BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Gama
Match Timeline
Primavera MG
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
40'
Ramon
Gama
45'
Felipe Clemente
Gama
67'
Felipe Clemente
Gama
71'
Henrique Almeida
Gama

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 47.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70%
-
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
47.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Gama Win 70%
Draw 0%
Primavera MG Win 30%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gama1.63
Primavera MG0.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gama Gama
WWDLW
15 GF / 4 GA
Primavera MG Primavera MG
WLDWL
8 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
2.14
Average Goals Scored
1.14
0.57
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
3
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gama Gama 7 matches
Primavera MG Primavera MG 7 matches
Gama Statistic Primavera MG
6 Wins 3
1 Draws 2
0 Losses 2
15 Goals For 8
4 Goals Against 6
2.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
0.57 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
3 BTTS Yes 3
6 Over 1.5 5
3 Over 2.5 1
2 Over 3.5 1
4 Clean Sheets 3
0 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Primavera MG. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Primavera MG having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Gama come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Gama arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 19 points compared to Primavera MG in 3 on 11, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Gama Analysis

Gama come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 19 points after 7 matches. They have recorded 6 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, with a 15:4 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Felipe Clemente (5 goals), Ramon (4 goals), Lucio (2 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Primavera MG Analysis

Primavera MG approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 11 points after 7 outings. With 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 8:6, they continue to show good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by Caique (5 goals), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Gama won 2 times, Primavera MG won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:0 from Gama's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Gama wins 2, draws 0, Primavera MG wins 0
Last matches: Gama
19.07.26
Ser
Gama
America-RN
0
1
L
12.07.26
Ser
Gama
Porto Velho
2
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
Gama
Porto Velho
0
2
L
27.06.26
Ser
Gama
Mixto
1
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
Gama
Mixto
2
1
W
07.06.26
Ser
Gama
Aparecidense
2
2
D
31.05.26
Ser
Gama
Inhumas
2
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Gama
Brasiliense
3
2
W
09.05.26
Ser
Gama
Luverdense
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Gama
Luverdense
4
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Gama
Brasiliense
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Gama
Primavera MG
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Gama
Inhumas
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Gama
Aparecidense
2
0
W
Last matches: Primavera MG
07.06.26
Ser
Primavera MG
Brasiliense
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Primavera MG
Aparecidense
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Primavera MG
Luverdense
1
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Primavera MG
Inhumas
2
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Primavera MG
Inhumas
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Primavera MG
Luverdense
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Primavera MG
Gama
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Primavera MG
Aparecidense
1
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
Primavera MG
Brasiliense
1
1
D
H2H: Gama vs Primavera MG
23.05.26
H2H
Gama
Primavera MG
4
0
W
19.04.26
H2H
Primavera MG
Gama
0
1
W
Last matches: Gama
12.07.26
Ser
Gama
Porto Velho
2
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
Gama
Mixto
1
0
W
07.06.26
Ser
Gama
Aparecidense
2
2
D
16.05.26
Ser
Gama
Brasiliense
3
2
W
02.05.26
Ser
Gama
Luverdense
4
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Gama
Inhumas
2
0
W
H2H at home: Gama
23.05.26
H2H
Gama
Primavera MG
4
0
W
Last matches: Primavera MG
30.05.26
Ser
Primavera MG
Aparecidense
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Primavera MG
Inhumas
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Primavera MG
Luverdense
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
Primavera MG
Brasiliense
1
1
D
H2H away: Primavera MG
23.05.26
H2H
Gama
Primavera MG
4
0
L

Standings

Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Gama Home
10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)