Vissel Kobe Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 84.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
84.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Gamba Osaka Win 35.1%
Draw 15.9%
Vissel Kobe Win 49%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gamba Osaka1.25
Vissel Kobe1.61
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka
WWDLW
26 GF / 22 GA
Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe
WLDWL
22 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.53
Average Goals Scored
1.83
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
12
BTTS Yes
7
9
Over 2.5
6
5.57
Shots on Goal
3.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 17 matches
Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 12 matches
Gamba Osaka Statistic Vissel Kobe
5 Wins 7
9 Draws 4
3 Losses 1
26 Goals For 22
22 Goals Against 10
1.53 Avg Goals Scored 1.83
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
12 BTTS Yes 7
14 Over 1.5 10
9 Over 2.5 6
7 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 2
5.57 Shots On Goal 3.75
13.71 Total Shots 13.75
4.64 Corners 5.17
57.4% Ball Possession 54.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Vissel Kobe. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gamba Osaka expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Vissel Kobe in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Vissel Kobe having the stronger overall control. Vissel Kobe carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 26 points while Gamba Osaka sit 3 on 22, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Vissel Kobe look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Gamba Osaka Analysis

Gamba Osaka sit 3 with 22 points after 14 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 8 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 23:21, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through D. Hummet (8 goals), H. Minamino (3 goals), R. Meshino (2 goals), with creative support from I. Jebali (2 assists), Ryoya Yamashita (2 assists), D. Hummet (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Vissel Kobe Analysis

Vissel Kobe come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 26 points after 12 matches. With 8 wins, 0 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 23:13, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by K. Nagato (3 goals), R. Komatsu (3 goals), Takahiro Ogihara (3 goals), with creative support from D. Sasaki (3 assists), R. Komatsu (2 assists), Yosuke Ideguchi (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Gamba Osaka won 5 times, Vissel Kobe won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:20 from Gamba Osaka's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.1%)
Predicted formations: Gamba Osaka 4-2-3-1 / Vissel Kobe 4-3-3
H2H summary: Gamba Osaka wins 5, draws 3, Vissel Kobe wins 7

Standings

West
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 11 0 7 29:25 4 35
?
2 18 11 0 7 30:21 9 31
?
3 18 10 0 8 33:31 2 31
?
4 18 10 0 8 31:23 8 30
?
5 18 10 0 8 31:25 6 28
?
6 18 8 0 10 26:29 -3 26
?
7 18 8 0 10 23:25 -2 24
?
8 18 8 0 10 22:28 -6 23
?
9 18 7 0 11 21:29 -8 21
?
10 18 7 0 11 21:31 -10 21
?
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)