Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
67.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
81.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
75.2%
|
- |
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Gamba Osaka
14 matches
Avispa Fukuoka
15 matches
| Gamba Osaka | Statistic | Avispa Fukuoka |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 4 |
| 7 | Draws | 6 |
| 2 | Losses | 5 |
| 23 | Goals For | 24 |
| 18 | Goals Against | 28 |
| 1.64 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.6 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.87 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 6 | Shots On Goal | 3.64 |
| 13.82 | Total Shots | 12 |
| 4.45 | Corners | 4.36 |
| 57.5% | Ball Possession | 41.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Gamba Osaka's more proactive style and Avispa Fukuoka's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Gamba Osaka arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 19 points compared to Avispa Fukuoka in 9 on 12, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Avispa Fukuoka. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gamba Osaka expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Avispa Fukuoka in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Avispa Fukuoka having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Gamba Osaka come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 19 points after 11 matches. With 7 wins, 0 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 16:14, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by D. Hummet (6 goals), R. Meshino (2 goals), H. Minamino (1 goals), with creative support from I. Jebali (2 assists), D. Hummet (1 assists), R. Mito (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Avispa Fukuoka are currently 9 in the standings with 12 points from 11 matches. The record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 10:17 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Y. Hashimoto (2 goals), G. Miura (1 goals), K. Maeda (1 goals), with creative support from Y. Hashimoto (1 assists), G. Miura (1 assists), Tomoya Miki (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Gamba Osaka won 6 times, Avispa Fukuoka won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:15 from Gamba Osaka's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.
Gamba Osaka
4
4
7
2
4
2
Lineups
Gamba Osaka
Red Bull Salzburg
Gamba Osaka
Sparta Praha
Gamba Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
Gamba Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
Gamba Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
Vissel Kobe
Gamba Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
Gamba Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
Gamba Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
Gamba Osaka
Vissel Kobe
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
Avispa Fukuoka
Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
Kitakyushu
Avispa Fukuoka
JEF United Chiba
Avispa Fukuoka
JEF United Chiba
Avispa Fukuoka
Vissel Kobe
Avispa Fukuoka
Shimizu S-pulse
Avispa Fukuoka
Kyoto Sanga
Avispa Fukuoka
Cerezo Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Avispa Fukuoka
Fagiano Okayama
Avispa Fukuoka
Nagoya Grampus
Avispa Fukuoka
V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Avispa Fukuoka
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
Shimizu S-pulse
Avispa Fukuoka
V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
Nagoya Grampus
Avispa Fukuoka
Vissel Kobe
Avispa Fukuoka
Kyoto Sanga
Avispa Fukuoka
Cerezo Osaka
Gamba Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Gamba Osaka
Vissel Kobe
Gamba Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
Gamba Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
Gamba Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
Consadole Sapporo
Gamba Osaka
Shonan Bellmare
Gamba Osaka
Machida Zelvia
Avispa Fukuoka
JEF United Chiba
Avispa Fukuoka
Shimizu S-pulse
Avispa Fukuoka
Cerezo Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
Fagiano Okayama
Avispa Fukuoka
Nagoya Grampus
Avispa Fukuoka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Avispa Fukuoka
V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
Vissel Kobe
Avispa Fukuoka
Kyoto Sanga
Avispa Fukuoka
Tokyo Verdy
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 29:25 | 4 | 35 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 30:21 | 9 | 31 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:23 | 8 | 30 |
?
|
|
| 5 |
Gamba Osaka
Home
|
18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 28 |
?
|
| 6 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 23:25 | -2 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 22:28 | -6 | 23 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:29 | -8 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 10 |
Avispa Fukuoka
Away
|
18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:31 | -10 | 21 |
?
|