JAPAN J1 LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Panasonic Stadium Suita
Referee: H. Shimizu
Gamba Osaka
Match Timeline
Avispa Fukuoka
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
H. Minamino · Assist: R. Yamashita
Gamba Osaka
🟨
23'
Daiki Miya
Avispa Fukuoka
43'
Y. Michiwaki
Avispa Fukuoka
45'
K. Fujimoto · Assist: Y. Hashimoto
Avispa Fukuoka
🟨
56'
Yutaka Michiwaki
Avispa Fukuoka
🟨
61'
Yuji Kitajima
Avispa Fukuoka
🔄
62'
I. Jebali ↔ T. Usami
Gamba Osaka
🔄
62'
S. Abe ↔ D. Hummet
Gamba Osaka
🔄
62'
T. Kishimoto ↔ S. Toyama
Gamba Osaka
🔄
62'
D. Miya ↔ Y. Tsujioka
Avispa Fukuoka
🔄
62'
S. Usui ↔ S. Nago
Avispa Fukuoka
🔄
63'
T. Kamijima ↔ M. Tashiro
Avispa Fukuoka
🔄
71'
S. Nakano ↔ K. Okunuki
Gamba Osaka
🔄
71'
Y. Kitajima ↔ K. Okuno
Avispa Fukuoka
🟨
79'
Kazuki Fujimoto
Avispa Fukuoka
🟨
80'
Kanji Okunuki
Gamba Osaka
🔄
81'
R. Meshino ↔ S. Kurata
Gamba Osaka
🔄
81'
K. Fujimoto ↔ Y. Maejima
Avispa Fukuoka

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 81.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
81.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.2%
-
Probability Distribution
Gamba Osaka Win 67.4%
Draw 6.4%
Avispa Fukuoka Win 26.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gamba Osaka1.73
Avispa Fukuoka1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka
WWDLW
23 GF / 18 GA
Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka
WLDWL
24 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.64
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.87
9
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
7
6
Shots on Goal
3.64

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 14 matches
Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 15 matches
Gamba Osaka Statistic Avispa Fukuoka
5 Wins 4
7 Draws 6
2 Losses 5
23 Goals For 24
18 Goals Against 28
1.64 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.87
9 BTTS Yes 10
11 Over 1.5 12
8 Over 2.5 7
7 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 3
6 Shots On Goal 3.64
13.82 Total Shots 12
4.45 Corners 4.36
57.5% Ball Possession 41.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Gamba Osaka's more proactive style and Avispa Fukuoka's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Gamba Osaka arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 19 points compared to Avispa Fukuoka in 9 on 12, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Avispa Fukuoka. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gamba Osaka expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Avispa Fukuoka in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Avispa Fukuoka having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Gamba Osaka Analysis

Gamba Osaka come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 19 points after 11 matches. With 7 wins, 0 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 16:14, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by D. Hummet (6 goals), R. Meshino (2 goals), H. Minamino (1 goals), with creative support from I. Jebali (2 assists), D. Hummet (1 assists), R. Mito (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Avispa Fukuoka Analysis

Avispa Fukuoka are currently 9 in the standings with 12 points from 11 matches. The record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 10:17 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Y. Hashimoto (2 goals), G. Miura (1 goals), K. Maeda (1 goals), with creative support from Y. Hashimoto (1 assists), G. Miura (1 assists), Tomoya Miki (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Gamba Osaka won 6 times, Avispa Fukuoka won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:15 from Gamba Osaka's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.6%)
Predicted formations: Gamba Osaka 4-2-3-1 / Avispa Fukuoka 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Gamba Osaka wins 6, draws 4, Avispa Fukuoka wins 5
Stats
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
2
5 Corner Kicks 5
8 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 0
68% Ball Possession 32%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Goal 4
7 Shots off Goal 2
4 Blocked Shots 2
9 Shots insidebox 5
6 Shots outsidebox 3
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
612 Total passes 279
527 Passes accurate 195
1.31 expected_goals 0.60
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Gamba Osaka
Formation
Avispa Fukuoka
R. Araki
R. Araki
T. Kishimoto
T. Kishimoto
G. Miura
G. Miura
S. Nakatani
S. Nakatani
S. Nakano
S. Nakano
S. Abe
S. Abe
R. Mito
R. Mito
R. Yamashita
🎯
R. Yamashita
I. Jebali
I. Jebali
R. Meshino
R. Meshino
H. Minamino
H. Minamino
K. Fujita
K. Fujita
T. Oka
T. Oka
T. Kamijima
T. Kamijima
D. Miya
D. Miya
Y. Hashimoto
🎯
Y. Hashimoto
K. Shiihashi
K. Shiihashi
T. Miki
T. Miki
K. Fujimoto
K. Fujimoto
Y. Michiwaki
Y. Michiwaki
Y. Kitajima
Y. Kitajima
S. Usui
S. Usui
Gamba Osaka 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
18
R. Araki
G
15
T. Kishimoto
↓ 62'
D
5
G. Miura
D
4
S. Nakatani
D
47
S. Nakano
↓ 71'
D
13
S. Abe
↓ 62'
M
27
R. Mito
M
17
R. Yamashita
🎯 9'
M
11
I. Jebali
↓ 62'
M
8
R. Meshino
↓ 81'
M
42
H. Minamino
⚽ 9'
F
Substitutes
1
M. Higashiguchi
G
10
S. Kurata
↑ 81'
M
16
T. Suzuki
M
21
R. Hatsuse
D
7
T. Usami
↑ 62'
F
23
D. Hummet
↑ 62'
F
44
K. Okunuki
↑ 71' 🟨 80'
M
40
S. Toyama
↑ 62'
F
19
G. Ikegaya
D
Avispa Fukuoka 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
41
K. Fujita
G
16
T. Oka
D
5
T. Kamijima
↓ 63'
D
45
D. Miya
↓ 62' 🟨 23'
D
47
Y. Hashimoto
🎯 45'
M
34
K. Shiihashi
M
11
T. Miki
M
22
K. Fujimoto
⚽ 45' ↓ 81' 🟨 79'
M
27
Y. Michiwaki
⚽ 43' 🟨 56'
F
25
Y. Kitajima
↓ 71' 🟨 61'
F
7
S. Usui
↓ 62'
F
Substitutes
99
P. O. Obi
G
37
M. Tashiro
↑ 63'
D
15
Y. Tsujioka
↑ 62'
D
33
K. Yamawaki
D
32
A. Sani Brown
F
29
Y. Maejima
↑ 81'
D
14
S. Nago
↑ 62'
M
8
K. Okuno
↑ 71'
M
28
R. Tsuruno
F
Last matches: Gamba Osaka
15.07.26
Fri
Gamba Osaka
Red Bull Salzburg
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Gamba Osaka
Sparta Praha
0
3
L
06.06.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
4
2
W
30.05.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
1
1
D
24.05.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
2
1
W
10.05.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0
1
L
06.05.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
1
2
L
02.05.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Vissel Kobe
5
0
W
29.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
1
1
D
25.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
1
1
D
19.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
2
2
D
11.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
0
1
L
04.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
2
0
W
21.03.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
2
2
D
18.03.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Vissel Kobe
2
2
D
14.03.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0
2
L
08.03.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
3
2
W
28.02.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
2
2
D
22.02.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
2
1
W
15.02.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
0
0
D
Last matches: Avispa Fukuoka
19.07.26
Fri
Avispa Fukuoka
Osaka
3
2
W
11.07.26
Fri
Avispa Fukuoka
Kitakyushu
1
2
L
06.06.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
JEF United Chiba
2
1
W
30.05.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
JEF United Chiba
2
2
D
23.05.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Vissel Kobe
0
1
L
10.05.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Shimizu S-pulse
1
1
D
06.05.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Kyoto Sanga
1
1
D
03.05.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Cerezo Osaka
1
1
D
29.04.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2
2
D
25.04.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Fagiano Okayama
0
2
L
19.04.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Nagoya Grampus
2
2
D
11.04.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
V-varen Nagasaki
1
0
W
05.04.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
0
W
21.03.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Gamba Osaka
2
2
D
18.03.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Shimizu S-pulse
1
1
D
15.03.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
L
07.03.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Nagoya Grampus
1
5
L
27.02.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Vissel Kobe
1
2
L
22.02.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Kyoto Sanga
0
2
L
15.02.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Cerezo Osaka
0
2
L
H2H: Gamba Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka
22.04.26
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
1
2
L
21.03.26
H2H
Avispa Fukuoka
Gamba Osaka
2
2
D
30.11.25
H2H
Avispa Fukuoka
Gamba Osaka
1
0
L
22.02.25
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
2
1
W
24.08.24
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
2
2
D
03.05.24
H2H
Avispa Fukuoka
Gamba Osaka
1
0
L
11.11.23
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
1
2
L
03.06.23
H2H
Avispa Fukuoka
Gamba Osaka
1
2
W
31.08.22
H2H
Avispa Fukuoka
Gamba Osaka
0
1
W
19.03.22
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
2
3
L
17.07.21
H2H
Avispa Fukuoka
Gamba Osaka
0
1
W
07.04.21
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
0
0
D
17.07.16
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
0
0
D
24.04.16
H2H
Avispa Fukuoka
Gamba Osaka
0
1
W
11.08.13
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
1
0
W
Last matches: Gamba Osaka
30.05.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
1
1
D
10.05.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0
1
L
02.05.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Vissel Kobe
5
0
W
19.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
2
2
D
11.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
0
1
L
04.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
2
0
W
08.03.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
3
2
W
28.02.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
2
2
D
15.02.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
0
0
D
25.01.26
Fri
Gamba Osaka
Consadole Sapporo
4
1
W
21.01.26
Fri
Gamba Osaka
Shonan Bellmare
1
1
D
15.01.26
Fri
Gamba Osaka
Machida Zelvia
3
2
W
H2H at home: Gamba Osaka
22.04.26
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
1
2
L
22.02.25
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
2
1
W
24.08.24
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
2
2
D
11.11.23
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
1
2
L
19.03.22
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
2
3
L
07.04.21
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
0
0
D
17.07.16
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
0
0
D
11.08.13
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
1
0
W
Last matches: Avispa Fukuoka
06.06.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
JEF United Chiba
2
1
W
10.05.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Shimizu S-pulse
1
1
D
03.05.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Cerezo Osaka
1
1
D
25.04.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Fagiano Okayama
0
2
L
19.04.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Nagoya Grampus
2
2
D
05.04.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
0
W
15.03.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
L
27.02.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Vissel Kobe
1
2
L
22.02.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Kyoto Sanga
0
2
L
20.01.26
Fri
Avispa Fukuoka
Tokyo Verdy
4
3
W
H2H away: Avispa Fukuoka
22.04.26
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
1
2
W
22.02.25
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
2
1
L
24.08.24
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
2
2
D
11.11.23
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
1
2
W
19.03.22
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
2
3
W
07.04.21
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
0
0
D
17.07.16
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
0
0
D
11.08.13
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
1
0
L

Standings

West
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 11 0 7 29:25 4 35
?
2 18 11 0 7 30:21 9 31
?
3 18 10 0 8 33:31 2 31
?
4 18 10 0 8 31:23 8 30
?
5 18 10 0 8 31:25 6 28
?
6 18 8 0 10 26:29 -3 26
?
7 18 8 0 10 23:25 -2 24
?
8 18 8 0 10 22:28 -6 23
?
9 18 7 0 11 21:29 -8 21
?
10 18 7 0 11 21:31 -10 21
?
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)